Token Launches · resolved market
alon called coin FDV above $1M one day after the call?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e5bb751593efc468fafa57df12149404c4f21b64c24d42610f10bf5a0d27e8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $232,088
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $251,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $232,088 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x76f7…7529backed Yes | 0c | 57,291$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5826…abbabacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfecc…77dabacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e1…f445backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x749d…2190backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…ffa0backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd6…84cdbacked No | 76c | 6,297$4,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…9756backed Yes | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…b624backed Yes | 2c | 3,748$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 112 | 25.9%29 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x739c…e7abbacked No | 48c | 3,523$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,832.23 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfac1…48edbacked Yes | 46c | 2,718$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab2b…2afcbacked No | 64c | 2,690$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd4…c87abacked No | 43c | 2,457$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfabd…6680backed Yes | 43c | 2,344$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c36…c1efbacked Yes | 42c | 2,300$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb6…9aabbacked No | 58c | 2,165$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989b…14c3backed Yes | 54c | 2,008$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc60…af79backed Yes | 55c | 2,000$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac7…e0efbacked Yes | 59c | 1,942$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.18 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Yes | 5c | 1,837$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.79 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…7842backed Yes | 23c | 1,687$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.09 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb883…1c10backed No | 62c | 1,618$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed No | 35c | 1,563$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.33 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed No | 36c | 1,549$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.05 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…8344backed No | 53c | 1,548$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x192a…96b6backed No | 49c | 1,425$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.16 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5167…ccefbacked No | 71c | 1,411$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9482…976cbacked Yes | 28c | 1,393$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3551…1f2abacked Yes | 27c | 1,380$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…252dbacked Yes | 49c | 1,353$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca9…216ebacked Yes | 35c | 1,254$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2df…e80bbacked No | 79c | 1,175$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed Yes | 42c | 1,150$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.5 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d57…c842backed No | 62c | 1,129$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5340…76f9backed Yes | 16c | 1,109$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc2…ce94backed Yes | 56c | 1,100$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdba2…a8d2backed No | 45c | 1,090$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10c8…c0eebacked No | 46c | 1,080$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…2c03backed Yes | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e9…4136backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…41fbbacked Yes | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4273…19d8backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed Yes | 54c | 935.86$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd569…48c1backed Yes | 34c | 920$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.8 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4dd…eaa2backed Yes | 28c | 864.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa77…bf95backed Yes | 37c | 862.94$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.19 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eea…929abacked Yes | 25c | 818.14$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b0…ab7ebacked No | 39c | 784.68$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +109.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b55…076fbacked Yes | 42c | 771.8$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf1…3018backed No | 49c | 769.06$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed Yes | 51c | 750$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c9…74f1backed Yes | 4c | 730$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ad…36c0backed No | 58c | 726.13$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd215…ddcfbacked No | 59c | 718.24$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 27c | 713.14$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.98 | 51 | 9.8%5 W · 46 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed No | 31c | 700$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481 | 178 | 59.6%106 W · 72 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea1d…90f0backed Yes | 55c | 700$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -78%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e14…04a3backed Yes | 65c | 659.97$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed No | 33c | 611.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…1186backed Yes | 62c | 599.98$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd864…2f3bbacked No | 48c | 581.02$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed81…82eebacked Yes | 44c | 577.99$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.89 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaef…1ef9backed No | 36c | 537$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +181.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd638…b011backed No | 76c | 527.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…0ba4backed Yes | 30c | 522.46$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7089…46d0backed Yes | 37c | 508.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc483…8ac8backed Yes | 52c | 499.85$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.96 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…ce96backed No | 75c | 498.6$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.56 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2874…c2e7backed No | 60c | 487.22$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.05 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Yes | 45c | 450$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.3 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…a3f5backed Yes | 69c | 435.44$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0039…046ebacked Yes | 60c | 430$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x457c…9cf2backed Yes | 50c | 413.24$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 42c | 400$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.58 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…2a1bbacked Yes | 63c | 399.99$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -68%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7484…de96backed Yes | 61c | 350.24$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a5…bb7ebacked Yes | 66c | 331.99$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.12 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d32…563abacked No | 48c | 313.13$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.12 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3350…2186backed No | 47c | 311.9$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked No | 54c | 308.88$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.08 | 54 | 16.7%9 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0f…8a1abacked Yes | 44c | 294.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed4…45bdbacked No | 48c | 291.88$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4b…8137backed No | 46c | 285$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…9ea3backed No | 70c | 279.99$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5300…0625backed No | 43c | 257.14$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.14 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e50…7a6bbacked No | 61c | 256.11$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.11 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x926d…635ebacked Yes | 64c | 253.85$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.66 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea4c…c997backed No | 59c | 253.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa254…4b52backed No | 43c | 246.95$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +131.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9349…8d0fbacked Yes | 69c | 240$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.4 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bc…2c49backed Yes | 13c | 239.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Yes | 26c | 226.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.53 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -9.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…1396backed Yes | 45c | 224.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…d7ecbacked Yes | 43c | 222.1$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3f…8e27backed Yes | 50c | 220$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8672…f54ebacked No | 66c | 214.99$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 8c | 209.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…c1c0backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a11…50d0backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- alon called coin FDV above $1M one day after the call?this page
- alon called coin FDV above $10M one day after the call?No won
- alon called coin FDV above $20M one day after the call?No won
- alon called coin FDV above $5M one day after the call?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.