TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd569…48c1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
198
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Music, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Music at 55 out of 100; worst Champions League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT11650%58 W · 58 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 116 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$40.4
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+628.2%+$942.03
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.83
France vs. England: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.14
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.64
England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.08
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.04
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+93.8%+$61.22
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.5
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+227.6%+$69.46
Norway vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$49.5
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$21.07
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+74.7%+$42.74
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.98
Showing 25 of 116 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT4334.9%15 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$640
Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,037Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+33%+$672.6
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,492Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+65%+$968.92
Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.2
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,331Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,330.71
Space FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,711Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+31%+$529.88
Space FDV above $15M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$622Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$622.19
Space FDV above $40M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,833Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$941.67
Space FDV above $80M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,327Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$714.57
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.11
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$317.5
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$397.49
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$745Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$255
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$405
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,119Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$1,111.03
Over $20M committed to the Space public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+35.1%+$175.5
alon called coin FDV above $20M one day after the call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$64.9
alon called coin FDV above $1M one day after the call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$312.8
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$200.67
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$529Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+126.8%+$670.95
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$464Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$463.99
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$200.26
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.27per pick35cpaid-85.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$323.55
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.99
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+73.4%+$63.93
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$142
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Newcastle United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.01
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.99
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+93.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+43.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$270
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,046Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,045.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.81
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Devils vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$30.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 15%+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$51.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: FALKE Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked FALKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$973Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$973.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$71.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NRFI: Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$764Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$764.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.