Token Launches · resolved market
Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdeaa139d881435c1bb22819ba8f37448da7d6c23d35ca2a749a1cf9dba309d9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,961
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,961 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd569…48c1backed No | 2c | 8,110$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.2 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51e9…c59abacked No | 2c | 7,754$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8392…b94ebacked No | 1c | 4,053$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb67…d696backed Yes | 70c | 3,115$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.55 | 72 | 70.8%51 W · 21 L | +20.9wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +190%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2d…84e6backed No | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 2c | 2,950$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 206 | 1.9%4 W · 202 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae7f…d4febacked Yes | 72c | 2,071$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.31 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 30cpaid | +657.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ce…d70ebacked Yes | 73c | 1,551$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.1 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 76cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 4c | 1,343$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed No | 29c | 1,285$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.54 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +13.8wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…3044backed No | 30c | 1,261$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…d4a7backed No | 4c | 1,200$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c23…c465backed Yes | 68c | 1,122$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.75 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -64%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa347…2a40backed No | 21c | 1,098$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981d…ed7fbacked No | 1c | 1,054$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2d…699bbacked No | 14c | 1,044$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked No | 30c | 1,006$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9965…b6cbbacked No | 15c | 977.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dbc…e18abacked Yes | 72c | 783.83$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.37 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd6…019dbacked Yes | 79c | 724$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…7736backed No | 9c | 700$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc98…62ecbacked Yes | 52c | 692$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf666…8842backed Yes | 77c | 680$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…e5abbacked No | 3c | 670.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 33cpaid | +135%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…75b7backed Yes | 77c | 670$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e0…ad86backed Yes | 79c | 668$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +257.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45f0…4435backed Yes | 79c | 656$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf55…7d8abacked No | 23c | 652$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1063…1d3fbacked No | 23c | 629$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b2…9d96backed No | 23c | 619$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…cd52backed No | 21c | 607$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a8…7efabacked Yes | 79c | 607$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.47 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…703cbacked No | 21c | 606$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +390.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabbe…8f37backed No | 9c | 557.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd98f…5afdbacked No | 21c | 555$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3359…2273backed Yes | 77c | 550$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf977…aff0backed No | 21c | 533$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +342.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 5c | 508.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4753…968abacked No | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 4c | 491.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 244 | 2%5 W · 239 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 10c | 482.84$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.89 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4f…3b33backed No | 21c | 477$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…9ca7backed Yes | 79c | 444$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf77c…73c4backed No | 31c | 405$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.55 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2abd…74ebbacked Yes | 79c | 403$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 3c | 402.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 14cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb7…dad6backed Yes | 69c | 399.99$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…6d90backed Yes | 79c | 374$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65dd…4664backed Yes | 70c | 350.1$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.53 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e16…5026backed No | 3c | 299.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f51…c63cbacked No | 48c | 246$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c4…0926backed No | 6c | 230$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d23…aa07backed No | 48c | 227$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 78c | 221.68$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb631…8a87backed No | 27c | 219.06$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x591c…390dbacked No | 48c | 219$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92bd…dd99backed No | 41c | 206.17$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.55 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -5.5wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x28aa…28b8backed Yes | 59c | 203.67$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.63 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81ae…4440backed Yes | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17fe…181bbacked No | 45c | 184.56$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 17c | 171.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 349 | 5.7%20 W · 329 L | -25.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3875…1fd2backed No | 29c | 170.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad8b…9a2bbacked Yes | 64c | 170.13$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +196.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…6262backed Yes | 78c | 128.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +45%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 16c | 116.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 463 | 20.5%95 W · 368 L | -68.1wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb45c…9cf5backed No | 31c | 97.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99ba…6391backed No | 22c | 91.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 68c | 86.14$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…b16dbacked No | 29c | 64.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb65a…b3aebacked No | 26c | 54.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -6.6wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46cf…f8f4backed Yes | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…7842backed Yes | 70c | 43.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7c…cd5ebacked No | 33c | 32.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba89…d976backed Yes | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d6…4efcbacked Yes | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c3…0472backed Yes | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01ef…3039backed Yes | 65c | 22.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7efb…68a1backed Yes | 69c | 22.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ed…2facbacked Yes | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Yes | 72c | 20.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9023…e6a5backed Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?this page
- Gensyn FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?No won
- Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?No won
- Gensyn FDV above $2B one day after launch?No won
- Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes won
- Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?No won
- Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.