TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdbf7…7736

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
108
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Tennis, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 58 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick37cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roehampton: Yuta Shimizu vs Anton Matusevichbacked Yuta Shimizu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.5
ITF Astana: Pawit Sornlaksup vs Ivan Gretskiybacked Pawit Sornlaksup · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$140
ITF Astana: Evgeny Philippov vs Mukund Sasikumarbacked Mukund Sasikumar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+187.9%+$94.63
ITF Tianjin: Matthew Dellavedova vs Suk Annbacked Matthew Dellavedova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$132
ITF Eupen: Simon Beaupain vs Nand Vandepoelebacked Nand Vandepoele · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+109.5%+$296.38
ITF Nova Gorica: Radovan Michalik vs John Hallquist Lithenbacked Radovan Michalik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+301.9%+$48.83
ITF Slobozia: Semen Aginskiy vs Uladzimir Ignatikbacked Uladzimir Ignatik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Fery vs. Virtanen: Set 3 Games O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.05
ITF Decatur: Ena Koike vs Ana Gruborbacked Ena Koike · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Bratislava: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Alexander Donskibacked Alexander Donski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
ITF Maanshan: Aoran Wang vs Stefan Storchbacked Aoran Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.57
Brazzaville: Calvin Hemery vs Reda Bennanibacked Reda Bennani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Tereza Valentova vs. Lilli Tagger: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$33.38
Alina Charaeva vs. Daria Kasatkina: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$94.4
Charaeva vs. Kasatkina: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.87
Set 1 Winner: Charaeva vs Kasatkinabacked Charaeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$24
Butvilas vs. Rehberg: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.8
Butvilas vs. Rehberg: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Roman Andres Burruchaga vs. Adam Walton: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.53
Dubai Tennis Championships: Andrey Rublev vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+245.2%+$500.75
Jovic vs. Pegula: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$825Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+33.3%+$275
All 21 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT2035%7 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid+44.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: CHAOS (-1.5) vs WRAITH PCIFIC (+1.5)backed WRAITH PCIFIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+1,100%+$550
Counter-Strike: CHAOS vs WRAITH PCIFIC - Map 2 Winnerbacked WRAITH PCIFIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+763.8%+$656.85
Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs Benched gods (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Benched gods · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
Map Handicap: YN (-1.5) vs Lilmix (+1.5)backed Young Ninjas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.25
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs TYLOO (BO5) - Yuqilin Pinnacle of Battle Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.76
Counter-Strike: Basement Bobs vs Vexar (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Play-In Play-Inbacked Vexar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.72
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.11
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - United21 Group Bbacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.59
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winnerbacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.59
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs AaB esport (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group Abacked AaB esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$29.08
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs MASONIC (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group Abacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.38
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+75.4%+$10.32
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$102.5
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs MASONIC - Map 1 Winnerbacked MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+83.6%+$72.83
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+32%+$13.23
Counter-Strike: Pigeons vs 8Sins (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #17 Group Dbacked Pigeons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$148.14
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$92
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Tricked (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked Tricked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$47.39
Counter-Strike: K27 vs WATERMELON (BO3) - Exort Cataclysm Group Abacked WATERMELON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$19.04
All 20 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+33%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: Uwinks vs Rising Gaming (BO3) - LJL Regular Seasonbacked Uwinks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.13
LoL: G2 NORD vs BIG - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.82
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs BIG (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.98
Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs DMG Esports (+1.5)backed Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$13.75
LoL: French Flair vs TLN Pirates - Game 4 Winnerbacked French Flair · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+68.2%+$754.59
First Blood in Game 3?backed GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+170.3%+$31.5
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+100.4%+$55.1
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+100%+$12.5
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.99
LoL: Dragons Esports vs Baam Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dragons Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$239.89
LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs P11 Esports (BO5) - LIT Playoffsbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+274.8%+$479.27
LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs P11 Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+66.7%+$80
LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs P11 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+194.4%+$389.05
LoL: HMBLE vs EKO Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked EKO Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$78
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats vs. Texas Southern Tigers (W)backed Bethune-Cookman Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$369.02
St. Thomas (MN) Tommies vs. Oral Roberts Golden Eagles (W)backed Oral Roberts Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$238.48
Samford Bulldogs vs. Wofford Terriers (W)backed Wofford Terriers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. Sacred Heart Pioneers (W)backed Saint Peter's Peacocks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$158.63
Stanford Cardinal vs. Miami Hurricanes (W)backed Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+139.2%+$72.75
Spread: Florida State Seminoles (-6.5)backed Florida State Seminoles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+76.7%+$8.49
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Indiana Hoosiersbacked Indiana Hoosiers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+149.2%+$60.55
East Carolina Pirates vs. Charlotte 49ers (W)backed Charlotte 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$284.97
All 8 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick15cpaid-50.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+102.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+90%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricketlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-53.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+246.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sydney FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+400%+$80
Macarthur FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,085Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+93.6%+$1,015.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+114.1%+$21.32
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$17
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lionsbacked Samsung Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.49
First Round Pool C: Japan vs. South Koreabacked South Korea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gaziantep FK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Women's Final - USA vs. Canadabacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$189.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Hornets: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$325.62
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.