Other European Leagues · resolved market
Gaziantep FK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f9dfcb1003504c92550b53ad510acaf8890d385d5a24123cc61ccc0b385f855
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,789 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 7,688$4,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,260.68 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 49c | 4,344$2,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,121.14 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Over | 49c | 3,832$1,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.68 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under | 51c | 2,948$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.52 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 50c | 2,800$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 2,215$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.74 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 50c | 2,153$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.32 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 62c | 1,581$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.11 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 20c | 1,250$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 35c | 1,249$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.04 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 48c | 1,216$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.63 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 54c | 1,213$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.68 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd88d…f708backed Over | 49c | 605.61$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…7a18backed Over | 18c | 499.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 45c | 445.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 51c | 359.15$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 54c | 341.42$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.05 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 52c | 240.38$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 38c | 210.53$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 60c | 207.06$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.82 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 58c | 206.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 49c | 204.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 166.78$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.39 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…265ebacked Over | 59c | 161.24$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.44 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Under | 77c | 130.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 52c | 129$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.81 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 41c | 122.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 48c | 117.38$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.04 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Over | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Over | 42c | 99.34$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 52c | 96.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.43 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 48c | 96.02$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.93 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 46c | 91.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 58c | 85.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.85 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 57c | 78.23$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 57 | 77.2%44 W · 13 L | +9.4wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…185cbacked Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…7736backed Over | 19c | 54.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 52c | 52.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed Under | 56c | 43.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3457…0161backed Under | 63c | 41.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7587…521cbacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 57c | 40.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 49c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Over | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Over | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Over | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 56c | 27.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +10.0wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 60c | 26.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…70c5backed Under | 63c | 23.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…f6bfbacked Over | 49c | 21.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Over | 52c | 21.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Over | 52c | 20.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Under | 63c | 19.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gaziantep FK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 2.5this page
- Gaziantep FK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gaziantep FK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gaziantep FK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gaziantep FK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fatih Karagümrük SK (-1.5)Gaziantep FK won
- Spread: Gaziantep FK (-1.5)Fatih Karagümrük SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.