TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc660…70c5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
258
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 59 out of 100; worst Middle East at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT8561.2%52 W · 33 L+8.8wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+22.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$14.63
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$31.22
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$6.58
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$27.23
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$11.85
Spread: England (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$37.14
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+150%+$40.33
Spread: France (-2.5)backed Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.43
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+254%+$76.19
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$5.83
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2951.7%15 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$113.33
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.94
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$53.16
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+40%+$12.01
Will West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.31
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.53
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.28
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.79
Manchester City FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$122.54
Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.04
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$19.52
Crystal Palace FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.21
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$7.75
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$31.37
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$48.46
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+26.2%+$12.47
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15.5
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$82.08
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$61.27
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+298.1%+$89.86
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$21.45
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+82.6%+$90.5
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$58.46
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+53.1%+$17.33
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+42.6%+$71.38
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+35.7%+$102.37
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+28.7%+$61.46
All 18 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.35
Will Levante UD win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+150%+$77.15
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+51.1%+$185.15
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.12
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$32.58
FC Barcelona vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.01
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$32.8
Will Levante UD win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$38.18
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
All 15 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Djurgardens IF (-1.5)backed Djurgardens IF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will GAIS win on 2026-07-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+93.6%+$14.03
Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+58.5%+$15.79
Will Molde FK win on 2026-05-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+60.8%+$15.19
Will Djurgardens IF win on 2026-05-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$45.26
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Will IF Elfsborg win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+84.5%+$56.07
Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$42.16
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. IK Start: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Will PSV win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Go Ahead Eagles vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Go Ahead Eagles vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
Gaziantep FK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+58.2%+$8.74
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-41.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.1
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.83
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+58.5%+$32.16
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+114.5%+$37.8
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+33.7%+$20.24
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Nothing Ever Happens: Khameneibacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$61
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+59.7%+$24.84
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+51.5%+$142.35
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13
All 14 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick63cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$94.12
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+39%+$38.96
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.39
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs. SG Dynamo Dresden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$69.17
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.24
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.27
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$24.23
Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.06
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$10.92
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)backed Hamburger SV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.42
Spread: Sabah FK (-1.5)backed Kuopion PS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$18.28
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$28.42
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$25.38
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$12.91
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.62
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick68cpaid+38.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$19.27
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.58
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.98
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$12.59
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+89.6%+$35.83
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$29.75
Spread: Pistons (-13.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+48.3%+$22.5
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$32.49
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.45
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$10.56
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+29.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.5
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+41.6%+$115.43
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,041Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+25.4%+$263.94
All 3 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-11.5)backed Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Seattle Storm vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 169.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-7.5)backed Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Starsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$9.42
Blackhawks vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.05
Kraken vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$9.56
All 3 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Spread: Botafogo FR (-1.5)backed Botafogo FR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: EC Bahia (-2.5)backed Associação Chapecoense de Futebol · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+80.2%+$12.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$8.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Buccaneers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$6.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$12.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Santiago Luna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.