TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$214,843
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$253,074

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,843 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd96a…d8cebacked No0c34,048$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.53215.6%5 W · 27 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-40.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Yes22c20,643$4,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,129.992133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed No71c16,330$11,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,529.942343.5%10 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-29.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked No80c6,062$4,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,836.361145.5%5 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.28per pick73cpaid-37.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes24c5,711$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,350.914,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes37c5,656$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,556.319840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed No1c5,591$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.731414.3%2 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick14cpaid-81.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes11c4,760$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,232.2423727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No68c3,852$2,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6073,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b7…48d4backed Yes15c2,695$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,294.827031.4%22 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No63c2,487$1,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,567.1110760.7%65 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes37c2,189$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.3322448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No76c2,171$1,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,641.351,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes38c1,944$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,213.2933734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No62c1,823$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.0213744.5%61 W · 76 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c5b…cc75backed No64c1,802$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1522466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes34c1,471$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.598343.4%36 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25ab…6321backed Yes14c1,450$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2471855.6%10 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.21per pick35cpaid+137.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes36c1,403$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.141,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes55c1,396$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.0621950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes37c1,351$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.356848.5%33 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc60…66a2backed Yes38c1,316$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.795100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+82%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes37c1,177$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.749447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes17c1,176$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.472944.8%13 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.15per pick29cpaid+55%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa204…bf99backed Yes15c1,071$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.6425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+67.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e02…5ddabacked No77c1,032$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7902250%11 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1894…9b71backed Yes36c1,002$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.831376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+55.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes22c895.18$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.242536%9 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+39.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes51c865.45$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.9258548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No57c840.38$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.4412823.4%30 W · 98 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No63c800$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5049058.9%53 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafb2…0942backed No64c765.63$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4903366.7%22 W · 11 L+5.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+30.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No62c727.99$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.358160.5%49 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b6…c914backed Yes32c718.75$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.751040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes14c714.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.2914549.7%72 W · 73 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes41c706.55$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.0311753.8%63 W · 54 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No74c690.89$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.8392345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Yes19c670.68$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.251947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef3a…dc6bbacked Yes35c640.54$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.545352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Yes23c618.14$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.234035%14 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes17c590$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4909238%35 W · 57 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+41.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No53c576$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.287444.6%33 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dc7…3778backed Yes37c540.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.542100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+285.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4791…02b4backed Yes6c508.33$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.33812.5%1 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid+111.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed No58c487.9$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.9810068%68 W · 32 L+13.4wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+30%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes37c487.02$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.092,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes60c474.73$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.8518956.6%107 W · 82 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c07…4529backed Yes30c400$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2823046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+39.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked No14c378.57$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5311336.3%41 W · 72 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+450.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes42c363.29$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.26855.9%38 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked No59c359.92$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.354443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b8d…f78abacked No63c320$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.62744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc660…70c5backed No63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6854…67d0backed No20c305.9$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.831338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-45.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Yes21c299.99$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2376225.8%16 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes6c295.25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.5360732.5%197 W · 410 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb51e…08b2backed Yes34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.122339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No63c281.78$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.351,55951.6%804 W · 755 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Yes38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.161735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa2f0…0114backed Yes21c261.36$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.611442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No63c260$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.848251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5019…f8b7backed Yes20c250$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001136.4%4 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick14cpaid+144.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b08…aaf4backed Yes13c245.24$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.241877.8%14 W · 4 L+4.6wins+0.25per pick52cpaid+86%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No15c239.97$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.426641.4%110 W · 156 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No63c230.98$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.5283650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked Yes29c223.43$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.489441.5%39 W · 55 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6924…1455backed Yes24c221.47$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.471163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+50.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed No31c208.84$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.686937.7%26 W · 43 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Yes6c205.46$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.465427.8%15 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+58.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No24c203.07$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7483640%334 W · 502 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes16c200$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16819037.9%72 W · 118 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x473e…c0f6backed Yes21c195.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.022737%10 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No63c185.74$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.0145250.2%227 W · 225 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb876…d9c3backed Yes34c180$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.81471.4%10 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.28per pick43cpaid+52.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked No60c175.97$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.556142.6%26 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x166e…3303backed Yes30c169.03$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.394124.4%10 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd030…2133backed Yes23c164$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick36cpaid+92.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No59c163.46$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1674457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ef…c822backed No63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-48.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017856.2%100 W · 78 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No32c156.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.636243.5%27 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-29.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3de3…2fc5backed No62c152.99$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.85862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4f9…9419backed No63c150$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.51127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.6wins-0.33per pick60cpaid-60.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa7cf…db1ebacked Yes26c148.96$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.96450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+41.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x75fc…0a4cbacked Yes18c144.42$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.42287.1%2 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick21cpaid-66.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes41c141.93$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.7411342.5%48 W · 65 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes27c140.23$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.7916348.5%79 W · 84 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No62c140.03$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.26440.6%26 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7053…25e4backed Yes38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.584942.9%21 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes38c130$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.640357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Yes37c130$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.93218.8%6 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes38c130$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.623456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaae…ec88backed Yes39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.211250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes28c126.79$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.7920630.6%63 W · 143 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4bbe…96e8backed Yes19c126.32$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.321040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes19c123.2$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.2859555.5%330 W · 265 L+31.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes36c120.26$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.977927.8%22 W · 57 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Yes29c118.16$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.166336.5%23 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes27c114.33$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3326241.2%108 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8687…1db0backed Yes37c113.51$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.512748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.