TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb876…d9c3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
213
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: La Liga, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 61 out of 100; worst Mls at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT4926.5%13 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.4
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Portugal (-3.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$489.12
Spread: IR Iran (-2.5)backed IR Iran · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$222.6
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.6
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$174
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Uruguay O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$293
Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.59
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$106.55
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.24
Spread: Spain (-4.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.81
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$284.9
Spread: Sweden (-2.5)backed Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+290.8%+$632.5
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$141
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.5
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.1
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$237
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.2
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.1
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT3447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.9
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+196.7%+$470.69
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$239.4
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$185.25
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.8
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$152
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$173.9
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.9
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+98.5%+$263.51
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+114.4%+$357.5
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.6
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.6
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$201
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$183
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$85.4
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.6
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$206.7
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.4
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$128.8
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.5
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.35
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$121
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT3033.3%10 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.18
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.6
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.4
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.5
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+191.3%+$275.8
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$433.1
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.6
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)backed Tottenham Hotspur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.5
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.3
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.28
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$460.8
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.6
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.29
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$161.24
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$40.85
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.46
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.62
Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.57
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$36.93
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$82.21
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT2842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australiabacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australiabacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+138.8%+$127.88
T20 Blast: Somerset vs Glamorganbacked Glamorgan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$311.6
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$217.3
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.5
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$78.2
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$111.3
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$98
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.4
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.7
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.5
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.5
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$65.1
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titansbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.4
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.8
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+129.4%+$63.29
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$172.8
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.04
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$105.08
ODI Series Bangladesh vs New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.52
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+25.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.7
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$216.6
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$87
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.7
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$313.4
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.6
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.09
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.33
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$172.8
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$172.8
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.6
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.17
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.6
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$87.45
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$83.52
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+135.2%+$264.4
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.6
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$301
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$24.72
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$51.74
All 22 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.28per pick43cpaid+52.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$159
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$143
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$322.4
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.14
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$246.4
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$115.5
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.7
Will Levante UD win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$94.6
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$54.6
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$89.38
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$118.8
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$76.45
All 14 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+67%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-40.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)backed AS Roma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+203%+$241.2
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$32
US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$30.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$251.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$198.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+140.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-2.5)backed Al Nassr Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+140.1%+$139.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ojitos Lindos be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tisza win at least 90 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.