NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7991ffabeef65f358432e9a0de35ed4e0b2907d529f2ae4f98bf6a148a91b5be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $869,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $892,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $869,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 639 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Timberwolves | 45c | 269,820$121,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121,418.83 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Spurs | 55c | 201,891$111,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,851.1 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spurs | 53c | 87,466$46,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,885.2 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Timberwolves | 44c | 35,898$15,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,942.77 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 35,000$17,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,350 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Timberwolves | 33c | 30,000$9,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,899.96 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Timberwolves | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,399.93 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Spurs | 67c | 22,143$14,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,306.65 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Spurs | 58c | 21,572$12,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,081.59 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6e…5cfdbacked Spurs | 53c | 20,446$10,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,609.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0da…f3f0backed Spurs | 59c | 20,000$11,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,297.93 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Spurs | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,999.99 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Spurs | 51c | 16,506$8,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,088.06 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 13,000$6,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,009.97 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Timberwolves | 47c | 12,255$5,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,759.78 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Timberwolves | 46c | 12,146$5,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,587.01 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4852…67c4backed Timberwolves | 47c | 11,555$5,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,431 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Timberwolves | 46c | 10,870$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Spurs | 55c | 10,463$5,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,737.71 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…ca90backed Timberwolves | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.97 | 57 | 70.2%40 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Spurs | 52c | 9,799$5,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,715.7 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Spurs | 55c | 9,091$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,090.91 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Spurs | 55c | 9,091$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,090.91 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Timberwolves | 53c | 8,590$4,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,555 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…2fadbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 8,050$3,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,703 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Spurs | 54c | 8,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,680 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Timberwolves | 47c | 7,768$3,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,650.96 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Spurs | 55c | 7,500$4,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,375 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Spurs | 56c | 7,200$4,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,168 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Timberwolves | 46c | 7,093$3,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,262.78 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 56c | 6,836$3,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,008.38 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Spurs | 55c | 6,403$3,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,868.29 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Timberwolves | 46c | 6,015$2,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,766.59 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Timberwolves | 44c | 5,850$2,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,573.99 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Timberwolves | 38c | 5,631$2,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,163.71 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Timberwolves | 45c | 5,618$2,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,529.44 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…a5a4backed Spurs | 54c | 5,556$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.56 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4879…86c0backed Timberwolves | 35c | 5,448$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,915.78 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed Timberwolves | 46c | 5,400$2,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,483.99 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Spurs | 56c | 5,333$2,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,336.65 | 356 | 50%178 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Spurs | 48c | 5,152$2,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,679.47 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Timberwolves | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f19…6aabbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 4,820$2,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,371.93 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Spurs | 51c | 4,501$2,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205.49 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Spurs | 73c | 4,429$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.57 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Timberwolves | 40c | 4,325$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.43 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 4,258$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.36 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed Timberwolves | 46c | 4,185$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.89 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Spurs | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Spurs | 55c | 3,966$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,793.85 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Timberwolves | 47c | 3,864$1,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Spurs | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed Spurs | 53c | 3,766$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,765.62 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Spurs | 55c | 3,736$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.25 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 3,520$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.79 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Timberwolves | 47c | 3,500$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Timberwolves | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…d944backed Spurs | 48c | 3,000$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.98 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Timberwolves | 48c | 2,980$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.28 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Timberwolves | 46c | 2,879$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.32 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Timberwolves | 46c | 2,826$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 209 | 45.5%95 W · 114 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…0d2abacked Spurs | 55c | 2,800$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Timberwolves | 36c | 2,798$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Spurs | 53c | 2,750$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.55 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Spurs | 73c | 2,722$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.22 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spurs | 47c | 2,588$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.9 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Spurs | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Spurs | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 323 | 47.1%152 W · 171 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6584…88c0backed Spurs | 55c | 2,358$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.08 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Timberwolves | 43c | 2,354$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.74 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Timberwolves | 47c | 2,289$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.71 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Spurs | 55c | 2,286$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.95 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 2,277$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.2 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Timberwolves | 46c | 2,268$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.27 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc639…b442backed Spurs | 54c | 2,200$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Timberwolves | 40c | 2,067$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.37 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 2,065$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Timberwolves | 46c | 2,062$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.71 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Spurs | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Timberwolves | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.97 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Spurs | 54c | 1,999$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.54 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked Spurs | 54c | 1,850$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Spurs | 55c | 1,798$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.65 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Spurs | 56c | 1,753$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.5 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Timberwolves | 54c | 1,676$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.98 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…8322backed Timberwolves | 30c | 1,650$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Timberwolves | 44c | 1,600$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf879…820ebacked Timberwolves | 31c | 1,591$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6048…2711backed Timberwolves | 45c | 1,558$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Spurs | 58c | 1,540$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.97 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c3…0230backed Spurs | 61c | 1,507$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.01 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f8…5696backed Spurs | 54c | 1,500$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…0f6bbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.99 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Timberwolves | 53c | 1,369$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.81 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Timberwolves | 45c | 1,348$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.68 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 1,296$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.6 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Spurs | 53c | 1,226$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.42 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Spurs | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Spurs | 55c | 1,178$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.08 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Timberwolves won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Timberwolves won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. TimberwolvesSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5Over won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.