NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a72ca8bcfd14eeff7c11cb122de64e327f3bea196cb6feed3374de18c59f04b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $199,040
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $217,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,040 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Spurs | 55c | 17,594$9,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,876.04 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 16,579$7,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,580.17 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Timberwolves | 45c | 16,257$7,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,315.65 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spurs | 55c | 15,662$8,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,048 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Timberwolves | 44c | 14,418$6,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,276.26 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Spurs | 59c | 13,898$8,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,698.31 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Timberwolves | 41c | 13,873$5,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,687.99 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe193…cc85backed Spurs | 58c | 9,000$5,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,780 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Timberwolves | 44c | 7,284$3,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,204.96 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Spurs | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Timberwolves | 49c | 4,886$2,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,385.7 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs | 56c | 4,417$2,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,943.95 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…ff91backed Spurs | 58c | 4,320$2,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.34 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 44c | 3,868$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691.61 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Timberwolves | 30c | 3,753$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.29 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Spurs | 71c | 3,537$2,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.46 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d0…5a98backed Spurs | 55c | 3,529$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.85 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Timberwolves | 42c | 3,524$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.95 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…1483backed Spurs | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.83 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Spurs | 51c | 3,176$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.94 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Spurs | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Timberwolves | 43c | 2,979$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.17 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Timberwolves | 33c | 2,935$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.57 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 2,624$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.5 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b8…09e5backed Spurs | 59c | 2,452$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Timberwolves | 42c | 2,450$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Timberwolves | 42c | 2,323$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.69 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0de…8048backed Spurs | 58c | 2,275$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.51 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Spurs | 57c | 2,022$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.54 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Spurs | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Timberwolves | 45c | 1,976$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.32 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…ea68backed Timberwolves | 42c | 1,736$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.3 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe741…a9d1backed Spurs | 58c | 1,725$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.1 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Spurs | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Spurs | 53c | 1,685$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.86 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Timberwolves | 41c | 1,676$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.38 | 203 | 55.2%112 W · 91 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01b8…82c1backed Spurs | 57c | 1,397$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.71 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Spurs | 74c | 1,360$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.02 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Spurs | 75c | 1,327$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.92 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Spurs | 61c | 1,313$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.89 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Timberwolves | 41c | 1,306$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.52 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Timberwolves | 45c | 1,289$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.93 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Timberwolves | 39c | 1,193$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.5 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,104$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.08 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Timberwolves | 43c | 1,084$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.12 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Timberwolves | 25c | 1,025$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.45 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09f1…8332backed Spurs | 66c | 1,010$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Timberwolves | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Spurs | 50c | 999.99$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Spurs | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Timberwolves | 37c | 999.98$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.99 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f6…6d85backed Spurs | 55c | 901.56$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.56 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Spurs | 58c | 899.35$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.73 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Spurs | 56c | 889.99$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.79 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0554…7a1fbacked Spurs | 55c | 835.76$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.09 | 183 | 37.2%68 W · 115 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 54c | 819.66$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.38 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Spurs | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Timberwolves | 43c | 727.45$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.63 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…0927backed Spurs | 59c | 658.17$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.85 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Timberwolves | 54c | 640.13$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.67 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Spurs | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Timberwolves | 41c | 540.87$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.76 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a54…7c49backed Spurs | 53c | 538.87$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.78 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +8.9wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Spurs | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71ed…67c2backed Timberwolves | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked Spurs | 66c | 460.69$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.33 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x750c…d430backed Spurs | 57c | 435.67$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.34 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf879…820ebacked Timberwolves | 24c | 416.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7599…4293backed Timberwolves | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21b5…1db6backed Spurs | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 70cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs | 67c | 390.5$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.75 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…8f10backed Spurs | 59c | 377$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.57 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Timberwolves | 44c | 356.76$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.49 | 272 | 45.6%124 W · 148 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1f…7828backed Spurs | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Timberwolves | 49c | 350$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.5 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…00bcbacked Spurs | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Timberwolves | 40c | 337.5$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Spurs | 72c | 327.85$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.38 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Timberwolves | 42c | 310$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.2 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Spurs | 52c | 300.67$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.03 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb97…7ae1backed Timberwolves | 41c | 300.39$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.6 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Spurs | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Timberwolves | 33c | 299.97$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +7.3wins | +0.16per pick | 33cpaid | +82%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Spurs | 51c | 297.22$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.64 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed Timberwolves | 52c | 289.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Timberwolves | 54c | 275$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.3 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Spurs | 55c | 274.11$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.11 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…100ebacked Spurs | 66c | 273.61$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.61 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf19b…1613backed Spurs | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec2d…896cbacked Timberwolves | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Timberwolves | 44c | 232.47$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.03 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Timberwolves | 42c | 221.61$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.08 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Spurs | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Timberwolves | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1988…a534backed Timberwolves | 31c | 207.29$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…b09bbacked Spurs | 59c | 202.49$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.02 | 158 | 57%90 W · 68 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Spurs | 57c | 200.14$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.45 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Spurs | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.27 | 197 | 56.3%111 W · 86 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa55…e024backed Timberwolves | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9db2…19a9backed Spurs | 47c | 183.72$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Timberwolves won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Timberwolves won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. TimberwolvesSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5Over won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.