TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x01b8…82c1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
385
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT12651.6%65 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 126 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+81.3%+$327.85
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BIG - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.5
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BIG - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$144.83
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+64.7%+$452.94
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$87.75
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$25.6
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.45
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sinners (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Alliance (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$433.53
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs 9z (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$81.69
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$369Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+148.7%+$548.86
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$275
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$611Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$611.4
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sinners (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$148.99
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs BIG (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+28%+$46.85
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs TYLOO (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$321.65
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs NIP (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$373.52
Showing 25 of 126 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT9145.1%41 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+24.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 91 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
France vs. Morocco: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$431.93
France vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+97.1%+$473.79
France vs. Morocco: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
France vs. Morocco: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.29
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.96
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.39
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.47
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.15
Mexico vs. England: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+411.8%+$362.4
Mexico vs. England: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+254.3%+$223.82
Mexico vs. England: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+98.6%+$198.8
Mexico vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$130.53
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Showing 25 of 91 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT7917.7%14 W · 65 L-0.3wins0.00per pick18cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 79 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.48
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.8
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.85
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+303.3%+$793.04
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.33
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.98
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$608Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$607.96
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.52
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$214.99
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.8
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$103
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.15
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.91
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$546Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+277.9%+$1,518.12
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$577Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$577.4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+104.8%+$267.43
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$395.34
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.28
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+701.3%+$245.44
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.54
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.91
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.4
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.81
Showing 25 of 79 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT6241.9%26 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs GAM Esports (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+64.4%+$189.42
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$571.32
LoL: AG.AL vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$455
LoL: Team Secret vs Sentinels (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$161
LoL: LUA Gaming vs FALKE Esports (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked LUA Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$237.04
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$838Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+50.1%+$419.94
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$402
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$553Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$553
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$542Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$542.27
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$737Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$736.6
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$265.77
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.33
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.31
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+62.7%+$136.08
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$796Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$202.63
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$85.96
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$3.93
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+44%+$124.81
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$492Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+118.6%+$584.2
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.1
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$222
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+165.7%+$81.57
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.2
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.26
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.84
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$282
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+74.6%+$596.71
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$469.57
All 10 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick60cpaid-56.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Habibis vs summer bear - Game 2 Winnerbacked summer bear · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.12
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$789Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$789.01
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$68.62
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$256.57
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$478.8
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs 4ikibamboni (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$822Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+68.4%+$561.92
Dota 2: PlayTime vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 7 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$282.35
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$327.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$318
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$599Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$351.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$25.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.