Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9dce32a233b267f2980eff3855c61ecb0911c907ffc8575e1f8d4e5dbb96c32

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $470,307
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $409,582

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $470,307 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 584 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc4d5…87cfbacked No	58c	17,458$10,091 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,366.56	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	14c	14,359$2,075 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,075.15	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	27c	13,554$3,674 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,673.83	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	35c	11,295$3,899 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,898.51	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	18c	6,982$1,249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,249.38	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	52c	6,736$3,477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,477.24	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7712…155abacked No	60c	6,304$3,805 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,499.37	158	44.9%71 W · 87 L	+12.4wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	16c	5,406$863 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$862.72	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	22c	5,166$1,126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,126.38	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	60c	4,625$2,779 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,778.66	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	28c	4,572$1,286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,285.78	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e6e…fa58backed Yes	45c	4,208$1,877 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,876.91	66	30.3%20 W · 46 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-23%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No	61c	4,127$2,536 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,590.75	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	25c	4,096$1,028 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,028.12	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	24c	4,050$987 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$986.79	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	19c	3,953$743 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$743.16	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes	51c	3,216$1,653 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,652.89	223	25.1%56 W · 167 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b9e…ae15backed Yes	28c	3,154$898 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$898.35	25	16%4 W · 21 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa43e…ec90backed No	55c	3,112$1,710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,402.77	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98aa…8b8fbacked Yes	26c	3,072$806 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$806	94	16%15 W · 79 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Yes	43c	2,861$1,219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,218.99	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	72c	2,834$2,031 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$803.35	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2eef…eacabacked Yes	49c	2,630$1,279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,278.92	214	29.9%64 W · 150 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-28%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	36c	2,603$939 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$939.5	217	32.3%70 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8288…5519backed Yes	38c	2,596$982 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$981.5	159	29.6%47 W · 112 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	48c	2,266$1,092 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,091.78	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked No	70c	2,200$1,541 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$658.55	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	47c	2,172$1,011 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,010.71	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6e6…e0bbbacked Yes	44c	2,091$915 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$915.39	187	26.7%50 W · 137 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01a4…076ebacked Yes	1c	2,062$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.88	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	30c	2,022$607 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$606.73	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01a4…4967backed Yes	57c	2,018$1,141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,141.43	160	56.9%91 W · 69 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	10c	2,000$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.42	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde0f…57c1backed Yes	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	217	6%13 W · 204 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	27c	1,982$526 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525.79	316	24.7%78 W · 238 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	29c	1,967$564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$563.57	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ee7…fb27backed Yes	31c	1,944$610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$610.47	63	23.8%15 W · 48 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	50c	1,929$957 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$957.27	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Yes	53c	1,888$1,009 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,008.93	152	21.1%32 W · 120 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	31c	1,867$579 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$579.01	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	30c	1,845$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$555.48	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e7…1b5bbacked Yes	29c	1,840$529 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$529.34	149	28.2%42 W · 107 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f00…487fbacked Yes	33c	1,833$607 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$607.03	280	16.4%46 W · 234 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	42c	1,804$749 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$749.27	350	24%84 W · 266 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	49c	1,793$878 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$915.44	309	55%170 W · 139 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30cf…704abacked No	33c	1,785$583 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,201.67	93	48.4%45 W · 48 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aed…5925backed Yes	24c	1,746$426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$426.17	117	21.4%25 W · 92 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	29c	1,744$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510.02	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	50c	1,686$847 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$847.32	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	31c	1,666$517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$517.5	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaac2…e8cebacked No	79c	1,640$1,293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$346.71	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-4.4wins	-0.19per pick	50cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	36c	1,608$574 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$574.19	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa4a…fc9bbacked Yes	53c	1,581$843 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$842.7	90	35.6%32 W · 58 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1d8…8dd3backed Yes	27c	1,554$426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$425.76	62	30.6%19 W · 43 L	+5.2wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6c5…e133backed Yes	43c	1,540$661 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660.68	71	32.4%23 W · 48 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	27c	1,535$412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$411.72	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd143…ddb8backed Yes	30c	1,524$451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450.85	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	28c	1,506$415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414.86	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ab3…a9c2backed Yes	30c	1,500$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8974…bedebacked Yes	13c	1,455$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.65	72	33.3%24 W · 48 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+42%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	76c	1,455$1,104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$351.09	518	45.9%238 W · 280 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	23c	1,432$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.75	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	15c	1,402$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.51	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41be…5f38backed Yes	26c	1,400$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370	69	21.7%15 W · 54 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3335…fbd6backed No	30c	1,388$416 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$971.6	85	32.9%28 W · 57 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked No	28c	1,383$383 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$999.99	272	24.3%66 W · 206 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No	46c	1,362$623 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$739.06	90	57.8%52 W · 38 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98d6…51dcbacked Yes	17c	1,355$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.09	215	21.9%47 W · 168 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08f1…9a02backed Yes	15c	1,347$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	57	19.3%11 W · 46 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	+82.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x57f1…078abacked Yes	22c	1,346$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.19	71	33.8%24 W · 47 L	-4.5wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4efc…dd07backed Yes	23c	1,342$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.37	61	11.5%7 W · 54 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x555c…c64dbacked No	47c	1,342$635 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$707.13	143	32.9%47 W · 96 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04fa…1ff3backed Yes	15c	1,300$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.56	52	21.2%11 W · 41 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed No	42c	1,208$512 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$696.87	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x65ab…273dbacked Yes	37c	1,200$448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$447.88	204	32.4%66 W · 138 L	-11.3wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe396…dce1backed No	65c	1,165$758 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$406.62	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	66cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e9c…2ec7backed No	77c	1,158$887 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270.88	142	19.7%28 W · 114 L	-11.6wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-46%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7141…8345backed Yes	31c	1,147$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357.8	151	36.4%55 W · 96 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No	42c	1,109$464 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$645.42	126	14.3%18 W · 108 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No	71c	1,097$784 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312.65	210	63.3%133 W · 77 L	+22.8wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+30.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc0c4…8129backed No	55c	1,070$589 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480.25	94	23.4%22 W · 72 L	-16.1wins	-0.17per pick	41cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0xbc20…8c98backed Yes	31c	1,067$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328.88	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ca…450abacked Yes	66c	1,064$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	312	17.3%54 W · 258 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x379f…7d70backed No	39c	1,000$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$610	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb1fe…423abacked Yes	10c	993.64$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.66	149	23.5%35 W · 114 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	22c	988.71$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.71	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9b5…9db1backed No	66c	986.78$655 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$332.06	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x627f…f83abacked No	55c	977.71$534 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$443.81	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9372…b267backed Yes	15c	949.99$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.5	71	8.5%6 W · 65 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0095…cdb2backed Yes	10c	929.34$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x332e…e753backed Yes	32c	927.52$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.99	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes	49c	924.23$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	325	29.2%95 W · 230 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5758…e2d8backed Yes	11c	892.84$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9068…e0d2backed Yes	38c	885.09$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.94	160	24.4%39 W · 121 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe827…5209backed Yes	9c	878.92$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.26	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b9f…047ebacked Yes	63c	874.65$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	68	38.2%26 W · 42 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa0fc…88b1backed Yes	11c	869.94$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.19	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x098d…6cc2backed Yes	53c	858.28$455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$454.58	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa230…1cdbbacked Yes	15c	850$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.5	105	21.9%23 W · 82 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	30c	833.33$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event