Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fb1eb6831ddcf55e8d912a4bded7e6bcaf04fe08f47d0818aa999573ae40339

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $413,471
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $261,577

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $413,471 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf01e…51cbbacked Yes	0c	25,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	246	17.5%43 W · 203 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x689a…779ebacked Yes	0c	20,174$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.47	225	9.8%22 W · 203 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd519…932cbacked Yes	1c	16,667$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	11cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	1c	16,051$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.07	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	2c	14,276$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.77	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2179…bedbbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	78	0%0 W · 78 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	0c	6,000$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	0c	5,700$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.64	186	3.8%7 W · 179 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes	0c	5,575$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.54	278	5%14 W · 264 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-89.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	5c	5,351$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.11	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	14c	4,762$679 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$679.49	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98aa…8b8fbacked Yes	11c	4,675$512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$512.45	94	16%15 W · 79 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	6c	4,000$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.81	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	4c	3,520$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.38	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes	1c	3,500$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	609	7.7%47 W · 562 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae8e…afc1backed Yes	1c	3,368$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.17	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	3,312$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.42	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe089…ad3abacked Yes	1c	3,030$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.8	183	4.4%8 W · 175 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	+235.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes	1c	3,000$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	95	3.2%3 W · 92 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-86.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	2,970$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.61	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	2c	2,753$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.24	245	24.9%61 W · 184 L	-13.8wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-45%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x57f1…078abacked Yes	17c	2,623$442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$442.42	71	33.8%24 W · 47 L	-4.5wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2f2…1762backed Yes	3c	2,601$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.16	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9e…fa03backed Yes	5c	2,531$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.18	58	27.6%16 W · 42 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	4c	2,200$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.4	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	2c	2,139$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	2c	2,084$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.51	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	1c	2,074$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.4	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	18c	2,062$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366.2	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	6c	2,054$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.86	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed No	79c	2,049$1,628 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$420.84	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	9c	2,022$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.54	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1b0…3f04backed Yes	10c	2,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	60	26.7%16 W · 44 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	1c	1,964$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.65	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa76…897ebacked Yes	3c	1,830$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.7	155	7.7%12 W · 143 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf61f…1cf3backed Yes	16c	1,747$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.95	129	19.4%25 W · 104 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e6…e0bbbacked Yes	12c	1,711$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.23	187	26.7%50 W · 137 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	1,517$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.7	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	7c	1,488$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.65	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd160…5ffebacked Yes	19c	1,413$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.47	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde0f…57c1backed Yes	5c	1,373$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.1	217	6%13 W · 204 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04fa…1ff3backed Yes	23c	1,305$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	52	21.2%11 W · 41 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d6a…a1a1backed Yes	5c	1,210$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.79	99	22.2%22 W · 77 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	6c	1,190$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.11	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	15c	1,190$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.35	316	24.7%78 W · 238 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	14c	1,111$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.88	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	1c	1,090$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.39	182	4.4%8 W · 174 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd80…4f46backed Yes	10c	1,055$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.9	74	20.3%15 W · 59 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e6e…fa58backed Yes	14c	1,018$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.9	66	30.3%20 W · 46 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-23%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb45…b5d6backed Yes	2c	966$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.98	36	5.6%2 W · 34 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-65.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9372…b267backed Yes	7c	949.97$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.5	71	8.5%6 W · 65 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	2c	900$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.4	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x55ec…8c7dbacked Yes	1c	896$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.18per pick	22cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	3c	830$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.83	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03ec…e25abacked Yes	22c	826.8$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	+45.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	8c	774.48$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.94	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfee1…746fbacked Yes	21c	751.4$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.7	140	22.1%31 W · 109 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5a0…fb10backed Yes	3c	700$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.9	140	26.4%37 W · 103 L	+9.4wins	+0.07per pick	20cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	6c	680.74$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.53	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f67…2fd3backed Yes	10c	663.5$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.86	60	3.3%2 W · 58 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-78.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	9c	660.35$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.13	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cca…f402backed Yes	14c	656.76$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.71	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	5c	654$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.69	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	6c	621$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.39	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdfca…645abacked Yes	11c	618$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.99	278	20.9%58 W · 220 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb2b…cadfbacked Yes	12c	600$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	207	23.7%49 W · 158 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	10c	600$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.5	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ee7…fb27backed Yes	17c	587.32$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.62	63	23.8%15 W · 48 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x299b…8994backed Yes	18c	565.77$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	66	28.8%19 W · 47 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	11c	565.13$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.93	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25f2…0822backed Yes	13c	550.06$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.51	74	13.5%10 W · 64 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98d6…51dcbacked Yes	14c	544.89$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.07	215	21.9%47 W · 168 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	18c	542.95$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.55	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18d4…307cbacked Yes	15c	533.33$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	75	18.7%14 W · 61 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	80c	529.34$423 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.87	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	12c	516.31$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.76	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a77…f859backed Yes	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	153	12.4%19 W · 134 L	+5.7wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41ce…12fdbacked Yes	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	135	17.8%24 W · 111 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x874c…f55fbacked Yes	12c	500$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	31cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x514b…6931backed Yes	14c	489.27$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.5	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	+9.5wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7187…4859backed Yes	13c	477.91$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	233	14.2%33 W · 200 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x699b…0296backed Yes	9c	476.95$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.76	193	14%27 W · 166 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a3a…22c7backed Yes	20c	451$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.2	66	22.7%15 W · 51 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22b8…4132backed Yes	17c	449.31$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.88	48	12.5%6 W · 42 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa67b…af43backed Yes	11c	441.53$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	159	22.6%36 W · 123 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89f8…6c44backed Yes	18c	433$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.09	33	21.2%7 W · 26 L	+2.6wins	+0.08per pick	13cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x636b…615bbacked Yes	3c	410.95$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.19	167	29.9%50 W · 117 L	+5.0wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba38…f74dbacked Yes	17c	407.02$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.3	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0bf…08f0backed Yes	12c	401.17$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.18	216	14.8%32 W · 184 L	-8.1wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x87a9…4bdfbacked Yes	13c	393.19$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.42	131	19.8%26 W · 105 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe583…2d98backed Yes	4c	359.92$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.8	114	21.1%24 W · 90 L	+4.1wins	+0.04per pick	17cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked Yes	13c	344.82$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.83	272	24.3%66 W · 206 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67bf…b296backed Yes	12c	337.14$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.8	360	18.9%68 W · 292 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xecb0…a422backed Yes	12c	333.3$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	168	14.9%25 W · 143 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-40%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa661…4c55backed Yes	12c	333.3$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	132	15.9%21 W · 111 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4efc…dd07backed Yes	18c	327.25$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.91	61	11.5%7 W · 54 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5042…f296backed Yes	13c	324.89$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.78	112	24.1%27 W · 85 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65fc…beacbacked Yes	12c	320.51$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	124	16.9%21 W · 103 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad0c…df3cbacked Yes	11c	299.97$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	280	34.3%96 W · 184 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes	15c	299.26$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.89	126	14.3%18 W · 108 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event