Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bddd245057590b8f844bdff354b1be96e0047d09a207d14a3706b3c8f5ea912

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $538,281
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $504,448

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $538,281 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 544 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd519…932cbacked No	0c	52,222$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.35	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	11cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	48c	13,530$6,540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,989.9	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	31c	7,459$2,278 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,180.36	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	24c	6,087$1,473 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,614.39	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x696e…1c38backed Yes	39c	5,574$2,190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,383.6	92	33.7%31 W · 61 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No	37c	5,562$2,086 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,085.56	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	38c	5,498$2,071 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,427.35	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	21c	5,180$1,094 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,085.68	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	24c	5,128$1,247 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,880.77	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa4a…fc9bbacked Yes	27c	4,861$1,296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,565.08	90	35.6%32 W · 58 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	54c	4,596$2,478 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,117.53	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae8e…afc1backed Yes	10c	4,494$468 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,025.8	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No	40c	4,207$1,674 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,673.72	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	71c	4,156$2,959 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,958.84	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	15c	3,719$565 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,153.86	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	14c	3,456$478 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,978.6	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e1a…7690backed No	80c	3,394$2,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,699.51	124	21.8%27 W · 97 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ee7…fb27backed Yes	29c	2,899$838 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,061.09	63	23.8%15 W · 48 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8288…5519backed Yes	58c	2,800$1,633 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,167.34	159	29.6%47 W · 112 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked No	1c	2,693$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.93	240	1.7%4 W · 236 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+675.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5f5…e714backed Yes	23c	2,658$617 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,041.23	83	24.1%20 W · 63 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57f1…078abacked Yes	22c	2,643$584 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,058.67	71	33.8%24 W · 47 L	-4.5wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x056d…3b69backed Yes	22c	2,604$567 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,037.15	57	15.8%9 W · 48 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e9c…2ec7backed Yes	44c	2,506$1,111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,394.48	142	19.7%28 W · 114 L	-11.6wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-46%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f4f…c2f1backed No	38c	2,416$912 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$912.15	147	51%75 W · 72 L	+18.0wins	+0.12per pick	39cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x3ab3…a9c2backed Yes	38c	2,413$909 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,504.23	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4265…851fbacked Yes	24c	2,375$568 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,807.17	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked No	75c	2,300$1,722 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,721.99	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a3a…22c7backed Yes	20c	2,289$469 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,819.91	66	22.7%15 W · 51 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eef…eacabacked Yes	47c	2,218$1,037 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,181.28	214	29.9%64 W · 150 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-28%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98aa…8b8fbacked Yes	21c	2,063$443 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,620.07	94	16%15 W · 79 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	79c	2,046$1,625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$421.52	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	79c	2,046$1,612 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$433.66	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	11c	2,000$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,789.99	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1b0…3f04backed Yes	14c	2,000$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,719.99	60	26.7%16 W · 44 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	32c	1,950$625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,325.48	316	24.7%78 W · 238 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	66c	1,947$1,292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$654.79	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	30c	1,929$585 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,344.38	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	50c	1,905$955 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$950.46	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9e…fa03backed Yes	22c	1,879$405 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,473.74	58	27.6%16 W · 42 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x299b…8994backed Yes	24c	1,872$446 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,425.76	66	28.8%19 W · 47 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc70b…d2f2backed No	2c	1,847$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.44	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-77%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed No	2c	1,833$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.18	186	3.8%7 W · 179 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	20c	1,783$357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,425.85	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	15c	1,729$258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,471.89	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf6e6…e0bbbacked Yes	21c	1,727$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,356.83	187	26.7%50 W · 137 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f57…27e4backed Yes	58c	1,652$955 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$697.36	71	21.1%15 W · 56 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	21c	1,622$347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,275.02	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	21c	1,596$331 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,265.47	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No	52c	1,568$810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$810.34	241	55.6%134 W · 107 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No	49c	1,564$763 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$763.16	217	32.3%70 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12e0…d6f8backed Yes	17c	1,508$259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,249.11	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8c4…848dbacked No	79c	1,500$1,190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,189.96	609	7.7%47 W · 562 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…dcdebacked Yes	79c	1,475$1,170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$304.58	212	22.2%47 W · 165 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd143…ddb8backed Yes	25c	1,450$357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,093.53	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbcb…bb5dbacked No	47c	1,423$674 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$673.64	223	25.1%56 W · 167 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41be…5f38backed Yes	22c	1,421$306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,114.9	69	21.7%15 W · 54 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc44a…0f0ebacked Yes	23c	1,405$319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,085.98	173	35.3%61 W · 112 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	18c	1,393$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,142.08	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3335…fbd6backed No	30c	1,388$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416.4	85	32.9%28 W · 57 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac6b…a962backed Yes	21c	1,384$295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,088.85	159	32.7%52 W · 107 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdc0…2041backed Yes	73c	1,369$997 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$371.54	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+91.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04fa…1ff3backed Yes	22c	1,364$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,063.75	52	21.2%11 W · 41 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No	72c	1,362$984 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$983.81	90	57.8%52 W · 38 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	22c	1,351$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,054.11	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9d0…542cbacked No	1c	1,350$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.75	67	4.5%3 W · 64 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-77.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b9e…ae15backed No	76c	1,343$1,021 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020.54	25	16%4 W · 21 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	45c	1,338$605 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$733.12	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12e6…d6cdbacked No	74c	1,309$969 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$969.01	52	42.3%22 W · 30 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	68c	1,306$886 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$885.67	221	60.2%133 W · 88 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	53c	1,261$663 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$663.19	309	55%170 W · 139 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Yes	24c	1,215$293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$922.91	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed No	71c	1,111$789 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$788.8	138	15.9%22 W · 116 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No	33c	1,097$357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$356.52	210	63.3%133 W · 77 L	+22.8wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+30.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdfca…645abacked Yes	27c	1,081$287 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$794	278	20.9%58 W · 220 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	22c	1,075$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$843.22	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x913f…c676backed No	76c	1,050$794 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$794.26	100	43%43 W · 57 L	-7.6wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfee1…746fbacked Yes	20c	1,035$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$827.94	140	22.1%31 W · 109 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9b5…9db1backed No	41c	1,002$406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405.96	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2c11…ef93backed Yes	22c	1,000$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$780	35	22.9%8 W · 27 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7354…430fbacked No	74c	999.99$744 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$743.99	188	77.1%145 W · 43 L	+12.3wins	+0.07per pick	71cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	76c	999.98$760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$759.98	248	73%181 W · 67 L	+15.9wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b9f…047ebacked Yes	27c	997.8$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$732.8	68	38.2%26 W · 42 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked No	1c	970$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.58	625	39.5%247 W · 378 L	+48.1wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x08f1…9a02backed Yes	24c	956.01$229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$726.6	57	19.3%11 W · 46 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	+82.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9372…b267backed Yes	16c	949.99$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$797.99	71	8.5%6 W · 65 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f09bbacked No	62c	937.37$582 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$582.3	140	37.1%52 W · 88 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0df4…c7cbbacked No	76c	925.14$705 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$705.08	55	67.3%37 W · 18 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf461…061cbacked Yes	42c	923.16$387 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$536.43	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc20…8c98backed Yes	17c	905.37$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$752.79	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb45…b5d6backed Yes	25c	905$229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$676.26	36	5.6%2 W · 34 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-65.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f00…487fbacked Yes	18c	864.38$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$708.79	280	16.4%46 W · 234 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0fc…88b1backed Yes	19c	850$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$688.5	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa714…ab88backed Yes	27c	839.31$227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$612.31	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	25cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9068…e0d2backed Yes	20c	838.21$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$667.91	160	24.4%39 W · 121 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ec…e25abacked Yes	20c	819.91$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$651.91	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	+45.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	25c	801.94$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$601.94	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No	63c	800.18$502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501.52	72	65.3%47 W · 25 L	+4.9wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe343…23fdbacked Yes	25c	800$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600	154	35.1%54 W · 100 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa980…583ebacked Yes	64c	796.76$511 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$285.53	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	+4.9wins	+0.11per pick	26cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event