Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bac3e0035c0f391ea4106e854fb751cc480dbff34d148ebfe6376b6b42eb1ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $351,641
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $351,641 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2179…bedbbacked Yes | 0c | 31,771$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 78 | 0%0 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02b4…7092backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 83 | 8.4%7 W · 76 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes | 0c | 23,748$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 627 | 13.2%83 W · 544 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 1c | 18,573$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.25 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 0c | 11,840$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 245 | 24.9%61 W · 184 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes | 0c | 11,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 609 | 7.7%47 W · 562 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes | 0c | 6,081$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 553 | 5.6%31 W · 522 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa002…e840backed Yes | 0c | 5,760$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 186 | 3.8%7 W · 179 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes | 0c | 5,681$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 278 | 5%14 W · 264 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -89.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 4c | 5,041$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.67 | 1,196 | 8.7%104 W · 1,092 L | +31.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 2c | 4,083$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.96 | 95 | 3.2%3 W · 92 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db5…cf18backed Yes | 2c | 3,825$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.78 | 886 | 10.3%91 W · 795 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 3,597$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 3,481$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb45…b5d6backed Yes | 0c | 3,449$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 36 | 5.6%2 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53bd…5d30backed Yes | 4c | 3,096$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.7 | 106 | 6.6%7 W · 99 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…4375backed Yes | 2c | 3,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 254 | 13.4%34 W · 220 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9e…fa03backed Yes | 2c | 2,630$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…0822backed Yes | 11c | 2,442$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.8 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes | 7c | 2,387$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.09 | 564 | 29.8%168 W · 396 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes | 2c | 2,305$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.78 | 827 | 14.9%123 W · 704 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98aa…8b8fbacked Yes | 8c | 2,216$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.76 | 94 | 16%15 W · 79 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…8733backed Yes | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.04 | 571 | 8.2%47 W · 524 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…779ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,764$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 225 | 9.8%22 W · 203 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8966…3476backed Yes | 1c | 1,751$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9996…bda1backed Yes | 9c | 1,670$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.85 | 149 | 13.4%20 W · 129 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa76…897ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,460$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.97 | 155 | 7.7%12 W · 143 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 3c | 1,338$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…8c43backed Yes | 8c | 1,310$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 465 | 21.3%99 W · 366 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 4c | 1,206$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 691 | 5.5%38 W · 653 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 4c | 1,083$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.87 | 151 | 5.3%8 W · 143 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +227.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,037$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.63 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e6e…fa58backed Yes | 7c | 1,022$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.76 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 4c | 1,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 491 | 6.7%33 W · 458 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9372…b267backed Yes | 3c | 949.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 71 | 8.5%6 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee1…746fbacked Yes | 12c | 789.34$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.86 | 140 | 22.1%31 W · 109 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 8c | 764.2$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 126 | 14.3%18 W · 108 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ec…e25abacked Yes | 12c | 758.88$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.35 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes | 8c | 739.92$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.59 | 316 | 24.7%78 W · 238 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b30…068abacked Yes | 4c | 697.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 329 | 17%56 W · 273 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6779…0400backed Yes | 7c | 683.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 7.4%7 W · 87 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 6c | 666.75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.39 | 407 | 19.7%80 W · 327 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…e07abacked Yes | 4c | 648.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 781 | 11.3%88 W · 693 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes | 8c | 600$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 509 | 13.8%70 W · 439 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0b…4d2fbacked Yes | 9c | 583.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699b…0296backed Yes | 5c | 583.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 193 | 14%27 W · 166 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf61f…1cf3backed Yes | 8c | 583.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 129 | 19.4%25 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 6c | 577$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…b296backed Yes | 7c | 573.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 360 | 18.9%68 W · 292 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…c978backed Yes | 7c | 573.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 92 | 13%12 W · 80 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 7c | 567.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…5258backed Yes | 7c | 545.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…fb27backed Yes | 10c | 520.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2b…cadfbacked Yes | 5c | 500$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 207 | 23.7%49 W · 158 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…a9ddbacked Yes | 3c | 500$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes | 8c | 499.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 416 | 10.6%44 W · 372 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f67…2fd3backed Yes | 5c | 480.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 60 | 3.3%2 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8164…0813backed Yes | 7c | 450$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 277 | 7.9%22 W · 255 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…07efbacked Yes | 3c | 420$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 1,038 | 11.1%115 W · 923 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…4132backed Yes | 8c | 414.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 48 | 12.5%6 W · 42 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e6…e0bbbacked Yes | 6c | 408.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 187 | 26.7%50 W · 137 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a9…4bdfbacked Yes | 7c | 400$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 131 | 19.8%26 W · 105 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ef…990abacked Yes | 6c | 399.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 732 | 15.2%111 W · 621 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…4b09backed Yes | 4c | 389.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 798 | 11.3%90 W · 708 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f8…6c44backed Yes | 8c | 321.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 13cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5a…1537backed Yes | 8c | 320.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 159 | 18.9%30 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d6…51dcbacked Yes | 8c | 308.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 215 | 21.9%47 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…4a62backed Yes | 7c | 300$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb353…bd7fbacked Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 119 | 4.2%5 W · 114 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 7c | 293.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 706 | 16.4%116 W · 590 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…5c90backed Yes | 5c | 289.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 77 | 9.1%7 W · 70 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6a…a1a1backed Yes | 4c | 278.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 99 | 22.2%22 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…5198backed Yes | 11c | 267.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…eacebacked Yes | 9c | 254.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 100 | 8%8 W · 92 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57f1…078abacked Yes | 5c | 251.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…ae2bbacked Yes | 6c | 250$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 81 | 9.9%8 W · 73 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…b42dbacked Yes | 5c | 240$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed Yes | 6c | 226.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 880 | 18.6%164 W · 716 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x143b…74b5backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…b501backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 93 | 15.1%14 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9140…f62cbacked Yes | 11c | 191.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65fc…beacbacked Yes | 11c | 180.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 124 | 16.9%21 W · 103 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x582c…eb16backed Yes | 8c | 167.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 116 | 13.8%16 W · 100 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa123…2c1dbacked Yes | 7c | 160$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…645abacked Yes | 9c | 126$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 278 | 20.9%58 W · 220 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6607…0cccbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…08f0backed Yes | 9c | 117.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 216 | 14.8%32 W · 184 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes | 11c | 112.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 427 | 19.2%82 W · 345 L | +23.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 580 | 11.4%66 W · 514 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x855e…de25backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f7…00f0backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.