Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3eb9e700705c2b60b7845f6d0327a965f099f62125f00b9ef006a21e46f9a2c

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $690,493
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $420,997

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $690,493 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 337 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x689a…779ebacked Yes	1c	41,039$595 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$594.97	225	9.8%22 W · 203 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	4c	27,940$1,011 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,011.21	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	2c	16,584$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.49	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae8e…afc1backed Yes	1c	15,613$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.25	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	3c	14,760$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.18	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	3c	11,264$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391.47	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd519…932cbacked Yes	2c	11,111$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.44	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	11cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	3c	8,021$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.41	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcadc…4285backed Yes	1c	7,692$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	97	28.9%28 W · 69 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	0c	7,512$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.54	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	1c	7,000$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	7c	6,612$432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$432.43	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x056d…3b69backed Yes	1c	6,191$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.04	57	15.8%9 W · 48 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	6,060$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.05	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	1c	6,024$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.96	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d7…2ffbbacked Yes	1c	5,872$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.65	41	14.6%6 W · 35 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	9cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	2c	5,677$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.06	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes	1c	5,674$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.84	95	3.2%3 W · 92 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-86.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9e…fa03backed Yes	5c	5,560$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.58	58	27.6%16 W · 42 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes	1c	5,305$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.65	278	5%14 W · 264 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-89.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c91…b7f4backed Yes	0c	5,006$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.53	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	1c	5,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.1	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	22c	4,835$1,061 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,061.39	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x299b…8994backed Yes	17c	4,630$801 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$801	66	28.8%19 W · 47 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	3c	4,596$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.96	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	1c	4,525$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.79	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcba3…6055backed No	73c	4,100$2,986 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,114.29	99	35.4%35 W · 64 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98aa…8b8fbacked Yes	17c	4,023$665 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$665.01	94	16%15 W · 79 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04f5…71e9backed Yes	1c	4,020$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.65	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	1c	3,924$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.33	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25f2…0822backed Yes	5c	3,875$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.13	74	13.5%10 W · 64 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d87…f9f9backed Yes	7c	3,828$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.34	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12e0…d6f8backed Yes	3c	3,766$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.58	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	0c	3,720$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.7	186	3.8%7 W · 179 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf114…8003backed Yes	1c	3,665$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.11	48	22.9%11 W · 37 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	16cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	6c	3,480$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.28	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f57…27e4backed Yes	2c	3,333$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.72	71	21.1%15 W · 56 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4265…851fbacked Yes	27c	3,332$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$899.71	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfca…645abacked Yes	20c	3,108$623 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$623.11	278	20.9%58 W · 220 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8288…5519backed Yes	1c	3,100$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.9	159	29.6%47 W · 112 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	4c	3,036$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.02	245	24.9%61 W · 184 L	-13.8wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-45%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	16c	3,019$496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$496.1	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd317…025abacked Yes	1c	3,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.72	220	23.6%52 W · 168 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec2d…de68backed Yes	1c	3,000$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	176	12.5%22 W · 154 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa76…897ebacked Yes	2c	2,928$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.94	155	7.7%12 W · 143 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	1c	2,761$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.18	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77a5…fccdbacked Yes	2c	2,741$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.54	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	21cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	9c	2,647$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.33	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	9c	2,534$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.38	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf2f2…1762backed Yes	8c	2,455$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.53	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes	2c	2,307$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.12	223	25.1%56 W · 167 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	11c	2,200$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.4	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	19c	2,188$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416.5	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa135…6085backed Yes	5c	2,103$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	47	12.8%6 W · 41 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-47%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x879d…b501backed Yes	2c	2,076$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.36	93	15.1%14 W · 79 L	+5.1wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1b0…3f04backed Yes	19c	2,041$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.29	60	26.7%16 W · 44 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea85…efe5backed Yes	1c	2,000$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	62	14.5%9 W · 53 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	+28%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfb5…3f64backed Yes	1c	2,000$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	51	0%0 W · 51 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	5c	1,929$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.87	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0337…a38ebacked Yes	12c	1,917$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.89	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	17cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf4e…e3a2backed Yes	2c	1,859$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.76	99	21.2%21 W · 78 L	+8.0wins	+0.08per pick	13cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x57f1…078abacked Yes	17c	1,854$313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.81	71	33.8%24 W · 47 L	-4.5wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe343…23fdbacked Yes	13c	1,800$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	154	35.1%54 W · 100 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f1b…4cc1backed Yes	1c	1,690$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.14	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfee1…746fbacked Yes	15c	1,684$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.09	140	22.1%31 W · 109 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	3c	1,672$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.42	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes	3c	1,667$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.47	121	6.6%8 W · 113 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5f5…e714backed Yes	27c	1,639$439 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$438.52	83	24.1%20 W · 63 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a3a…22c7backed Yes	2c	1,609$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.47	66	22.7%15 W · 51 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	74c	1,595$1,182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$412.49	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba75…adb4backed Yes	1c	1,542$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.92	24	0%0 W · 24 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes	5c	1,532$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.84	126	14.3%18 W · 108 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	2c	1,522$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bff…5ab4backed Yes	1c	1,500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	80	2.5%2 W · 78 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-80.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	9c	1,480$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.27	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ab3…a9c2backed Yes	26c	1,429$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366.35	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e6…e0bbbacked Yes	20c	1,401$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.6	187	26.7%50 W · 137 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed Yes	2c	1,377$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.54	79	17.7%14 W · 65 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf71c…4dabbacked Yes	2c	1,340$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	115	7.8%9 W · 106 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	3c	1,280$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.9	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x08f1…9a02backed Yes	26c	1,269$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.78	57	19.3%11 W · 46 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	+82.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	2c	1,251$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.94	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	2c	1,241$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.13	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77d5…eacebacked Yes	1c	1,239$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.42	100	8%8 W · 92 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+74.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed No	73c	1,228$896 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$331.57	108	66.7%72 W · 36 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cc1…480abacked Yes	3c	1,193$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.84	35	2.9%1 W · 34 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc99e…3853backed Yes	1c	1,185$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.52	197	22.8%45 W · 152 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x433e…6be1backed Yes	19c	1,160$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	90	24.4%22 W · 68 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	8c	1,159$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.53	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	18c	1,149$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.38	316	24.7%78 W · 238 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc36…8542backed Yes	2c	1,142$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	232	22.4%52 W · 180 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde0f…57c1backed Yes	4c	1,130$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.17	217	6%13 W · 204 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	4c	1,121$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.79	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed No	73c	1,111$811 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$299.96	138	15.9%22 W · 116 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04fa…1ff3backed Yes	27c	1,096$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.1	52	21.2%11 W · 41 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73b5…e8a3backed Yes	1c	1,094$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	92	18.5%17 W · 75 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8966…3476backed Yes	1c	1,087$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.96	22	0%0 W · 22 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeac6…f53fbacked Yes	6c	1,071$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.59	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd160…5ffebacked Yes	29c	1,062$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.01	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e5a…935fbacked Yes	15c	1,039$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.21	48	35.4%17 W · 31 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event