TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9ffa…c8fc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
738
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Commodities, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 55 out of 100; worst NFL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweetslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT5588.2%46 W · 512 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 558 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will White House post 200+ posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.43
Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.17
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.04
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.05
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.54
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.8
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.98
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.78
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.56
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+585.9%+$768.52
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.44
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.23
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.84
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.92
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.52
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.26
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.01
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.64
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.13
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.29
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+722.8%+$131.77
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.11
Showing 25 of 558 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT4126.8%11 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.25
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.22
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Justin Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+459.9%+$550.84
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+101%+$50.26
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Aiemann Zahabi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.95
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Michael Chandler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.25
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Kyle Daukaus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.27
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Steve Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.77
MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Caranobacked Carano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perrybacked Diaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
MVP Fight Night: Francis Ngannou vs. Philipe Linsbacked Lins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+203%+$101.52
UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+366.5%+$142.93
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Joshua Van · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+140.9%+$38.71
UFC 328: Ozzy Diaz vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Ozzy Diaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Mateusz Rebecki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Jack Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Youssef Zalal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.37
UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Alexander Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.37
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Josh Hokit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$33.17
UFC 327: Cub Swanson vs. Nate Landwehr (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Nate Landwehr · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.93
UFC 327: Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Johnny Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.8
UFC Fight Night: Manolo Zecchini vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Manolo Zecchini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.53
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3119.4%6 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick16cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$700.08
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$695Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+514.5%+$3,574
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$585Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$585.34
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.39
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.8
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.47
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.37
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.4
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.9
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+146.8%+$16.14
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.01
Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.89
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.18
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+383.2%+$57.1
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.26
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.27
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT3046.7%14 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.1
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+336.6%+$36.18
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.15
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+109.8%+$29.55
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+106.7%+$16.64
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.97
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+97.6%+$12.35
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.55
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.1
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.9
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.24
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.14
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+128.8%+$28.71
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+87.1%+$40.96
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.27
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.3
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$10.77
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+75.1%+$15.03
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+75.3%+$33.87
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Yandex Win The International 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.9
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Aurora Gaming win DreamLeague Season 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.6
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.47
Will PlayTime win DreamLeague Season 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.54
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+235.3%+$70.59
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+154.4%+$33.97
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+125.5%+$26.36
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PlayTime (BO1) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.83
Dota 2: PlayTime vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.23
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.69
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Dota 2: Heroic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+90.2%+$11.73
All 17 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1612.5%2 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick26cpaid-62.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$170
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$32.55
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+70.8%+$28.31
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$28
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$82
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$40
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+334.8%+$66.96
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$19
All 16 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+134.4%+$17.2
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.65
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.65
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+146.7%+$18.39
Will Team Spirit win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+243.8%+$26.82
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+144.8%+$18.83
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+112.3%+$15.72
All 11 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.02
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.93
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$13.41
Will Frankenstein win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Joel Edgerton (Train Dreams) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 9 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+98.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-44.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+85.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+219.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+219.9%+$76.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lauri Saaskilahti Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.77
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.