UFC · resolved market
UFC 328: Ozzy Diaz vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeda10e948da98dc0068c25bb4807ee37e95f6937d19cecbdf6376b74f131b301
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ateba Gautierof Ozzy Diaz, Ateba Gautier
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $344,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $423,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $344,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Ozzy Diaz | 10c | 119,988$11,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,998.81 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…ec43backed Ozzy Diaz | 11c | 20,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +39%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Ozzy Diaz | 9c | 15,129$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.62 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Ozzy Diaz | 13c | 7,970$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.98 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Ozzy Diaz | 14c | 7,390$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Ozzy Diaz | 9c | 5,185$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.55 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…fd52backed Ozzy Diaz | 11c | 4,699$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.5 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2258…0eecbacked Ozzy Diaz | 11c | 4,545$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Ozzy Diaz | 12c | 4,158$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.36 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…a73abacked Ozzy Diaz | 11c | 3,107$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…5896backed Ozzy Diaz | 12c | 2,587$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5b…d4ecbacked Ozzy Diaz | 11c | 2,341$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.87 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Ozzy Diaz | 3c | 2,289$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.66 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Ozzy Diaz | 10c | 2,220$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f8…b501backed Ozzy Diaz | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Ozzy Diaz | 11c | 1,800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b9…7126backed Ozzy Diaz | 10c | 1,669$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Ozzy Diaz | 11c | 1,635$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.64 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c5…5dccbacked Ozzy Diaz | 10c | 1,111$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f8…b3e6backed Ozzy Diaz | 12c | 1,033$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1d…3a45backed Ozzy Diaz | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…ff9bbacked Ozzy Diaz | 11c | 967.27$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa1…e126backed Ozzy Diaz | 11c | 830$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf974…a1e0backed Ozzy Diaz | 13c | 786.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Ozzy Diaz | 13c | 779.23$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe749…b85ebacked Ozzy Diaz | 12c | 738.37$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +69%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Ozzy Diaz | 13c | 708.77$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.14 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Ozzy Diaz | 10c | 699.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 248 | 47.2%117 W · 131 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Ozzy Diaz | 10c | 680.47$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.05 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Ozzy Diaz | 9c | 599.9$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2673…5ac9backed Ozzy Diaz | 11c | 527.78$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Ozzy Diaz | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Ozzy Diaz | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Ozzy Diaz | 12c | 498.48$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e91…4e8bbacked Ozzy Diaz | 11c | 490.91$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Ozzy Diaz | 11c | 462.01$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Ozzy Diaz | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb883…41e9backed Ozzy Diaz | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf31…6575backed Ozzy Diaz | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201a…fe3dbacked Ozzy Diaz | 10c | 385.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Ozzy Diaz | 9c | 308.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…1fa7backed Ozzy Diaz | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x638c…1e4abacked Ozzy Diaz | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…324ebacked Ozzy Diaz | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8c…1a79backed Ozzy Diaz | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc9…6877backed Ozzy Diaz | 17c | 264.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +52%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked Ozzy Diaz | 11c | 261$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Ozzy Diaz | 11c | 260.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7008…d2f5backed Ozzy Diaz | 10c | 250.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…bae8backed Ozzy Diaz | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Ozzy Diaz | 10c | 239.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e17…2301backed Ozzy Diaz | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Ozzy Diaz | 11c | 212.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a8…d7b7backed Ozzy Diaz | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked Ozzy Diaz | 10c | 208.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f44…bc79backed Ozzy Diaz | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc2…89a0backed Ozzy Diaz | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0094…c496backed Ozzy Diaz | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6b…3e58backed Ozzy Diaz | 12c | 174.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +116.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x189a…ee8ebacked Ozzy Diaz | 9c | 170.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Ozzy Diaz | 10c | 160$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ozzy Diaz | 7c | 156.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…2f3dbacked Ozzy Diaz | 11c | 154.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfad…c788backed Ozzy Diaz | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6b…2bc6backed Ozzy Diaz | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x34c8…c648backed Ozzy Diaz | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Ozzy Diaz | 10c | 149$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 383 | 53.3%204 W · 179 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Ozzy Diaz | 11c | 148.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 267 | 36%96 W · 171 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Ozzy Diaz | 10c | 143.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…029bbacked Ozzy Diaz | 11c | 140$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ec…1bafbacked Ozzy Diaz | 10c | 136.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…30b5backed Ozzy Diaz | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 283 | 33.2%94 W · 189 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0e…e9c1backed Ozzy Diaz | 13c | 135$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e1…4fdebacked Ozzy Diaz | 15c | 133.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Ozzy Diaz | 13c | 132.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Ozzy Diaz | 12c | 125.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Ozzy Diaz | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x911f…5ed0backed Ozzy Diaz | 11c | 118.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb232…8709backed Ozzy Diaz | 12c | 110$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f40…66aabacked Ozzy Diaz | 11c | 109.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660c…57ddbacked Ozzy Diaz | 19c | 106.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00bd…95f9backed Ozzy Diaz | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -10.7wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…643cbacked Ozzy Diaz | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…5166backed Ozzy Diaz | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 22cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…5ac3backed Ozzy Diaz | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011d…3d2fbacked Ozzy Diaz | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed Ozzy Diaz | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ab…482ebacked Ozzy Diaz | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x358a…a3ebbacked Ozzy Diaz | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…0ccebacked Ozzy Diaz | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f2…89f3backed Ozzy Diaz | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeea…bce2backed Ozzy Diaz | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Ozzy Diaz | 12c | 99.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Ozzy Diaz | 12c | 95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Ozzy Diaz | 12c | 91.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 242 | 56.2%136 W · 106 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Ozzy Diaz | 14c | 71.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 132 | 21.2%28 W · 104 L | -11.7wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Ateba Gautier | 77c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 328: Ozzy Diaz vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Ateba Gautier win by KO or TKO?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.