TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2258…0eec

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Lol, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 60 out of 100; worst La Liga at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Ozzy Diaz vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Ozzy Diaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Yaroslav Amosov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$2,250
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$999Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$999
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$850
UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Mateusz Rebecki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Jose Ochoa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,686Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$2,260.98
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Carlos Prates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$854Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$854
UFC Fight Night: Beneil Dariush vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Quillan Salkilld · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$888Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$250.46
UFC Fight Night: Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Steve Erceg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$731.25
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$999Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$616.6
UFC Fight Night: Shamil Gaziev vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Brando Pericic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$900
UFC Fight Night: Robert Bryczek vs. Cam Rowston (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Cam Rowston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$300.45
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$967Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$966.63
UFC Fight Night: Gerald Meerschaert vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Gerald Meerschaert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
UFC Fight Night: Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Colby Thicknesse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$975Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$766.07
UFC Fight Night: Themba Gorimbo vs. Jonathan Micallef (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Jonathan Micallef · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$997Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$491.07
UFC Fight Night: Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Gauge Young · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$177.63
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.7
UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Melissa Croden (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Daria Zhelezniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.72
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+132.9%+$128.36
UFC Fight Night: Robert Valentin vs. Julien LeBlanc (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Julien LeBlanc · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.78
All 22 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Santos: Miguel Tobon vs Facundo Menabacked Facundo Mena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$5,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,900
Brazzaville: Franco Ribero vs Matyas Cernybacked Franco Ribero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,899Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+243.3%+$7,052.5
Santos: Mateus Cardoso Alves vs Hernan Casanovabacked Hernan Casanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$1,051.36
La Bisbal: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Elena Pridankinabacked Elena Pridankina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.62
Aix en Provence: Kimmer Coppejans vs Valentin Royerbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$692Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$691.83
Huzhou: Xiaodi You vs Jiajing Lubacked Jiajing Lu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,358Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$939.95
Madrid Open: Cameron Norrie vs Tomas Machacbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+56.1%+$209.09
Madrid Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Titouan Droguetbacked Benjamin Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$969Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+110.1%+$1,065.94
Abidjan: Samir Hamza Reguig vs Oscar Weightmanbacked Samir Hamza Reguig · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$985Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$328.35
Madrid Open, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Henrique Rochabacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,209Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$1,552.7
Madrid Open, Qualification: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Daria Snigurbacked Hanne Vandewinkel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$939.52
Madrid Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Elvina Kalievabacked Elvina Kalieva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,409Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$2,496.86
Savannah: Daniil Glinka vs Stefan Kozlovbacked Daniil Glinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,094Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,094.2
Oeiras 3: Valentin Royer vs Roman Safiullinbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$657Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$656.61
All 14 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT7100%7 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+157.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+157.7%+$16.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,600
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$958Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$957.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.