TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Gerald Meerschaert vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Main Card)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jacob Malkounof Gerald Meerschaert, Jacob Malkoun
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$451,040
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$536,145

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $451,040 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Gerald Meerschaert10c85,000$8,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,441.4613452.2%70 W · 64 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Gerald Meerschaert24c40,000$9,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,60019544.6%87 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Gerald Meerschaert10c39,403$3,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,980.982250%11 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Jacob Malkoun78c24,674$19,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,477.384957.1%28 W · 21 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+31.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Gerald Meerschaert10c17,389$1,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,724.0626743.8%117 W · 150 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54d2…ac37backed Gerald Meerschaert11c15,840$1,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,742.041346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+46.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Gerald Meerschaert21c5,235$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.0729151.9%151 W · 140 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e9…ee46backed Gerald Meerschaert10c4,688$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.5310650.9%54 W · 52 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadec…3c7bbacked Gerald Meerschaert13c4,301$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.353839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Gerald Meerschaert11c3,827$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.8390553.6%485 W · 420 L+46.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Gerald Meerschaert19c3,533$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.276045%27 W · 33 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Gerald Meerschaert10c3,150$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31535826%93 W · 265 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda79…daecbacked Gerald Meerschaert3c3,122$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.6118540.5%75 W · 110 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked Gerald Meerschaert9c3,106$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.542646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Jacob Malkoun76c2,461$1,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.6328143.1%121 W · 160 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Gerald Meerschaert11c2,034$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.691952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+42%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaba5…9a02backed Gerald Meerschaert10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-56.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20a8…f004backed Gerald Meerschaert26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52020954.1%113 W · 96 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2258…0eecbacked Gerald Meerschaert26c1,909$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Jacob Malkoun74c1,705$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.385273.1%38 W · 14 L+8.1wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+40.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xedea…8b39backed Jacob Malkoun76c1,648$1,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.444042.5%17 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3751…7dfdbacked Jacob Malkoun78c1,616$1,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.586142.6%26 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x328f…efe2backed Gerald Meerschaert14c1,437$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.1630%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd578…a365backed Gerald Meerschaert14c1,109$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.152133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-39.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Gerald Meerschaert17c1,059$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.4451533.6%173 W · 342 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72e1…a45dbacked Gerald Meerschaert12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58db…6901backed Gerald Meerschaert10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006546.2%30 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf65b…e257backed Gerald Meerschaert10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0506…8c6abacked Gerald Meerschaert22c999.98$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22016846.4%78 W · 90 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7712…5fe1backed Gerald Meerschaert3c933.33$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3130%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x726b…1afebacked Gerald Meerschaert22c927.48$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002552%13 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…969fbacked Gerald Meerschaert10c903.6$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.361145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick24cpaid+79.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb925…0f4abacked Gerald Meerschaert8c800$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645335.8%19 W · 34 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9c7…5d22backed Gerald Meerschaert12c777.6$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9510533.3%35 W · 70 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3f3…3426backed Gerald Meerschaert26c776.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014233.1%47 W · 95 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71b4…f97ebacked Gerald Meerschaert7c750$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.55952.5%31 W · 28 L+6.4wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+190.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf974…a1e0backed Gerald Meerschaert14c745.17$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.322416.7%4 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-35.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x08ec…8c8dbacked Gerald Meerschaert11c727.75$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Gerald Meerschaert7c700$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494032.5%13 W · 27 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick22cpaid+23.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x23cb…80d0backed Gerald Meerschaert15c684.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid+13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c04…fe01backed Gerald Meerschaert30c673.13$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Gerald Meerschaert17c625.42$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.562850%14 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Gerald Meerschaert17c608.69$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.53237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b29…8373backed Gerald Meerschaert10c566$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.620933.5%70 W · 139 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2849…3d49backed Jacob Malkoun76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1209949.5%49 W · 50 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Gerald Meerschaert29c494.84$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.93946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0b5…a0d7backed Gerald Meerschaert10c494.53$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5111837.3%44 W · 74 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebd9…77cfbacked Gerald Meerschaert10c480$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b86…dd8fbacked Gerald Meerschaert10c451.8$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.18450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78bd…e7c6backed Gerald Meerschaert24c404.99$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Gerald Meerschaert16c383.33$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3654056.7%306 W · 234 L-1.7wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Jacob Malkoun74c368.28$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.9527448.2%132 W · 142 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x997d…decfbacked Gerald Meerschaert11c363.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Jacob Malkoun77c363.32$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.57648.7%37 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Jacob Malkoun77c327.52$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.384456.8%25 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+6.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7358…1d32backed Gerald Meerschaert13c326$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.327647.4%36 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Gerald Meerschaert15c320.26$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.62638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea8e…ee37backed Jacob Malkoun75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.673060%18 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cee…0d1ebacked Gerald Meerschaert10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253650%18 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Gerald Meerschaert10c249.93$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.996732.8%22 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7008…d2f5backed Gerald Meerschaert14c249.57$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356342.9%27 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Gerald Meerschaert9c241.87$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.774639.1%18 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e91…4e8bbacked Gerald Meerschaert12c224.75$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.977631.6%24 W · 52 L-7.8wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-31.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Gerald Meerschaert12c217.22$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0712541.6%52 W · 73 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x089c…8df0backed Gerald Meerschaert10c205.4$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.54616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-67.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x610b…36a3backed Gerald Meerschaert24c202.37$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.894568.9%31 W · 14 L+7.4wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+22.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2045…c77cbacked Jacob Malkoun76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x517b…be02backed Gerald Meerschaert13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261020%2 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-64.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Gerald Meerschaert10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205418.5%10 W · 44 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-56.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Gerald Meerschaert25c197$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4812557.6%72 W · 53 L+11.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x914b…b84abacked Gerald Meerschaert13c192.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259637.5%36 W · 60 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xac1e…ea39backed Gerald Meerschaert13c191.51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2532431.8%103 W · 221 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe160…b6b9backed Gerald Meerschaert16c188.4$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.914442.4%61 W · 83 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a04…2071backed Gerald Meerschaert11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209542.1%40 W · 55 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf67c…44adbacked Gerald Meerschaert22c180.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa844…83b8backed Gerald Meerschaert24c173.14$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.554656.5%26 W · 20 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf6b8…d54cbacked Gerald Meerschaert12c170.63$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.865341.5%22 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbc…b637backed Gerald Meerschaert9c170$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.34854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d0e…e9c1backed Gerald Meerschaert10c169$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.92544%11 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd90d…3627backed Gerald Meerschaert7c166.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick16cpaid+230.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5df…0f22backed Gerald Meerschaert12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205851.7%30 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a57…7615backed Gerald Meerschaert29c155.17$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc647…5e87backed Gerald Meerschaert21c153.77$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.61333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-48%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb72…6c45backed Gerald Meerschaert13c150$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.51560%9 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+30.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe23…2041backed Gerald Meerschaert11c145.45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick36cpaid-75.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcdb1…cddbbacked Gerald Meerschaert11c140.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+39%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Jacob Malkoun76c138$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1216247.5%77 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e50…7a6bbacked Gerald Meerschaert24c137.5$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339450%47 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfed8…9dd0backed Gerald Meerschaert12c136.39$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.37633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+89.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e1…4fdebacked Gerald Meerschaert11c136.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151637.5%6 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick23cpaid+49.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x93fe…9a10backed Gerald Meerschaert11c136.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid+16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Gerald Meerschaert19c136.25$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.324643.5%20 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa430…c6f9backed Gerald Meerschaert10c127.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7912755.1%70 W · 57 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e13…d6d0backed Gerald Meerschaert19c123.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick32cpaid+72%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8b6…a412backed Gerald Meerschaert16c123.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Gerald Meerschaert14c122.72$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.194252.4%22 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e56…55bbbacked Jacob Malkoun76c122.23$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.34955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6222…b3e8backed Gerald Meerschaert11c122.15$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.425742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Gerald Meerschaert14c103.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4226736%96 W · 171 L-16.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x334d…287bbacked Gerald Meerschaert10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.