TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf5df…0f22

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
110
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: CS2, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 57 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT5851.7%30 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$96
Will the fight be won by submission?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$64.6
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Islam Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$49.2
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Dricus Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$122.4
UFC Fight Night: Tabatha Ricci vs. Fatima Kline (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Fatima Kline · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$13.01
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$399.9
UFC 329: Cody Garbrandt vs. Adrian Yanez (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Adrian Yanez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+53%+$32.04
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Michel Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.85
UFC Fight Night: Nursulton Ruziboev vs. Andrey Pulyaev (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Andrey Pulyaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.13
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.42
UFC Fight Night: Christian Rodriguez vs. Hyder Amil (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Hyder Amil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Vinicius Oliveira (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Vinicius Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$27.74
UFC Fight Night: Gaston Bolaños vs. Michael Aswell (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Gaston Bolaños · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$100.62
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Josh Hokit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$702Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$198
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$35.7
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Belal Muhammad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$594Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$594
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Brendan Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$20.9
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$180.19
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Bryce Mitchell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$121
UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Jose Henrique · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+71.1%+$57.22
UFC Fight Night: Rodrigo Vera vs. Zhu Kangjie (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Rodrigo Vera · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$350
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+102.3%+$158.75
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Joaquin Buckley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$366
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Joshua Van · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+171.4%+$240
UFC Fight Night: Robert Bryczek vs. Cam Rowston (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Robert Bryczek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.99
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+27.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs OG (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Bbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Counter-Strike: ECHO vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - DraculaN Group Bbacked ECHO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.7
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$71.4
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$378
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$137.25
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$89.55
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$102.4
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$190.62
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$86.81
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+76.6%+$130.16
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.08
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$109.22
Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+62.7%+$20.06
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$110.24
Counter-Strike: Team magixx vs Team m3wsu (BO3)backed Team m3wsu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO1)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$250
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michael Olise: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$556Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$216.4
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.5
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.87
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$553Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$147
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$562Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$562.4
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.4
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+157.5%+$18.35
Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$879Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$879.03
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$289.8
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.58
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.7
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+300%+$285
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.85
All 15 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$536Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$264
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.5
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-Inbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$98.5
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$76.65
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.5
LoL: Fnatic vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+66.7%+$36.67
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$288.36
Will SSC Napoli vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$51.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+66.7%+$266.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Naomi Osaka vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$162.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Hong Kong, China vs Bahrainbacked Bahrain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$646Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$646
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.