CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29663adb4d609a671f1fd0abcdd9d4f9d3285f87602a741a2916892d02b5ff6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FlyQuestof THUNDER dOWNUNDER, FlyQuest
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,204,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,314,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,204,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 493 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked FlyQuest | 77c | 220,000$168,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,499.96 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 25c | 202,579$50,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,353.67 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…f804backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 14c | 142,872$19,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,634.05 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 23c | 78,000$17,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,939.97 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed FlyQuest | 74c | 70,000$51,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,199.93 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe40e…9770backed FlyQuest | 76c | 50,000$38,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,999.93 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 1c | 44,123$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.32 | 84 | 16.7%14 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 23c | 43,480$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000.4 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 23c | 40,000$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,200 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked FlyQuest | 77c | 35,000$26,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,050 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FlyQuest | 77c | 32,449$24,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,452.27 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 23c | 31,951$7,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,348.7 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 24c | 30,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed FlyQuest | 79c | 23,752$18,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,959.51 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54c2…23adbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 34c | 23,716$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 2c | 21,611$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.53 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45a7…1137backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 24c | 20,601$4,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,944.15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 24c | 20,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 26c | 19,231$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed FlyQuest | 75c | 12,597$9,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.25 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 25c | 12,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.99 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked FlyQuest | 75c | 10,632$7,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,659.35 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 20c | 10,000$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.2 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked FlyQuest | 76c | 10,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.98 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 15c | 9,284$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.03 | 186 | 24.2%45 W · 141 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 24c | 8,333$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 24c | 7,396$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,792 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…afc5backed FlyQuest | 75c | 6,521$4,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.78 | 196 | 59.2%116 W · 80 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed FlyQuest | 76c | 6,400$4,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.97 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79be…b605backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 24c | 6,320$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.28 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf917…bde0backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 24c | 6,250$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed FlyQuest | 76c | 5,892$4,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.04 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FlyQuest | 76c | 5,661$4,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.71 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…921bbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 14c | 5,265$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed FlyQuest | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.99 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 26c | 4,909$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.42 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed FlyQuest | 75c | 4,323$3,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.32 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 24c | 4,200$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6a…925fbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 19c | 4,132$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.72 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 22c | 4,060$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.49 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe111…685abacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 23c | 4,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 23c | 4,000$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 14c | 3,761$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.93 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc304…c6bbbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 16c | 3,760$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed FlyQuest | 77c | 3,673$2,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.68 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…9bf9backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 26c | 3,580$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.75 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…755fbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 24c | 3,538$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.12 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 25c | 3,500$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875 | 114 | 34.2%39 W · 75 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked FlyQuest | 74c | 3,456$2,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.25 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked FlyQuest | 76c | 3,398$2,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.83 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed FlyQuest | 74c | 2,880$2,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.82 | 170 | 45.9%78 W · 92 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e4…7ba4backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 28c | 2,686$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed FlyQuest | 76c | 2,639$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.02 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…0bffbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 3c | 2,625$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…3987backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 23c | 2,490$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.79 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…5934backed FlyQuest | 78c | 2,472$1,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.43 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 23c | 2,416$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.28 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 22c | 2,341$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.99 | 327 | 32.4%106 W · 221 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x816c…ac2cbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 13c | 2,308$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x884b…661cbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 17c | 2,306$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.87 | 94 | 29.8%28 W · 66 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64fb…e06ebacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 25c | 2,287$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 23c | 2,262$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.2 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…2d3dbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 16c | 2,156$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.2 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…0eacbacked FlyQuest | 76c | 2,040$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.59 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked FlyQuest | 77c | 2,024$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.52 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…e4c0backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 1c | 2,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 383 | 12.8%49 W · 334 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed FlyQuest | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…2620backed FlyQuest | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 12c | 1,925$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 314 | 51.6%162 W · 152 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed FlyQuest | 77c | 1,900$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…4352backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 23c | 1,881$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.54 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 24c | 1,667$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 23c | 1,661$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382 | 253 | 44.3%112 W · 141 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 23c | 1,617$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 23c | 1,575$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked FlyQuest | 74c | 1,554$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.38 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 19c | 1,505$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.29 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed FlyQuest | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 249 | 35.7%89 W · 160 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…b3a2backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 19c | 1,489$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.98 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked FlyQuest | 77c | 1,485$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.48 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…ce32backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 13c | 1,460$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.8 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked FlyQuest | 75c | 1,445$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.25 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x707a…6ae1backed FlyQuest | 77c | 1,377$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…5ad8backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 10c | 1,309$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.9 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…8427backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 23c | 1,304$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a74…6cd2backed FlyQuest | 75c | 1,300$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 242 | 62%150 W · 92 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…f1abbacked FlyQuest | 76c | 1,266$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.78 | 186 | 54.8%102 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 24c | 1,252$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.58 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…4affbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 12c | 1,246$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.56 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344e…019ebacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 2c | 1,223$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 100 | 14%14 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x472a…2dadbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 19c | 1,216$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 21c | 1,213$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.53 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…269bbacked FlyQuest | 76c | 1,200$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 420 | 50%210 W · 210 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed FlyQuest | 76c | 1,200$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked FlyQuest | 78c | 1,200$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.5 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1this page
- Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest - Map 1 WinnerFlyQuest won
- Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest - Map 2 WinnerFlyQuest won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (+1.5)FlyQuest won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.