TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x91e8…f1ab

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
249
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT18654.8%102 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 186 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Phantom Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Phantom Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.24
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$667Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+37%+$246.69
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 3 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$278.88
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,065Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$443.05
Counter-Strike: FaZe Up Next vs ReThink (BO3) - United21 Group Bbacked FaZe Up Next · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.93
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$115.54
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$131.84
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.52
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs fnatic - Map 1 Winnerbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.59
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Isurus - Map 2 Winnerbacked Isurus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+97.2%+$252.7
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$215.94
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$191.8
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.16
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winnerbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$614Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$173.44
Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs Entropy - Map 2 Winnerbacked BIG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+225.5%+$48.15
Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs ODDIK - Map 1 Winnerbacked ODDIK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.59
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,174
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,905Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$1,066.35
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs TDK (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffsbacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.1
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,881Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,880.78
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,216.05
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$153.01
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$977Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$976.51
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.51
Showing 25 of 186 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$749Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$211.69
Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Syntax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$65.63
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$131.24
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$119.82
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.4
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.77
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$54.76
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,713Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$455.41
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$455.92
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$164.71
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$108.82
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$146.72
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$449
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Group Abacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$104
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+38.9%+$82.1
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+95.2%+$35.99
Dota 2: Aurora vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+251.3%+$186
Dota 2: Aurora vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$26.5
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$997Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$996.96
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$400
All 22 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$30.65
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD (BO5) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2backed 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,137Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$819.14
Valorant: Pigeons vs Evil Geniuses Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked Pigeons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$692Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+61%+$421.89
Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,343Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,342.56
Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp - Map 4 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$70.02
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.99
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,308Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,307.71
Valorant: Beşiktaş Esports vs CGN Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group Abacked CGN Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$18.05
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,030Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$913.13
Valorant: M80 vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO5) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffsbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+84.6%+$225.82
Valorant: MIBR vs Cloud9 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$260.27
Valorant: G2 Esports vs LOUD - Map 2 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$456.12
Valorant: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,045Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+76.3%+$797.34
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$947Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+71.9%+$680.5
Valorant: SaD Esports vs QoR (BO5) - VCL North America Playoffsbacked SaD Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$72
All 15 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$673Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$672.89
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$53.16
LoL: GIANTX vs Solary - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$673Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$252.18
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$300
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$675Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+45.5%+$307.37
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+63.9%+$319.67
LoL: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,691Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+32%+$541.23
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+69.7%+$204.81
LoL: DRX vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$464Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$464
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick70cpaid-64.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.76
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,967Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,966.98
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$342.45
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$985Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$418.53
All 4 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+71%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-54.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$686Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$539.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoevenbacked Rico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.