CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeae673a62a65f2c121e10f15b4a36155554a989bbca0521fee7f68c76740d412

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: HOTUof HOTU, Astralis
Resolved: Jul 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $195,386
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $211,374

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,386 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfe78…0319backed HOTU	59c	8,398$4,996 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,401.78	1,407	38.9%547 W · 860 L	-41.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked HOTU	51c	7,768$3,987 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,781.25	3,257	50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L	+98.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Astralis	52c	6,978$3,627 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,627.39	1,011	52.3%529 W · 482 L	+27.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Astralis	47c	4,771$2,233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,232.95	401	37.2%149 W · 252 L	-17.6wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed HOTU	51c	4,136$2,105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,030.6	6,480	42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L	-79.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d20…a165backed HOTU	46c	3,510$1,611 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,898.57	61	60.7%37 W · 24 L	+5.6wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed HOTU	59c	3,153$1,870 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,283.43	818	43.2%353 W · 465 L	+23.0wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed HOTU	48c	2,967$1,431 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,535.58	2,522	43%1,085 W · 1,437 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Astralis	54c	2,917$1,575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,575.02	253	55.7%141 W · 112 L	+19.4wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked Astralis	62c	2,662$1,661 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,660.54	224	49.6%111 W · 113 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedcc…41a1backed Astralis	54c	2,633$1,422 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,422	219	53.4%117 W · 102 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Astralis	67c	2,583$1,743 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,742.56	924	56.8%525 W · 399 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Astralis	48c	2,365$1,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,139.97	384	54.2%208 W · 176 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e86…6dfbbacked Astralis	46c	2,154$995 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$994.67	93	35.5%33 W · 60 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HOTU	53c	2,127$1,127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$999.72	5,511	47%2,590 W · 2,921 L	+42.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Astralis	46c	2,000$913 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$913.35	171	62%106 W · 65 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Astralis	32c	1,828$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580.11	76	17.1%13 W · 63 L	-4.8wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-54.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Astralis	68c	1,679$1,138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,137.52	450	58.9%265 W · 185 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9187…b2e1backed Astralis	62c	1,613$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	-3.5wins	-0.14per pick	73cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Astralis	30c	1,484$447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$447.2	1,304	26.5%345 W · 959 L	-89.4wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked HOTU	55c	1,479$817 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$661.92	3,910	36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L	-197.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Astralis	43c	1,411$605 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$605.43	1,513	57.2%865 W · 648 L	+65.4wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Astralis	66c	1,294$854 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$854.11	1,496	51.5%771 W · 725 L	-7.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Astralis	40c	1,250$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	602	48.7%293 W · 309 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed HOTU	63c	1,239$777 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$461.76	2,624	51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L	+18.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked HOTU	55c	1,006$553 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$453.49	631	57.1%360 W · 271 L	+40.1wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f0b…f901backed Astralis	56c	999.99$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$559.99	359	53.2%191 W · 168 L	+14.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed HOTU	34c	999.99$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$659.99	5,830	37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L	+79.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked HOTU	54c	993.93$536 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$458.06	3,459	29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L	-279.9wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x89cf…5f47backed Astralis	29c	972.41$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa16b…b541backed Astralis	53c	950$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503.5	434	55.1%239 W · 195 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked HOTU	60c	948.47$567 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$381.47	388	44.3%172 W · 216 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18c2…529abacked Astralis	58c	918.1$532 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$532.5	123	43.9%54 W · 69 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Astralis	44c	910$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.05	2,362	46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L	-53.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed HOTU	64c	813.81$518 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295.97	203	53.2%108 W · 95 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6421…045dbacked HOTU	46c	796.43$366 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$430.43	162	48.1%78 W · 84 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed HOTU	65c	770.37$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270.37	91	46.2%42 W · 49 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-13%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Astralis	55c	750$413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$412.5	2,221	41.3%917 W · 1,304 L	-22.6wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed HOTU	45c	750$337 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$413.32	449	39.2%176 W · 273 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed HOTU	32c	740.63$237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$503.63	237	32.9%78 W · 159 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfeb…763ebacked HOTU	43c	734.88$319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$415.85	137	42.3%58 W · 79 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed HOTU	50c	724.71$362 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$362.22	2,326	45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L	-62.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked HOTU	54c	713.11$386 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.2	3,202	45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L	-79.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cf7…4b3abacked Astralis	56c	707$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395.92	156	46.8%73 W · 83 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb36f…53d0backed Astralis	71c	692.69$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490.56	213	46.9%100 W · 113 L	-8.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed HOTU	33c	678.88$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$454.88	242	33.9%82 W · 160 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb417…d931backed Astralis	58c	670$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.6	64	46.9%30 W · 34 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked HOTU	37c	663.94$244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$420.05	240	38.3%92 W · 148 L	-9.6wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c49…dd2dbacked Astralis	66c	648.88$431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430.88	50	66%33 W · 17 L	+4.0wins	+0.08per pick	58cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Astralis	31c	622.44$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.96	113	54%61 W · 52 L	+6.3wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Astralis	44c	561.7$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249	57	50.9%29 W · 28 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a28…ff8cbacked HOTU	54c	555.56$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255.56	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed HOTU	54c	531.49$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246.85	809	42.3%342 W · 467 L	-16.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf369…8283backed HOTU	38c	521.89$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$321.89	84	46.4%39 W · 45 L	+8.0wins	+0.10per pick	37cpaid	+40.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed HOTU	53c	515$275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$239.76	5,287	31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L	-383.3wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed Astralis	47c	511.77$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	187	36.4%68 W · 119 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked Astralis	48c	500.64$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.42	431	52.9%228 W · 203 L	+26.6wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed HOTU	53c	500$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235	165	42.4%70 W · 95 L	-7.5wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis	65c	475.02$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310.11	2,066	41.5%858 W · 1,208 L	-49.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Astralis	51c	459.98$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.47	280	37.9%106 W · 174 L	-17.2wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-26%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed HOTU	36c	450$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288	547	32.2%176 W · 371 L	-28.0wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-18%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xab12…764ebacked Astralis	68c	449.99$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.99	222	66.7%148 W · 74 L	+12.0wins	+0.05per pick	61cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed Astralis	67c	447.76$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	378	50.3%190 W · 188 L	-15.7wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8941…3126backed Astralis	50c	401.63$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	151	32.5%49 W · 102 L	-8.7wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64a3…450abacked Astralis	48c	400$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191	303	49.8%151 W · 152 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed HOTU	54c	399.4$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.6	499	41.7%208 W · 291 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6983…88c3backed HOTU	46c	387.6$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210.3	144	43.1%62 W · 82 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Astralis	50c	382.69$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.63	4,933	37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L	-249.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0915…7d12backed Astralis	61c	370.97$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.45	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	57cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b3…4a99backed HOTU	55c	364.61$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.61	297	31%92 W · 205 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2c50backed HOTU	33c	342.89$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.74	721	39.7%286 W · 435 L	-25.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8037…04fabacked HOTU	76c	303.51$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.84	80	48.8%39 W · 41 L	-9.2wins	-0.12per pick	60cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x795d…f703backed HOTU	66c	303.03$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.03	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	69cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Astralis	34c	300$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.45	167	38.9%65 W · 102 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed HOTU	36c	296.33$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.63	120	55%66 W · 54 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked Astralis	46c	279.68$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	195	46.2%90 W · 105 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x035b…c6ddbacked HOTU	55c	274.83$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.83	94	45.7%43 W · 51 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15bc…4a7ebacked Astralis	53c	268.33$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.52	201	47.8%96 W · 105 L	-5.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed HOTU	51c	261.96$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.23	4,228	49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L	+59.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a62…fc1abacked Astralis	49c	260$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.4	138	34.8%48 W · 90 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-11%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked HOTU	48c	255$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.33	3,225	51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L	+88.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0197…1718backed Astralis	54c	249.99$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.99	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	-4.5wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked HOTU	44c	247.88$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.88	587	45.5%267 W · 320 L	-15.9wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95e9…67b6backed HOTU	59c	246.07$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.11	194	49%95 W · 99 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9b8…4fa4backed Astralis	29c	241.38$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.11per pick	38cpaid	-59.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7da…43d9backed Astralis	65c	229.99$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.5	271	56.1%152 W · 119 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cb1…9fbbbacked HOTU	44c	229.77$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.77	85	34.1%29 W · 56 L	-7.6wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked HOTU	58c	228.64$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.71	2,214	47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Astralis	54c	217$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.6	723	53.5%387 W · 336 L	+28.5wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed HOTU	45c	211.64$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.4	1,618	46.8%758 W · 860 L	-28.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Astralis	36c	205.31$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.19	600	32.3%194 W · 406 L	-49.7wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked HOTU	69c	200$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62	583	43.6%254 W · 329 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed HOTU	41c	193.12$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.86	4,064	50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L	+69.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Astralis	55c	183.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	227	50.2%114 W · 113 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf206…df39backed Astralis	55c	181.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	43	55.8%24 W · 19 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked HOTU	44c	180$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.8	143	51.7%74 W · 69 L	+8.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Astralis	54c	178.62$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.91	200	46%92 W · 108 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Astralis	42c	177.12$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.04	4,691	43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L	-83.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Astralis	46c	177$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.15	2,508	41%1,029 W · 1,479 L	-115.5wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x516b…2dcfbacked Astralis	58c	172.41$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	95	45.3%43 W · 52 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerthis page
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group BHOTU won
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerHOTU won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)HOTU won
Map Handicap: HOTU (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)HOTU won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event