CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x547c287709181a6836ce6456d8907c7710a44d7d3daaca00b3d7db446c47f6e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HOTUof HOTU, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $139,878
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,535
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,878 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked HOTU | 65c | 6,628$4,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,301.66 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf424…9723backed Astralis | 32c | 4,005$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.7 | 211 | 35.5%75 W · 136 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Astralis | 43c | 3,784$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.08 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Astralis | 57c | 3,357$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.84 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Astralis | 38c | 3,350$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.07 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed HOTU | 61c | 2,116$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.73 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e6…23c2backed HOTU | 70c | 2,005$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.25 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked HOTU | 69c | 1,800$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.49 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked HOTU | 46c | 1,794$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.59 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked HOTU | 58c | 1,734$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.55 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Astralis | 39c | 1,633$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.15 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis | 48c | 1,449$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.2 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Astralis | 58c | 1,100$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.99 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Astralis | 60c | 1,097$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.09 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…6dfbbacked HOTU | 68c | 1,065$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.64 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Astralis | 45c | 1,015$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.74 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed HOTU | 52c | 999.99$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.75 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…4748backed HOTU | 45c | 886.1$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.36 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Astralis | 58c | 868.6$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Astralis | 40c | 801.44$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.25 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked HOTU | 50c | 752.81$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.81 | 357 | 45.4%162 W · 195 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked HOTU | 52c | 720.79$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.7 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed HOTU | 46c | 700$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54a0…111abacked HOTU | 43c | 691.16$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.96 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -32%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Astralis | 43c | 582$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.98 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed HOTU | 44c | 570$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.2 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59cb…57d1backed Astralis | 58c | 517.41$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed HOTU | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked HOTU | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 244 | 47.1%115 W · 129 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed HOTU | 68c | 479.71$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.58 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed HOTU | 69c | 476.81$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.81 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Astralis | 53c | 464.39$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.71 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Astralis | 43c | 463.54$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.05 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked HOTU | 45c | 445.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.75 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed HOTU | 76c | 445$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.8 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…b72bbacked Astralis | 45c | 414.91$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.91 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6421…045dbacked HOTU | 46c | 410.23$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.52 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked HOTU | 58c | 395.42$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.17 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed HOTU | 46c | 376$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.27 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…cde0backed HOTU | 45c | 370$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.5 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Astralis | 41c | 362.53$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.17 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked HOTU | 58c | 348.08$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.47 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed HOTU | 79c | 346.66$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7da…43d9backed HOTU | 68c | 339.99$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.53 | 271 | 56.1%152 W · 119 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Astralis | 34c | 309.52$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.83 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Astralis | 33c | 300$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.32 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed HOTU | 70c | 300$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Astralis | 42c | 292$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.64 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0197…1718backed Astralis | 49c | 273.7$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.19 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked HOTU | 60c | 272.69$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.38 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed HOTU | 70c | 260.71$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Astralis | 33c | 256.01$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.84 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked HOTU | 55c | 241$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.81 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Astralis | 55c | 236.36$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Astralis | 41c | 234.75$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.21 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed HOTU | 42c | 231.38$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.2 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed HOTU | 70c | 226.13$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.71 | 219 | 49.8%109 W · 110 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Astralis | 35c | 223.96$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.12 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked HOTU | 37c | 217$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.63 | 138 | 34.8%48 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf369…8283backed HOTU | 48c | 207.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.47 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed HOTU | 74c | 200.15$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Astralis | 54c | 199.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Astralis | 42c | 192.55$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.87 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Astralis | 23c | 188.93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Astralis | 54c | 176.57$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.35 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed HOTU | 75c | 165.56$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 238 | 61.3%146 W · 92 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed HOTU | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 213 | 46.9%100 W · 113 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked HOTU | 71c | 152.81$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65fa…4c6abacked HOTU | 74c | 151.09$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 115 | 64.3%74 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked Astralis | 45c | 144.45$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.48 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe30a…fcd8backed Astralis | 35c | 135.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.19 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x151e…58debacked HOTU | 62c | 129.24$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.24 | 137 | 65%89 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed HOTU | 52c | 128.55$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.47 | 260 | 48.5%126 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Astralis | 37c | 127.85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.71 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Astralis | 42c | 127.41$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.67 | 312 | 41.3%129 W · 183 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Astralis | 48c | 126.96$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.94 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Astralis | 39c | 123.55$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked HOTU | 60c | 113.03$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed HOTU | 46c | 112.29$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.92 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked HOTU | 56c | 107.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.31 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked HOTU | 69c | 98.91$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed HOTU | 57c | 98.2$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 160 | 38.1%61 W · 99 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42e1…8148backed HOTU | 46c | 97.34$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.34 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked HOTU | 72c | 92.3$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed HOTU | 76c | 90.5$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Astralis | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 309 | 39.2%121 W · 188 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked HOTU | 40c | 84.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.85 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Astralis | 38c | 81.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked HOTU | 67c | 79$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Astralis | 47c | 77.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 306 | 38.9%119 W · 187 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Astralis | 37c | 75.51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked HOTU | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Astralis | 36c | 69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…25f8backed HOTU | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked HOTU | 71c | 66.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 138 | 71%98 W · 40 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +12%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Astralis | 31c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked HOTU | 48c | 64.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked HOTU | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed Astralis | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…2afabacked Astralis | 19c | 59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 415 | 16.6%69 W · 346 L | -36.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group BHOTU won
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerHOTU won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)HOTU won
- Map Handicap: HOTU (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)HOTU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.