TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfeb9…95c9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
705
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Lol, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT54732.2%176 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 547 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$413.96
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 3 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,219Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,218.94
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,249Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$680.07
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$920Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+146.5%+$1,347.89
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+167%+$464.87
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$497
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$991Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$991.32
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$970Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,139.55
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$556Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$312.48
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$518Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$517.85
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$1,190
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$379.16
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$587.12
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,019.63
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$494.29
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$706Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$706.44
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$823Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$822.9
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$399
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$552Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$552
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 Winnerbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,189Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+93%+$1,106.05
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.28
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$452.17
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.75
Showing 25 of 547 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT13640.4%55 W · 81 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 136 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Augsburg: Raphael Perot vs Mika Brunoldbacked Raphael Perot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,189Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,189.03
Kingston 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Tyler Zinkbacked Luis Guto Miguel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$906Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+125.4%+$1,135.87
US Open, Qualification ATP: Spencer Johnson vs Cristian Garinbacked Spencer Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.2
US Open, Qualification ATP: Guy Den Ouden vs Genaro Alberto Olivieribacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+157.1%+$122.2
Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$534Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$555.9
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$739.54
Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Flavio Cobollibacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Cancun: Henrique Rocha vs Seong-Chan Hongbacked Seong-Chan Hong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$831Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+224.9%+$1,869
Prague 2: Filip Jianu vs Andrej Martinbacked Andrej Martin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,601Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,601.41
ITF W15 Tianjin 3 Women: Meiling Wang vs Chenting Zhubacked Meiling Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$603Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$603.33
ITF M25 Santander Men: Nathan Walters vs Imanol Lopez Morillobacked Nathan Walters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,075Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,075.26
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fery vs Alex de Minaurbacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.2
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobollibacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$734Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$733.59
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Cincinnati Open: Cameron Norrie vs Dino Prizmicbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,588Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$1,026.26
Cincinnati Open: Martin Landaluce vs Jack Draperbacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,764Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,836
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderibacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$381.65
Set Handicap: Borges (-1.5) vs Darderi (+1.5)backed Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$975Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$974.99
National Bank Open: Maya Joint vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Maya Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$863Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$862.66
National Bank Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsenbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$876Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$876
National Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaurbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$46.79
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutetbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$612Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$588
National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Showing 25 of 136 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-45%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+92.3%+$332.31
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$140.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$337.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+150%+$300
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$194.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankeesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$574Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$573.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.