Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82055068a53a93e1d184950aa796a2834bc8df3ef7e16d259180d3f3550a5e13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TEAM VISIONof TEAM VISION, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,387,512
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,638,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,387,512 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 970 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a21…9853backed TEAM VISION | 64c | 172,619$110,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,189.4 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked TEAM VISION | 59c | 80,000$47,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,762.58 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Team Spirit | 40c | 67,440$26,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,687.73 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…6b9dbacked Team Spirit | 24c | 65,731$15,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,986.11 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed Team Spirit | 20c | 65,005$12,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,720.71 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Team Spirit | 40c | 60,419$24,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,387.65 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88c3…bea3backed Team Spirit | 36c | 55,162$19,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,858.43 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed TEAM VISION | 58c | 50,000$29,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,999.98 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Spirit | 19c | 43,922$8,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,304.62 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed TEAM VISION | 59c | 42,436$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,435.82 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed TEAM VISION | 55c | 41,053$22,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,374.94 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed TEAM VISION | 59c | 37,653$22,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,598.9 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed Team Spirit | 26c | 34,725$9,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,047.6 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe760…f2f9backed TEAM VISION | 68c | 26,557$18,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,556.83 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258c…7c23backed Team Spirit | 35c | 26,185$9,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,164.75 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed TEAM VISION | 60c | 25,000$14,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacb…a3d0backed Team Spirit | 41c | 24,390$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeac…32bfbacked Team Spirit | 46c | 23,878$10,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,910.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed TEAM VISION | 64c | 23,274$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,274.08 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…1c14backed Team Spirit | 35c | 23,000$8,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,049.99 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2787…e0c4backed TEAM VISION | 77c | 22,008$17,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,964.49 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…050fbacked Team Spirit | 43c | 20,720$8,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,854.4 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked TEAM VISION | 61c | 20,469$12,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,967.51 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked TEAM VISION | 60c | 20,018$11,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,054.26 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Spirit | 27c | 19,860$5,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,364.79 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked TEAM VISION | 65c | 19,615$12,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,871.05 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0587…c40bbacked Team Spirit | 36c | 19,015$6,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,752.35 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed Team Spirit | 14c | 17,627$2,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,436.08 | 185 | 60.5%112 W · 73 L | +12.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a7…dc87backed Team Spirit | 42c | 17,500$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,349.99 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaed…44f8backed TEAM VISION | 58c | 17,143$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,142.82 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Team Spirit | 39c | 16,820$6,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,481.86 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Spirit | 29c | 16,491$4,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,735.32 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…fccbbacked Team Spirit | 7c | 15,743$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.59 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Team Spirit | 45c | 15,641$7,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,019.05 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed Team Spirit | 43c | 15,582$6,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,731.18 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f0…b287backed Team Spirit | 45c | 15,540$6,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,941.2 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed TEAM VISION | 71c | 15,405$10,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,522.73 | 474 | 50.8%241 W · 233 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…186cbacked TEAM VISION | 65c | 15,242$9,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,334.78 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +10.5wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked TEAM VISION | 59c | 15,214$8,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,240.08 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked TEAM VISION | 60c | 15,024$9,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,010.8 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3342…f908backed Team Spirit | 41c | 15,000$6,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,149.98 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed TEAM VISION | 55c | 15,000$8,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,749.94 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Team Spirit | 46c | 14,817$6,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,815.76 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Team Spirit | 38c | 14,000$5,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,319.99 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…5e0dbacked TEAM VISION | 77c | 13,792$10,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,228.48 | 65 | 81.5%53 W · 12 L | +10.2wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Spirit | 42c | 13,605$5,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,677.58 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed TEAM VISION | 58c | 12,991$7,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,397.26 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84fb…675ebacked Team Spirit | 35c | 12,922$4,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,522.69 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed Team Spirit | 47c | 11,000$5,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,170 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Spirit | 26c | 10,970$2,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,873.68 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf796…de54backed TEAM VISION | 60c | 10,399$6,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,186.46 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb14…49b2backed Team Spirit | 34c | 10,318$3,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,469.05 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Team Spirit | 18c | 10,157$1,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,826.26 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Team Spirit | 36c | 10,048$3,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,650.67 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked Team Spirit | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.99 | 245 | 42.4%104 W · 141 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Team Spirit | 31c | 9,850$3,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,022.65 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8002…8b6cbacked TEAM VISION | 55c | 9,778$5,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,368.33 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…550ebacked TEAM VISION | 67c | 9,745$6,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,211.65 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe46d…7e4dbacked Team Spirit | 41c | 9,272$3,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,801.54 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf666…24dfbacked Team Spirit | 22c | 9,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbd…313fbacked TEAM VISION | 75c | 8,715$6,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216.39 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Spirit | 25c | 8,469$2,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112.62 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac23…a875backed Team Spirit | 48c | 8,387$4,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,018.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked TEAM VISION | 75c | 8,000$5,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.99 | 353 | 61.2%216 W · 137 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Team Spirit | 23c | 7,853$1,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811.97 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Team Spirit | 40c | 7,830$3,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,132.16 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Spirit | 26c | 7,785$2,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011.62 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Team Spirit | 40c | 7,564$3,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,020.85 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…5bd2backed Team Spirit | 41c | 7,317$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebc6…4608backed TEAM VISION | 55c | 7,257$3,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,268.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ead…2430backed Team Spirit | 26c | 7,256$1,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,915.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b13…0263backed TEAM VISION | 75c | 7,153$5,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,763.75 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed TEAM VISION | 76c | 7,116$5,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.78 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00cb…3992backed TEAM VISION | 66c | 7,000$4,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360.3 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65fe…c200backed TEAM VISION | 79c | 6,905$5,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.58 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Spirit | 41c | 6,630$2,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,706.79 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Spirit | 23c | 6,575$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541.53 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Team Spirit | 44c | 6,263$2,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,755.69 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…9adabacked Team Spirit | 39c | 6,258$2,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,470 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df4…0b7abacked Team Spirit | 18c | 6,052$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.64 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked TEAM VISION | 62c | 5,943$3,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,234.81 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Team Spirit | 43c | 5,814$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedfc…b7b1backed Team Spirit | 35c | 5,795$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b5…99cebacked Team Spirit | 22c | 5,702$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.1 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2521…7f2bbacked TEAM VISION | 54c | 5,696$3,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,626.16 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed TEAM VISION | 59c | 5,564$3,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,273.9 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…f907backed Team Spirit | 35c | 5,530$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.5 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a1…b3f3backed Team Spirit | 21c | 5,505$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed Team Spirit | 36c | 5,480$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed TEAM VISION | 54c | 5,314$2,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.44 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed TEAM VISION | 61c | 5,300$3,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060.57 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Team Spirit | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed TEAM VISION | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Team Spirit | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.97 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Spirit | 39c | 5,000$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.87 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4002…b012backed TEAM VISION | 60c | 4,995$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,994.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Spirit | 28c | 4,960$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.8 | 410 | 42.4%174 W · 236 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…c168backed Team Spirit | 38c | 4,811$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,812.65 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce7d…898ebacked Team Spirit | 16c | 4,777$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.76 | 55 | 72.7%40 W · 15 L | +8.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Team Spirit | 42c | 4,762$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International PlayoffsTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTEAM VISION won
- Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?Yes won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs TEAM VISION (+1.5)TEAM VISION won
- Game Handicap: TS (-2.5) vs TEAM VISION (+2.5)TEAM VISION won
- Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)Team Spirit won
- Game Handicap: VSN (-2.5) vs Team Spirit (+2.5)Team Spirit won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 3?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.