Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffeb4045a5b3ba8ccb520fbb8c5b2c979dff5d336ea06fa74e97ea6122f8a157

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Team Spiritof TEAM VISION, Team Spirit
Resolved: Aug 23, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,444,790
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,665,715

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,444,790 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2a21…9853backed Team Spirit	59c	132,994$78,971 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54,023.35	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ba6…644cbacked TEAM VISION	68c	118,303$80,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80,000	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	69cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Team Spirit	50c	103,706$51,523 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52,183.51	325	49.8%162 W · 163 L	+23.9wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed TEAM VISION	47c	97,043$45,373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45,373.49	711	43%306 W · 405 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed TEAM VISION	35c	93,913$32,562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32,562.14	508	32.9%167 W · 341 L	-14.8wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd30…f316backed Team Spirit	48c	84,656$41,031 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43,624.45	121	59.5%72 W · 49 L	+9.2wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked Team Spirit	41c	73,188$29,665 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43,523.12	319	36.7%117 W · 202 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed TEAM VISION	50c	71,452$35,647 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35,647.49	226	44.7%101 W · 125 L	-6.9wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88c3…bea3backed TEAM VISION	57c	65,141$37,119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37,118.88	54	59.3%32 W · 22 L	+3.2wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed TEAM VISION	51c	59,210$30,272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,271.7	1,210	57.1%691 W · 519 L	+44.5wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3413…8ff2backed Team Spirit	55c	50,000$27,457 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,542.46	471	46.1%217 W · 254 L	+25.3wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc3f…5e0dbacked TEAM VISION	67c	44,128$29,443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,443.22	65	81.5%53 W · 12 L	+10.2wins	+0.16per pick	66cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed TEAM VISION	51c	39,703$20,145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,145.49	71	52.1%37 W · 34 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed TEAM VISION	32c	38,235$12,153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,152.81	200	30.5%61 W · 139 L	-14.6wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed TEAM VISION	50c	31,706$15,870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,869.83	96	36.5%35 W · 61 L	-6.3wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe760…f2f9backed Team Spirit	51c	28,380$14,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,880.38	62	51.6%32 W · 30 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaed…44f8backed TEAM VISION	54c	27,629$15,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,000	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed Team Spirit	61c	27,592$16,902 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,690.47	489	54.6%267 W · 222 L	+23.6wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a56…10f5backed Team Spirit	69c	26,889$18,455 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,433.75	185	51.4%95 W · 90 L	+11.6wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed TEAM VISION	26c	26,809$7,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,030.47	504	49.2%248 W · 256 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8495…550ebacked TEAM VISION	41c	25,293$10,487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,486.72	90	52.2%47 W · 43 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed TEAM VISION	11c	24,999$2,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,749.88	67	25.4%17 W · 50 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa103…1c14backed TEAM VISION	51c	24,803$12,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,649.65	75	48%36 W · 39 L	+3.0wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc646…e394backed Team Spirit	53c	22,666$11,978 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,687.85	376	55.1%207 W · 169 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2929…1dd0backed TEAM VISION	46c	22,146$10,167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,167.48	165	53.3%88 W · 77 L	+7.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked Team Spirit	49c	20,446$10,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,345.4	234	35.9%84 W · 150 L	-7.2wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed TEAM VISION	52c	20,000$10,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,400	426	50%213 W · 213 L	+4.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…6136backed Team Spirit	50c	20,000$9,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,099.99	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked TEAM VISION	36c	20,000$7,110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,109.99	1,179	43.1%508 W · 671 L	+41.0wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Team Spirit	50c	20,000$9,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,049.98	271	53.5%145 W · 126 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x495d…68d8backed Team Spirit	52c	19,363$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,363.31	72	55.6%40 W · 32 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6373…a0b7backed Team Spirit	58c	18,732$10,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,931.81	148	25%37 W · 111 L	-6.9wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa21b…e4e4backed TEAM VISION	59c	18,495$10,894 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,893.78	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	-4.1wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked TEAM VISION	50c	18,301$9,220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,220	534	51.7%276 W · 258 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf23c…9f81backed Team Spirit	51c	16,510$8,420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,089.96	26	76.9%20 W · 6 L	+5.8wins	+0.22per pick	55cpaid	+41.9%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Team Spirit	38c	16,354$6,214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,139.2	52	36.5%19 W · 33 L	-4.3wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-19%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2931…7b81backed Team Spirit	65c	15,485$10,074 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,410.66	185	60.5%112 W · 73 L	+12.0wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed TEAM VISION	52c	15,448$7,986 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,986.12	25	52%13 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0587…c40bbacked TEAM VISION	48c	15,273$7,406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,406.47	84	47.6%40 W · 44 L	+5.6wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1de…21f5backed Team Spirit	45c	15,000$6,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,250	299	52.2%156 W · 143 L	+19.9wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xedfc…b7b1backed TEAM VISION	36c	14,952$5,445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,445.07	83	48.2%40 W · 43 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3814…17bcbacked Team Spirit	52c	14,445$7,463 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,981.91	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf7…8c87backed TEAM VISION	50c	14,330$7,122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,122.3	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x818b…c5ebbacked Team Spirit	65c	13,854$9,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,854.29	96	58.3%56 W · 40 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7076…baa5backed TEAM VISION	35c	13,531$4,736 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,735.8	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	24cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3342…f908backed Team Spirit	53c	13,200$6,957 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,242.9	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe59f…0d08backed Team Spirit	38c	13,158$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,157.89	211	55.5%117 W · 94 L	+17.3wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked Team Spirit	38c	13,092$5,037 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,054.94	242	46.7%113 W · 129 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb35…b62abacked TEAM VISION	42c	13,022$5,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,500	393	43.3%170 W · 223 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed TEAM VISION	55c	12,993$7,106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,106.31	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…6b9dbacked Team Spirit	71c	12,948$9,138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,810.08	93	39.8%37 W · 56 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8002…8b6cbacked TEAM VISION	51c	12,641$6,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,500	32	50%16 W · 16 L	-3.1wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa41c…fadebacked Team Spirit	51c	12,000$6,108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,891.58	106	41.5%44 W · 62 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed Team Spirit	48c	11,950$5,755 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,194.87	265	40.8%108 W · 157 L	-13.3wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3eeb…5abfbacked TEAM VISION	53c	11,845$6,319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,318.84	46	56.5%26 W · 20 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Spirit	37c	11,740$4,374 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,366.43	1,197	59.2%709 W · 488 L	+63.9wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c9f…5f5abacked TEAM VISION	49c	11,602$5,661 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,661.26	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked TEAM VISION	46c	11,527$5,266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,265.95	358	50.6%181 W · 177 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeac…32bfbacked Team Spirit	52c	11,207$5,848 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,358.85	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93bd…bbc5backed TEAM VISION	58c	10,799$6,220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,220.11	537	64.4%346 W · 191 L	+26.5wins	+0.05per pick	60cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2787…e0c4backed TEAM VISION	55c	10,360$5,647 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,646.63	33	66.7%22 W · 11 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Spirit	67c	10,289$6,931 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,357.79	306	67.3%206 W · 100 L	+18.3wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcacb…a3d0backed TEAM VISION	49c	10,204$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked TEAM VISION	46c	10,023$4,641 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,641	1,066	57%608 W · 458 L	+52.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed TEAM VISION	43c	10,020$4,316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,315.63	686	49.7%341 W · 345 L	+9.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4214…db99backed Team Spirit	39c	10,000$3,892 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,107.83	363	43.3%157 W · 206 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4e7…6a52backed TEAM VISION	52c	10,000$5,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,200	62	56.5%35 W · 27 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec2…1c42backed TEAM VISION	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	15	73.3%11 W · 4 L	+3.7wins	+0.25per pick	49cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3222…65cbbacked Team Spirit	42c	10,000$4,172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,827.7	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.20per pick	47cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad7…ae48backed TEAM VISION	41c	10,000$4,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,150	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+57.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbeef…92b7backed TEAM VISION	50c	9,800$4,859 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,859	150	54.7%82 W · 68 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x540d…c8f9backed Team Spirit	50c	9,762$4,925 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,836.99	388	55.2%214 W · 174 L	+29.8wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked TEAM VISION	43c	9,330$4,025 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,024.72	897	49.6%445 W · 452 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Team Spirit	52c	9,187$4,791 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,396.13	135	44.4%60 W · 75 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x559b…4959backed TEAM VISION	41c	9,000$3,722 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,722.11	81	43.2%35 W · 46 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Team Spirit	42c	8,680$3,671 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,009.12	963	57.3%552 W · 411 L	+48.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6260…fccbbacked TEAM VISION	8c	8,277$649 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$649.08	37	8.1%3 W · 34 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-73.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85e9…2eeabacked TEAM VISION	56c	7,907$4,444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,444	67	67.2%45 W · 22 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	65cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x19fb…bd68backed Team Spirit	70c	7,807$5,440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,366.76	21	81%17 W · 4 L	+3.0wins	+0.14per pick	67cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd039…ba3bbacked TEAM VISION	49c	7,730$3,788 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,787.7	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb14…49b2backed TEAM VISION	44c	7,727$3,421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,421.32	55	43.6%24 W · 31 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72c8…a74cbacked Team Spirit	45c	7,500$3,375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,125	245	42.4%104 W · 141 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60dd…40e5backed Team Spirit	69c	7,500$5,188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,311.89	334	53%177 W · 157 L	+8.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf51…8bfabacked TEAM VISION	32c	7,420$2,344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,343.97	55	50.9%28 W · 27 L	+2.5wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	-10%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ed3…186cbacked Team Spirit	38c	7,097$2,697 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,400.42	68	69.1%47 W · 21 L	+10.5wins	+0.15per pick	54cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x4049…aeaabacked TEAM VISION	45c	6,886$3,091 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,090.88	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5f6…38e8backed TEAM VISION	4c	6,871$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.01	324	3.1%10 W · 314 L	-11.0wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73f4…158ebacked TEAM VISION	50c	6,800$3,402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,402.13	235	61.7%145 W · 90 L	+19.9wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+13%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x65fe…c200backed TEAM VISION	50c	6,701$3,363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,362.6	65	64.6%42 W · 23 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	64cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf796…de54backed TEAM VISION	50c	6,546$3,279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,279.13	66	51.5%34 W · 32 L	-3.7wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c6e…28adbacked TEAM VISION	58c	6,500$3,770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,770	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f11…fed4backed Team Spirit	79c	6,368$5,057 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,311.05	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6daa…954abacked TEAM VISION	40c	6,354$2,571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,571.42	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57b0…87e4backed Team Spirit	23c	6,282$1,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,831.6	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.26per pick	24cpaid	+116.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Team Spirit	55c	6,209$3,394 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,815.47	357	58%207 W · 150 L	+26.0wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Team Spirit	48c	6,112$2,929 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,183.38	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a85…ff94backed TEAM VISION	51c	6,102$3,112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,111.86	293	52.9%155 W · 138 L	+8.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Team Spirit	49c	6,025$2,952 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,073.48	293	48.5%142 W · 151 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x23cb…80d0backed TEAM VISION	28c	6,001$1,652 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,652.13	228	53.1%121 W · 107 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe46d…7e4dbacked Team Spirit	50c	5,981$2,969 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,011.64	70	55.7%39 W · 31 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerthis page
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International PlayoffsTeam Spirit won
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTEAM VISION won
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 WinnerTEAM VISION won
Game 1: Any Player Rampage?Yes won
Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs TEAM VISION (+1.5)TEAM VISION won
Game Handicap: TS (-2.5) vs TEAM VISION (+2.5)TEAM VISION won
Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)Team Spirit won
Game Handicap: VSN (-2.5) vs Team Spirit (+2.5)Team Spirit won
Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 3?Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event