TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5eab…d552

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
644
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 51 out of 100; worst CS2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT38624.4%94 W · 292 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 386 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.32
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.49
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,967Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,966.6
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.64
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.21
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$683.45
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.16
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.32
LoL: Top Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.66
LoL: Top Esports vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.85
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.09
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.12
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.93
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$527Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$527.36
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.57
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.83
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.49
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$45.07
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.91
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$324.84
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,520Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$6,480
Showing 25 of 386 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT18624.2%45 W · 141 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 186 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$9,906Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,906.02
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26,008Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+147.4%+$38,342.13
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$3,916Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$5,407.06
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,078Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,077.77
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,458Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,457.54
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,172Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,706.27
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.71
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$6,515Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,514.92
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs TheMongolz (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.89
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.83
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$325.15
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11,013Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+140.4%+$15,464.28
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,946Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,946.11
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$3,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$6,600
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11,095Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+93.8%+$10,405.39
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$478Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$478.47
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,170Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+563.8%+$6,595.73
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$870Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$869.51
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$7,581Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,581.47
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.92
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$673Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$672.88
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.18
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,733Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$5,489.36
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$2,301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,301.21
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,695Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,695.36
Showing 25 of 186 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT6725.4%17 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick28cpaid+4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$2,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,749.88
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$3,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,700.12
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.54
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$762Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$761.68
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.72
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$540
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$562.98
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Inner Circle (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$483.12
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,341Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+291.7%+$6,828.95
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$864Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$864.09
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,303Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,302.69
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.76
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+671.1%+$1,326.51
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifierbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.21
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifierbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,790Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,790.2
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,677Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,677.45
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$3,473Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+243.4%+$8,454.11
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.19
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+605.5%+$367.51
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,393Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,392.52
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$719Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$718.89
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,680Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+286.9%+$4,819.98
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.87
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.72
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina win the 2025 ATP Washington tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT+43.3%+$6.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fever vs Skybacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+25%+$4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$27.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Sep 16, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houthi strike on Israel by September 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mariners vs. Angelsbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.