Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ac1a1081731227190f69a6f0e8ec32329f680677110962ec3a24fac2957d516
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Team Liquid, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,976
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $139,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,976 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Aurora | 57c | 15,000$8,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,449.98 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Liquid | 43c | 11,954$5,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,120.59 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Aurora | 57c | 11,896$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,096.04 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Aurora | 56c | 4,165$2,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.24 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfa…7491backed Team Liquid | 48c | 3,964$1,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.43 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…273dbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 3,500$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Liquid | 43c | 3,198$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Aurora | 68c | 2,957$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.51 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Aurora | 50c | 2,674$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.15 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7566…a420backed Aurora | 60c | 2,623$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4c…ac04backed Team Liquid | 41c | 2,437$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Team Liquid | 49c | 2,389$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.7 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid | 40c | 2,302$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.77 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid | 24c | 2,152$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.36 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d18…0465backed Aurora | 75c | 2,010$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.93 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Liquid | 40c | 1,913$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.65 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Liquid | 29c | 1,850$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.34 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e4…7ba4backed Team Liquid | 39c | 1,802$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.2 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Aurora | 67c | 1,778$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.06 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b89…4a4cbacked Team Liquid | 1c | 1,650$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed Team Liquid | 21c | 1,560$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.21 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid | 35c | 1,538$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.76 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed Team Liquid | 40c | 1,132$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid | 27c | 948.46$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.7 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a5…518abacked Aurora | 77c | 818.79$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.32 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Liquid | 13c | 811.16$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.87 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Team Liquid | 45c | 700$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Aurora | 77c | 692.98$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.92 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Team Liquid | 40c | 680.02$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.62 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Aurora | 55c | 659.74$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.8 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed Aurora | 76c | 658.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.27 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Aurora | 66c | 627.5$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.63 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Team Liquid | 38c | 620$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.2 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde3b…2180backed Team Liquid | 44c | 523.59$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.82 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Liquid | 40c | 514.94$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.48 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Team Liquid | 37c | 511.3$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.58 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Team Liquid | 21c | 500.42$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.25 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Team Liquid | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Aurora | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Liquid | 38c | 499.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.72 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…744fbacked Aurora | 59c | 499.99$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Aurora | 59c | 496.19$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.48 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Liquid | 31c | 495.68$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.05 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked Team Liquid | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…dcacbacked Team Liquid | 43c | 467.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef00…de7fbacked Team Liquid | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…d1a4backed Team Liquid | 23c | 425.78$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.93 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Liquid | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…d422backed Team Liquid | 39c | 370$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.3 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed Team Liquid | 45c | 340$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 209 | 39.2%82 W · 127 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf206…df39backed Aurora | 58c | 327.12$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.12 | 169 | 63.3%107 W · 62 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1627…9f2bbacked Team Liquid | 24c | 317.5$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.2 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62b7…f260backed Team Liquid | 32c | 316.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 207 | 35.3%73 W · 134 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Aurora | 79c | 314.79$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.04 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Team Liquid | 9c | 300$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 311 | 26%81 W · 230 L | -17.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x730e…fca0backed Team Liquid | 11c | 300$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Liquid | 31c | 289.08$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…c385backed Aurora | 75c | 267.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.38 | 226 | 65%147 W · 79 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Team Liquid | 49c | 265.38$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.04 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce8…75f2backed Aurora | 77c | 258.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.56 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Aurora | 56c | 257.06$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.23 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0d…40cabacked Aurora | 78c | 256.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.29 | 59 | 76.3%45 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Aurora | 77c | 255.6$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.73 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Aurora | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9e…102abacked Team Liquid | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.57 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Aurora | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Aurora | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +13.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…0813backed Aurora | 74c | 248.61$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.78 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Team Liquid | 42c | 245$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 294 | 32.3%95 W · 199 L | -19.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x210d…a04bbacked Team Liquid | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Liquid | 44c | 233.38$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.82 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Aurora | 59c | 226.69$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.69 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…c849backed Aurora | 68c | 217.28$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.37 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Aurora | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea4…4d25backed Team Liquid | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Aurora | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Liquid | 28c | 185.62$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.14 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…91e1backed Aurora | 80c | 182.84$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb441…f757backed Team Liquid | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…d038backed Team Liquid | 8c | 170$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Team Liquid | 45c | 158.41$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.98 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Aurora | 79c | 155.13$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Liquid | 33c | 148.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b79…a5a8backed Aurora | 67c | 147.32$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.32 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf2…56fdbacked Team Liquid | 21c | 138.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9235…3fbdbacked Aurora | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 151 | 67.5%102 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…32aabacked Team Liquid | 38c | 120$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Aurora | 64c | 109.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…c3a7backed Aurora | 80c | 102.56$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Aurora | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Aurora | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfe…5c6cbacked Team Liquid | 48c | 98.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…3469backed Team Liquid | 41c | 85.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 215 | 51.6%111 W · 104 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…d057backed Aurora | 61c | 82.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf456…3855backed Team Liquid | 29c | 81.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 173 | 37.6%65 W · 108 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Team Liquid | 33c | 80.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Aurora | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Aurora | 57c | 79.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad9…7bf6backed Team Liquid | 25c | 72.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a92…a3edbacked Team Liquid | 28c | 71.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifierthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 1 WinnerAurora won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerAurora won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.