TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0bfe…5c6c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
370
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: CS2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 53 out of 100; worst Lol at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT22954.6%125 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 229 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs OG (BO3) - DraculaN Group Bbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.5
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs 9INE (BO3) - DraculaN Group Abacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$66
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs TDK - Map 2 Winnerbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Counter-Strike: ReThink vs roamsfiest (BO3) - Svenska CS-Ligan Group Abacked ReThink · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+153.8%+$151.5
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$108
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$106
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.81
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$86
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.07
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$276
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffsbacked Infinite · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$147
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs K27 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.49
Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagebacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$32.25
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+104.2%+$127.6
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$82
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.2
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.33
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$93
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+165.8%+$74.85
Showing 25 of 229 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT4654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$70.5
Dota 2: REKONIX vs OG (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$79
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+60.9%+$45.4
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$39
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.8
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$55.38
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$100
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.64
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifierbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.03
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifierbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$15.56
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$47.07
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+294.9%+$88.46
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$32.31
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 4 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 3 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$52.8
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT3043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 2 Winnerbacked Saigon Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+73.6%+$63.6
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$64.8
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$88.2
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.5
Game Handicap: AL (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Estral Esports vs paiN Gaming Academy - Game 3 Winnerbacked Estral Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$31.04
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$31.27
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: Estral Esports vs RED Academy - Game 3 Winnerbacked Estral Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$21.08
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$46.43
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.3
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.9
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.7
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$60
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$24.7
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$77.27
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$127.07
LoL: French Flair vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked French Flair · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ecuador leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+62.9%+$46.32
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.5
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.2
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$110
England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.4
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.5
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$66.5
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$42
Spread: Germany (-3.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+93.2%+$96.5
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.8
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$78
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Cabo Verde vs. Bermuda: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.4
Paraguay vs. Nicaragua: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$33.05
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$67.5
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.6
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$184.19
Miles Bridges: Points O/U 13.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 11.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 22.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 11.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$106.76
Marcus Smart: Points O/U 8.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Marcus Smart: Assists O/U 2.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+187%+$207.61
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Ruud vs. Fonseca: Match O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$38.43
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$200
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruudbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$24.59
Bucharest Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+49.2%+$48.22
Set Handicap: Burruchaga (-1.5) vs Walton (+1.5)backed Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.6
San Luis Potosi: Andrew Fenty vs Luka Pavlovicbacked Luka Pavlovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$39.37
Set Handicap: Altmaier (-1.5) vs Martinez (+1.5)backed Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.11
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Colton Smith vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Colton Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.42
Split: Alexander Vasilev vs George Loffhagenbacked Alexander Vasilev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+200.5%+$184.47
Zadar: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Arthur Geabacked Arthur Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$82.11
Cherbourg: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Remy Bertolabacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
BNP Paribas Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Frances Tiafoebacked Jenson Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$28
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Avalanchebacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+444.2%+$173.25
Flames vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$151.69
Panthers vs. Rangersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$166
Wild vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$153
Blue Jackets vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$153
AHL: Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins vs. Laval Rocketbacked Laval Rocket · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Kings vs. Devilsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
DEL: Eisbaeren Berlin vs. Adler Mannheimbacked Eisbaeren Berlin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+89.1%+$249.45
Avalanche vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Sharks vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Capitals vs. Sabresbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+197.9%+$187.98
All 11 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+123.1%+$189.51
All 3 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$347.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 173.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paderborn win on 2026-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.