Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Insomnia vs Riddle (BO3) - VCL Japan: Phase 2
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa655a7e7b3f542b0484f260f8be662aaad6cf0769cc748df3dba7f6613c8fba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Insomniaof Insomnia, Riddle
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,925
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b37…1f70backed Riddle | 72c | 5,587$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.94 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed Riddle | 38c | 3,575$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.97 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Insomnia | 61c | 3,320$2,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.35 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Insomnia | 33c | 1,583$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.55 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Insomnia | 28c | 1,575$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.96 | 417 | 34.8%145 W · 272 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Riddle | 65c | 1,200$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.97 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Insomnia | 40c | 1,110$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.08 | 260 | 51.9%135 W · 125 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b86…dd8fbacked Riddle | 67c | 945.82$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.7 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -8.7wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -50%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked Insomnia | 29c | 825.34$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.99 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe01f…ab4abacked Insomnia | 43c | 734.14$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.56 | 254 | 44.9%114 W · 140 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba04…310bbacked Riddle | 49c | 599.75$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Insomnia | 42c | 542.42$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Riddle | 45c | 539.99$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.99 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Insomnia | 28c | 536.49$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.27 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Insomnia | 29c | 507.42$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.27 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Insomnia | 42c | 466.48$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.29 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce7…81a3backed Insomnia | 49c | 404.66$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.95 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Riddle | 67c | 373.06$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.95 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Riddle | 52c | 311.35$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.9 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Riddle | 66c | 295.11$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.64 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…8f73backed Insomnia | 29c | 289.96$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcf…056bbacked Insomnia | 28c | 273.82$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.15 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Insomnia | 51c | 252.07$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd5…15a8backed Riddle | 61c | 246.88$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.67 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Riddle | 73c | 245.95$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.54 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6265…c6c1backed Insomnia | 28c | 216.92$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.18 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Insomnia | 29c | 211.18$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.94 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Riddle | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Riddle | 65c | 199.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…3be7backed Insomnia | 29c | 194.78$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.29 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8893…64b7backed Insomnia | 64c | 175.59$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…a791backed Insomnia | 28c | 148.24$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.73 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfe…5c6cbacked Riddle | 66c | 147.98$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfef9…d6e9backed Insomnia | 29c | 137.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.94 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…f4a7backed Insomnia | 35c | 137.29$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Riddle | 47c | 136.97$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.98 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked Riddle | 49c | 133.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.93 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed Riddle | 64c | 110.51$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.76 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2951…2aedbacked Riddle | 67c | 101.24$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Riddle | 66c | 99.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed Riddle | 51c | 99.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…8a5cbacked Insomnia | 34c | 97.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Riddle | 51c | 84.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 91 | 33%30 W · 61 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe8…3ed4backed Insomnia | 59c | 82.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f21…653cbacked Insomnia | 49c | 74.79$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.02 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59cc…b1babacked Insomnia | 49c | 73.11$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.16 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed Insomnia | 56c | 71.16$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.01 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Riddle | 51c | 70.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…5853backed Insomnia | 28c | 70$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Insomnia | 72c | 69.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3f…233cbacked Insomnia | 35c | 62.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Riddle | 46c | 59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeac5…cab7backed Insomnia | 35c | 58.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.01 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Insomnia | 32c | 57.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.12 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…c930backed Insomnia | 30c | 57.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.24 | 212 | 57.1%121 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b9…ad06backed Insomnia | 49c | 56.69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…0d99backed Riddle | 32c | 55.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Insomnia | 68c | 54.78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Riddle | 51c | 54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Riddle | 50c | 52.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…7354backed Insomnia | 56c | 49.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8693…ebd0backed Insomnia | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed Riddle | 73c | 48.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Riddle | 47c | 43.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc667…0359backed Insomnia | 58c | 40.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Insomnia | 34c | 39.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a04…6cb7backed Insomnia | 49c | 37.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Insomnia | 35c | 37.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…ca10backed Insomnia | 38c | 37.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf804…259cbacked Insomnia | 53c | 36.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked Insomnia | 32c | 35.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 267 | 58.8%157 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…b1aebacked Riddle | 53c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Riddle | 67c | 34.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed Riddle | 53c | 34.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Riddle | 60c | 33.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Insomnia | 39c | 31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 278 | 47.1%131 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa357…ec9abacked Insomnia | 58c | 29.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…8506backed Insomnia | 49c | 28.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked Riddle | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Insomnia | 35c | 28.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5345…dd4abacked Insomnia | 49c | 28.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…3961backed Riddle | 67c | 28.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ee…21c5backed Insomnia | 54c | 27.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Riddle | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Riddle | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Riddle | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 144 | 36.1%52 W · 92 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Riddle | 51c | 26.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Riddle | 67c | 26.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Riddle | 46c | 26.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9f…ab5abacked Insomnia | 49c | 26.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5296…689dbacked Insomnia | 44c | 23.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…dd99backed Riddle | 80c | 19.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Riddle | 69c | 19.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5eb…f60fbacked Insomnia | 80c | 18.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda92…88c6backed Riddle | 71c | 15.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Insomnia vs Riddle (BO3) - VCL Japan: Phase 2this page
- Valorant: Insomnia vs Riddle - Map 1 WinnerInsomnia won
- Valorant: Insomnia vs Riddle - Map 2 WinnerInsomnia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.