TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc667…0359

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
217
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Valorant, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT11050.9%56 W · 54 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 110 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.72
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$17.17
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$40.8
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.92
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.29
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.93
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.36
Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.17
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 4 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+76.6%+$57.43
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$101.89
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$256.87
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.88
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+91.5%+$75.26
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+57.4%+$46.75
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.61
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.73
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$17.61
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.53
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+112.6%+$157.85
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.05
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.71
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.58
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.81
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.92
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+55.9%+$44.39
Showing 25 of 110 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT5541.8%23 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Apex Mission Impossible (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Seasonbacked Apex Mission Impossible · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.21
LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.2
Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.33
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.95
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.34
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+120.3%+$43.9
LoL: G2 Esports vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.7
LoL: G2 Esports vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.12
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$14.4
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.85
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.98
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.42
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.55
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+71.7%+$11.73
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.17
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.71
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)backed LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.3
LoL: Dignitas vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$24.92
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.46
Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.04
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$22.99
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.28
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+151.1%+$35.87
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+118.8%+$31.02
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: NRG vs KRÜ Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+158.3%+$28.02
Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.56
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.3
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses - Map 2 Winnerbacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.66
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+168%+$33.44
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+87.3%+$31.92
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.55
Valorant: All Gamers vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$18.92
Valorant: G2 Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.39
Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+87.5%+$21.71
Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.31
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+80.4%+$23.78
Valorant: T1 Academy vs Dplus (BO3) - VCL Korea: Playoffsbacked Dplus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.02
Valorant: JD Gaming vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.16
Valorant: Insomnia vs Riddle (BO3) - VCL Japan: Phase 2backed Insomnia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+71.8%+$16.85
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winnerbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$15.02
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winnerbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$21.64
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs ZETA DIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked ZETA DIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.97
Valorant: Trace Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+88.1%+$10.57
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Magic: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$74.33
Jazz vs. Suns: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+90.7%+$167.39
Spread: Clippers (-8.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.89
Spread: Clippers (-9.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.74
Lakers vs. Magic: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Spread: Knicks (-17.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.81
Spread: Hawks (-8.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$113.95
Spread: Timberwolves (-13.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.12
Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+86.2%+$23.82
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+86.8%+$174.73
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.44
Spread: Pistons (-15.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.37
Knicks vs. Jazz: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+86%+$101.79
All 13 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-52.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$15.63
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.9
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.38
Como 1907 vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dundee FC vs. Dundee United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$16.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Paris FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$14.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+96.2%+$186.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$6.94
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.