Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb45873eaac60b04cf7bbc829d789d5b0e8895146a50a3d4986ca4c5cc065f046
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof Tundra Esports, Team Yandex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $913,231
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,167,380
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $913,231 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 467 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Yandex | 48c | 150,398$71,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,828.66 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tundra Esports | 33c | 84,455$27,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,763.62 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Tundra Esports | 60c | 52,332$31,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,354.58 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Yandex | 40c | 24,155$9,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,390.94 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed Team Yandex | 42c | 23,895$10,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,865.56 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba4a…9fa6backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 19,000$10,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,878.66 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f9…6910backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 14,576$7,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,142.31 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1776…e557backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 13,707$8,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,087.13 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 11,951$7,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,352.55 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Yandex | 43c | 11,198$4,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,389.29 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Tundra Esports | 27c | 10,990$2,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,978.9 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Tundra Esports | 31c | 8,997$2,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800.65 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 8,879$4,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,173.12 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed Tundra Esports | 33c | 8,437$2,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,803 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 8,209$3,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240.81 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Yandex | 46c | 8,089$3,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,379.95 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Tundra Esports | 37c | 7,714$2,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,875.25 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x554b…8216backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 7,636$4,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,857.12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Tundra Esports | 22c | 7,564$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.55 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Tundra Esports | 2c | 7,350$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccef…02dbbacked Team Yandex | 68c | 7,328$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,328.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef2…79f9backed Team Yandex | 40c | 7,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Team Yandex | 37c | 7,000$2,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,430 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Tundra Esports | 29c | 6,994$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.82 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Team Yandex | 53c | 6,332$3,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,976.08 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Tundra Esports | 36c | 6,294$2,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,281.77 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Tundra Esports | 23c | 6,230$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.23 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf755…8e37backed Team Yandex | 56c | 6,059$3,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,675.86 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Tundra Esports | 26c | 6,020$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.34 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Tundra Esports | 37c | 6,000$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,190.16 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Tundra Esports | 36c | 5,998$2,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,168.64 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 5,917$3,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,598.31 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c68…6746backed Team Yandex | 55c | 5,671$3,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,541.27 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcba7…438abacked Team Yandex | 72c | 5,585$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Tundra Esports | 15c | 5,539$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Tundra Esports | 28c | 5,080$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.06 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Tundra Esports | 27c | 5,071$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.89 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Yandex | 37c | 4,642$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,925.62 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e2…826cbacked Tundra Esports | 47c | 4,607$2,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,163.34 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 4,469$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.75 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…e80cbacked Tundra Esports | 9c | 4,448$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.27 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Yandex | 35c | 4,344$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,823.51 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Tundra Esports | 3c | 4,300$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.1 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Team Yandex | 39c | 4,188$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,568.46 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 4,000$2,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.45 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65d6…6d6bbacked Team Yandex | 44c | 3,859$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,158.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed Team Yandex | 65c | 3,622$2,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.21 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a9…3d6fbacked Tundra Esports | 23c | 3,519$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.99 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…a491backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 3,404$2,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,056.08 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 3,262$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989.68 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…fb7bbacked Tundra Esports | 55c | 3,043$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Tundra Esports | 52c | 3,035$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.15 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Team Yandex | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.05 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Tundra Esports | 5c | 2,800$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 2,648$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.01 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Team Yandex | 76c | 2,640$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.64 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Tundra Esports | 22c | 2,603$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.08 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Tundra Esports | 3c | 2,450$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed Team Yandex | 39c | 2,404$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.35 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 2,265$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.89 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Team Yandex | 38c | 2,222$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.63 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Tundra Esports | 31c | 2,119$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.23 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Tundra Esports | 37c | 2,108$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.59 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Tundra Esports | 29c | 2,038$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.8 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Tundra Esports | 29c | 2,036$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.73 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52c6…520abacked Team Yandex | 50c | 1,989$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.02 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Yandex | 62c | 1,950$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.57 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Tundra Esports | 42c | 1,833$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f78…b642backed Tundra Esports | 6c | 1,750$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Tundra Esports | 59c | 1,712$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.4 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Yandex | 42c | 1,710$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.81 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Team Yandex | 41c | 1,700$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.99 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 1,665$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27bc…6275backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 1,595$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…319ebacked Team Yandex | 35c | 1,560$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 1,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Team Yandex | 44c | 1,493$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.76 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77a0…4bfdbacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 1,459$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 1,458$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.1 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…4179backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 1,452$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 1,395$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.56 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Tundra Esports | 26c | 1,383$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.1 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8001…3da4backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 1,371$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Team Yandex | 55c | 1,370$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.7 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed Tundra Esports | 25c | 1,344$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Yandex | 54c | 1,274$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.58 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Tundra Esports | 31c | 1,187$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.41 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Team Yandex | 56c | 1,117$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.88 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…3b0dbacked Tundra Esports | 9c | 1,103$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.04 | 49 | 10.2%5 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 1,096$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.83 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed Team Yandex | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.63 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Tundra Esports | 1c | 1,051$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Team Yandex | 43c | 1,006$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.03 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Tundra Esports | 6c | 1,003$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.07 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Team Yandex | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd5…8d10backed Tundra Esports | 27c | 999.97$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.99 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 992.57$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.64 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO5) - ESL One Birmingham PlayoffsTundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 3 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 4 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)Tundra Esports won
- Game Handicap: Tundra (-2.5) vs Team Yandex (+2.5)Team Yandex won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 59.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 61.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 62.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 71.5 in Game 3?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.