TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0ef2…79f9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Dota2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 56 out of 100; worst Lol at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1931.6%6 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$6,927Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,927.2
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,800
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$8,032Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+199.5%+$16,020.55
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$7,500
Knicks vs. Rocketsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$6,615Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,615
Pistons vs. Thunderbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.26
Bulls vs. Spursbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.61
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$887Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$886.69
Suns vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$842Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$842.07
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,758Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,758.43
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
Knicks vs. Thunder: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Wizards vs. Trail Blazersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Kings vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
Clippers vs. Bucks: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Clippers vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$773Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+212.4%+$1,642.38
Spread: Heat (-7.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10
All 19 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT147.1%1 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.24per pick31cpaid-82.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,587Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,587
LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$651Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$651.2
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+142.2%+$711.03
LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$199
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$384.55
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$691Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$691.11
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$601Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$601.31
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs Leviatan Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Leviatan Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.7
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs Leviatan Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Leviatan Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.96
All 14 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-50.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vitality win BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$9,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,900
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$519.82
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs G2 (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$622Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+199.3%+$1,240.01
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,167Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+95.8%+$2,076.16
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs ODDIK (BO3) - FERJEE In House Playoffsbacked ODDIK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$3,926Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,926
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 10 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+42.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Credit One Charleston Open: Darja Vidmanova vs Anna Bondarbacked Darja Vidmanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$546Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$545.87
Bucharest Open, Qualification: George Loffhagen vs Jurij Rodionovbacked George Loffhagen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,034Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,034.15
Miyazaki: August Holmgren vs Yuto Okibacked Yuto Oki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$829Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+128.8%+$1,067.23
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$530.2
Will France win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+92.5%+$160.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.