TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Wizards vs. Trail Blazers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Trail Blazersof Wizards, Trail Blazers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$593,886
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$485,719

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $593,886 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Wizards8c70,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,60054539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Wizards7c26,354$1,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,746.751,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Wizards7c25,394$1,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,881.5347028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards7c19,255$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,303.474,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Wizards8c15,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20031445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Wizards8c13,332$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.5641832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5845…7903backed Wizards8c12,489$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.092015%3 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick30cpaid-59%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6b2…f6e2backed Wizards6c11,184$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.932748.1%13 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x31a6…0dcfbacked Wizards8c10,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80017028.8%49 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35c8…90cbbacked Wizards10c9,854$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.915244.2%23 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Wizards6c9,415$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.231,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Wizards0c9,100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Wizards9c8,097$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.9611543.5%50 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Wizards7c7,664$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001417.8%11 W · 130 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Wizards5c6,394$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.563,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Wizards7c5,800$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40627241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x70ce…079fbacked Wizards9c5,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4951526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-46%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Wizards1c5,229$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.211,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2487…fa80backed Wizards4c5,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.0118045%81 W · 99 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x454f…7642backed Wizards6c4,900$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.713138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Wizards8c4,877$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.422,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Wizards8c4,800$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38465939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Wizards8c4,800$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38486641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards8c4,662$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.954,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67d5…e577backed Wizards8c4,632$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.56812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-47.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Wizards8c4,500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36043438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Wizards8c4,250$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.233,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Wizards7c4,138$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.6562144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wizards6c4,057$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.111,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x893b…a860backed Wizards9c3,982$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-64.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78a5…eb4abacked Wizards1c3,951$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3070%0 W · 7 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Wizards9c3,756$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.0748944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Wizards6c2,934$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.61,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7792…b63bbacked Wizards9c2,900$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2614940.8%20 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cd3…3620backed Wizards9c2,800$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.991266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+30.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x66a7…3845backed Wizards9c2,532$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.881118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-69.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed Wizards9c2,505$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2386126.2%16 W · 45 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Wizards8c2,330$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.417356.1%97 W · 76 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f25…434ebacked Wizards3c2,317$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5360%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01f5…5cfbbacked Wizards9c2,300$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016421.3%35 W · 129 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Wizards12c2,266$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.5484443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Wizards3c2,010$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7628929.4%85 W · 204 L-13.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97f8…2282backed Wizards9c1,956$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.01616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-70.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64a1…dc32backed Wizards4c1,866$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5140%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Wizards1c1,742$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.427211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc57c…3e7dbacked Wizards6c1,683$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a70…5882backed Wizards6c1,669$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100496.1%3 W · 46 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick15cpaid-72%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ef2…79f9backed Wizards6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001931.6%6 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Wizards8c1,633$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13822036.8%81 W · 139 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Wizards6c1,525$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2136949.6%183 W · 186 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x627f…06dcbacked Wizards9c1,500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd40b…429abacked Wizards4c1,288$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489726.8%26 W · 71 L-7.8wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Wizards8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008026.3%21 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Wizards9c1,239$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.962,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Wizards3c1,220$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7828537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa89c…398fbacked Wizards10c1,210$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12112524.8%31 W · 94 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Wizards10c1,120$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11217436.2%63 W · 111 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb62…a903backed Wizards9c1,112$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.042045%9 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb208…0fa1backed Wizards9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.981040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd547…6d26backed Wizards9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.971428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbe4…e51fbacked Wizards9c1,100$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992450%12 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+55%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x348a…9c6bbacked Wizards8c1,050$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849637.5%36 W · 60 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xadbf…ffbabacked Wizards10c1,037$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.662343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Wizards9c1,034$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.061,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Wizards9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.072,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Wizards8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8068944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x555c…319ebacked Wizards5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503627.8%10 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Wizards12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12013245.5%60 W · 72 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa163…934dbacked Wizards8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807418.9%14 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-41.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Wizards10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017944.1%79 W · 100 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x461e…c18ebacked Wizards5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506716.4%11 W · 56 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-36.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x765c…0779backed Wizards9c999.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9053939.5%213 W · 326 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4147…902abacked Wizards3c994.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017342.8%74 W · 99 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Wizards11c925.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037852.9%200 W · 178 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27b7…bf19backed Wizards9c899.96$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+56%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Wizards11c758.71$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6141038%156 W · 254 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbedd…7605backed Wizards9c736.84$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010630.2%32 W · 74 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick23cpaid+43.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Wizards9c716.74$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9333632.4%109 W · 227 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd857…c092backed Wizards5c700$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357142.3%30 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2537…62b7backed Wizards9c660.31$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.431637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7519…4b96backed Wizards9c554.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.91735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1748…09c1backed Wizards9c554.45$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.91936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-23.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Wizards9c551$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.592,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fd6…95e3backed Wizards5c546.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308050%40 W · 40 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd36a…e8b8backed Wizards4c526.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205038%19 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-33.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x016c…fd1bbacked Wizards9c526.32$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Wizards4c513.25$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5332654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f64…1a55backed Wizards9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-43.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed Wizards8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40316.5%2 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Wizards9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4555316.5%91 W · 462 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Wizards10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033344.1%147 W · 186 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3c…e044backed Wizards6c445.51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255516.4%9 W · 46 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cc…3132backed Wizards10c424.3$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0211229.5%33 W · 79 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Wizards8c400$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7918…7f2abacked Wizards9c400$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfef7…135bbacked Wizards8c398.13$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc20c…fdb5backed Wizards9c389.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342634.6%9 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe05b…188ebacked Wizards9c386$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.742634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-36.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb28…02bbbacked Wizards9c383.96$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4336843.8%161 W · 207 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Wizards8c377.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.231,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.