NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Trail Blazers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf84ca6f84dc20091c346d03a88f8644ee557e41c6b995e7809ec9a8d5d0968bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Wizards, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $593,886
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $485,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $593,886 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Wizards | 8c | 70,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Wizards | 7c | 26,354$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.75 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Wizards | 7c | 25,394$1,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881.53 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards | 7c | 19,255$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.47 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Wizards | 8c | 15,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Wizards | 8c | 13,332$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.56 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5845…7903backed Wizards | 8c | 12,489$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.09 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -59%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b2…f6e2backed Wizards | 6c | 11,184$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.93 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…0dcfbacked Wizards | 8c | 10,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 170 | 28.8%49 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…90cbbacked Wizards | 10c | 9,854$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.91 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Wizards | 6c | 9,415$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.23 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Wizards | 0c | 9,100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Wizards | 9c | 8,097$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.96 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Wizards | 7c | 7,664$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 141 | 7.8%11 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wizards | 5c | 6,394$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.56 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Wizards | 7c | 5,800$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ce…079fbacked Wizards | 9c | 5,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -46%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Wizards | 1c | 5,229$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.21 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Wizards | 4c | 5,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.01 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454f…7642backed Wizards | 6c | 4,900$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.71 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Wizards | 8c | 4,877$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.42 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Wizards | 8c | 4,800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Wizards | 8c | 4,800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards | 8c | 4,662$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.95 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d5…e577backed Wizards | 8c | 4,632$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.56 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Wizards | 8c | 4,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wizards | 8c | 4,250$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.23 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Wizards | 7c | 4,138$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.65 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wizards | 6c | 4,057$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.11 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x893b…a860backed Wizards | 9c | 3,982$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a5…eb4abacked Wizards | 1c | 3,951$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Wizards | 9c | 3,756$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.07 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Wizards | 6c | 2,934$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.6 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7792…b63bbacked Wizards | 9c | 2,900$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd3…3620backed Wizards | 9c | 2,800$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.99 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66a7…3845backed Wizards | 9c | 2,532$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.88 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed Wizards | 9c | 2,505$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Wizards | 8c | 2,330$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.4 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f25…434ebacked Wizards | 3c | 2,317$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.53 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01f5…5cfbbacked Wizards | 9c | 2,300$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 164 | 21.3%35 W · 129 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Wizards | 12c | 2,266$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.54 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Wizards | 3c | 2,010$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.76 | 289 | 29.4%85 W · 204 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97f8…2282backed Wizards | 9c | 1,956$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.01 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a1…dc32backed Wizards | 4c | 1,866$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Wizards | 1c | 1,742$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc57c…3e7dbacked Wizards | 6c | 1,683$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a70…5882backed Wizards | 6c | 1,669$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -72%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef2…79f9backed Wizards | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Wizards | 8c | 1,633$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 220 | 36.8%81 W · 139 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Wizards | 6c | 1,525$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.21 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x627f…06dcbacked Wizards | 9c | 1,500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked Wizards | 4c | 1,288$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 97 | 26.8%26 W · 71 L | -7.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Wizards | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 26.3%21 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Wizards | 9c | 1,239$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.96 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Wizards | 3c | 1,220$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89c…398fbacked Wizards | 10c | 1,210$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 125 | 24.8%31 W · 94 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Wizards | 10c | 1,120$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb62…a903backed Wizards | 9c | 1,112$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb208…0fa1backed Wizards | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…6d26backed Wizards | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe4…e51fbacked Wizards | 9c | 1,100$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +55%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x348a…9c6bbacked Wizards | 8c | 1,050$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadbf…ffbabacked Wizards | 10c | 1,037$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.66 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Wizards | 9c | 1,034$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.06 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Wizards | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.07 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Wizards | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 689 | 44%303 W · 386 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…319ebacked Wizards | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Wizards | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…934dbacked Wizards | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 74 | 18.9%14 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…de1ebacked Wizards | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461e…c18ebacked Wizards | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765c…0779backed Wizards | 9c | 999.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 539 | 39.5%213 W · 326 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4147…902abacked Wizards | 3c | 994.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Wizards | 11c | 925.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b7…bf19backed Wizards | 9c | 899.96$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +56%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Wizards | 11c | 758.71$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.61 | 410 | 38%156 W · 254 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbedd…7605backed Wizards | 9c | 736.84$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Wizards | 9c | 716.74$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.93 | 336 | 32.4%109 W · 227 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…c092backed Wizards | 5c | 700$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…62b7backed Wizards | 9c | 660.31$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.43 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7519…4b96backed Wizards | 9c | 554.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…09c1backed Wizards | 9c | 554.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Wizards | 9c | 551$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…95e3backed Wizards | 5c | 546.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd36a…e8b8backed Wizards | 4c | 526.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…fd1bbacked Wizards | 9c | 526.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Wizards | 4c | 513.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 326 | 54.6%178 W · 148 L | +22.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…1a55backed Wizards | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Wizards | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Wizards | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 553 | 16.5%91 W · 462 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Wizards | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 333 | 44.1%147 W · 186 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3c…e044backed Wizards | 6c | 445.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cc…3132backed Wizards | 10c | 424.3$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.02 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Wizards | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7918…7f2abacked Wizards | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfef7…135bbacked Wizards | 8c | 398.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fdb5backed Wizards | 9c | 389.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe05b…188ebacked Wizards | 9c | 386$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb28…02bbbacked Wizards | 9c | 383.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Wizards | 8c | 377.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Trail Blazersthis page
- Bilal Coulibaly: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-15.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-16.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-19.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-20.5)Trail Blazers won
- Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 213.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 238.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.