NBA · resolved market
Spread: Trail Blazers (-15.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdad0882c23a56730da671f5e15a09efb40a403d2640278e2a13a88266e6e0d80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Trail Blazers, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Wizards | 47c | 8,016$3,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,767.71 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 7,001$3,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,290.47 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Wizards | 54c | 6,091$3,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,295.07 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…c3c6backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards | 46c | 3,831$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.24 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Wizards | 47c | 3,771$1,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767.93 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Wizards | 44c | 3,616$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.89 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Wizards | 45c | 1,238$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.88 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 12c | 1,153$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.54 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd48…d64fbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 769.62$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.62 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 618.81$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.03 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Wizards | 40c | 518.58$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.83 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards | 46c | 460.58$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.87 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…040dbacked Wizards | 48c | 458.33$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 435.55$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.42 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 424$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.84 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Wizards | 46c | 404$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.84 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 358.11$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.73 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Trail Blazers | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wizards | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Wizards | 50c | 240.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Trail Blazers | 61c | 233$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.87 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards | 50c | 219.49$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.53 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3918…b552backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 211.16$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.73 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…ff77backed Wizards | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…6c57backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 195.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.44 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Wizards | 48c | 164.49$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.55 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 157.3$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.4 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Trail Blazers | 69c | 145.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.27 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 124.11$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.75 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…2c1abacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 117.03$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.73 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 113$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 107.3$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.3 | 574 | 44.1%253 W · 321 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Wizards | 45c | 104.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 447 | 47%210 W · 237 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 101.89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.89 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 98.51$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.68 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 91.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.22 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…6519backed Wizards | 48c | 90.49$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked Trail Blazers | 40c | 86.45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.07 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +9.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Wizards | 44c | 72.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Wizards | 38c | 70.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…686fbacked Wizards | 30c | 67.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 244 | 9.4%23 W · 221 L | -27.5wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Wizards | 48c | 66.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Wizards | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 218 | 43.6%95 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…7379backed Wizards | 48c | 57.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Wizards | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Wizards | 47c | 49.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Wizards | 47c | 48.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 193 | 57.5%111 W · 82 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 47.58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf841…b2ebbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…4648backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…86debacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 38.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Wizards | 49c | 37.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee87…28edbacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f52…ce1bbacked Wizards | 54c | 33.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Wizards | 47c | 33.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 33.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…9a30backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 30.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Wizards | 50c | 30.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Trail Blazers | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abc…b096backed Wizards | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…1ac3backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…e04dbacked Wizards | 47c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…3fb1backed Wizards | 48c | 25.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 24.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…a40bbacked Wizards | 46c | 23.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 145 | 55.2%80 W · 65 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-15.5)this page
- Bilal Coulibaly: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-16.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-19.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-20.5)Trail Blazers won
- Wizards vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 213.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 238.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.