TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$170,554
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$169,971

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,554 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under50c30,000$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,0001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under50c13,441$6,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,787.371,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c8,142$4,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0711,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfeaa…2ddfbacked Over50c7,153$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,600933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Over50c5,940$2,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,97031643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over50c5,801$2,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,900.548352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc239…3b91backed Over50c5,199$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x708a…a0d8backed Over51c3,037$1,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,548.874535.6%16 W · 29 L-6.1wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-27.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Under50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5007458.1%43 W · 31 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50038946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x08c2…ffe1backed Over50c2,982$1,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,49110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42cb…f905backed Over50c2,955$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,477.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x438d…9c23backed Over49c2,938$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb391…857ebacked Over50c2,910$1,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…acb0backed Over50c2,903$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,451.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd24f…26d8backed Over50c2,873$1,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,436.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7729…a7c2backed Under50c2,868$1,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a60…b195backed Over49c2,846$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,394.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x083e…c275backed Under51c2,831$1,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,387.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x975b…3760backed Over50c2,800$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4005547.3%26 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7449…630dbacked Over50c2,799$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9c5…2d4abacked Under50c2,787$1,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,393.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b2a…89efbacked Under51c2,732$1,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,338.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41c4…8bd2backed Under50c2,726$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fd3…fe3abacked Under51c2,725$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,335.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf80d…1918backed Under50c2,711$1,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,355.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x528c…7fa2backed Over50c2,705$1,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,352.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7656…3e0dbacked Over51c2,696$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7a8…e6edbacked Under51c2,696$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,321.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over52c2,687$1,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,39712341.5%51 W · 72 L-8.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x33a5…dd74backed Over50c2,655$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,327.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9a9…b87fbacked Under50c2,651$1,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53e9…337ebacked Over49c2,638$1,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,292.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7242…a222backed Under50c2,625$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1abc…e105backed Over51c2,613$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,332.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76ad…7e56backed Under50c2,605$1,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,302.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9416…49d4backed Under49c2,579$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,315.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x085e…63eabacked Under51c2,578$1,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,263.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0571…be87backed Under49c2,571$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,311.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83e0…c2a4backed Under51c2,564$1,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,256.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3ea…d059backed Over51c2,554$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,302.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed7f…0c89backed Under50c2,541$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,270.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2314…574bbacked Over49c2,514$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa63d…ac85backed Over49c2,506$1,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,227.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under49c2,500$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.991,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f20…e3b4backed Over50c2,499$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8639…ce8dbacked Under50c2,451$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c1…8a0abacked Over50c2,438$1,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,219250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa626…0405backed Over49c2,438$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bd5…5df2backed Under50c2,415$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4908…216cbacked Over49c2,369$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3db6…9548backed Over49c2,314$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe859…87f9backed Under50c2,287$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4256…7a33backed Under51c2,278$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb12f…8f5cbacked Under50c2,265$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89e2…162ebacked Under50c2,187$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,093.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3efb…6104backed Over50c2,187$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1073…a93abacked Over50c2,161$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe43…a576backed Under50c2,156$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x189c…c6dbbacked Under50c2,147$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8836…984cbacked Under51c2,119$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a69…3a85backed Under50c2,103$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1310…fd57backed Under50c2,098$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e07…ce6cbacked Under49c2,091$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffd4…0e5cbacked Over50c2,085$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1f3…895dbacked Under50c2,079$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3b7…7587backed Under51c2,043$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdcb…7a6bbacked Over50c2,031$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.044,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under52c2,000$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.8787049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b01…b8e8backed Under49c1,999$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d6e…a259backed Under49c1,993$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50d4…e217backed Over50c1,939$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c6…c12ebacked Under50c1,925$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbeb4…4d22backed Under49c1,911$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8c5…81a3backed Over50c1,892$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over50c1,887$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.56,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf74b…a03ebacked Under50c1,819$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under51c1,774$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.844,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca1…d6c3backed Over50c1,701$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x940e…a4b8backed Over51c1,683$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75f0…8caabacked Under50c1,669$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over48c1,633$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.224,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3d1…c0b7backed Under50c1,631$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c78…0f54backed Over50c1,627$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54fc…dcffbacked Over51c1,597$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb31c…56cdbacked Over49c1,518$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa052…32e0backed Over50c1,514$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x352f…76f1backed Under50c1,487$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadbd…c488backed Under50c1,473$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa92…9693backed Over50c1,461$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8feb…354cbacked Over50c1,442$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3069…eccdbacked Over50c1,404$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3817…bf0abacked Over50c1,381$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20d…8837backed Under50c1,378$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6891100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1134…27babacked Under51c1,354$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7d3…ad4abacked Under50c1,331$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f1…2874backed Over51c1,325$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c78…ead8backed Over50c1,294$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…802ebacked Over51c1,293$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.