NBA · resolved market
Spread: Trail Blazers (-16.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f667610ed65264e96d55ec467e22f93bfc6e58ffc7cafae55f2d570c14692d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Trail Blazers, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,890,212
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,893,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,890,212 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 351 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Wizards | 49c | 1,424,707$698,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698,583.42 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 745,151$380,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365,123.84 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 300,000$153,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146,999.99 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe934…640bbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 166,500$84,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81,585 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 140,000$71,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,600 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 128,431$65,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,931.37 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 121,380$61,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,089.96 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Wizards | 49c | 91,182$44,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,678.95 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Wizards | 6c | 44,082$2,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,602.62 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…fd1ebacked Wizards | 45c | 37,952$17,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,040.61 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Wizards | 49c | 31,854$15,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,532.71 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Wizards | 49c | 23,889$11,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,705.62 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Wizards | 49c | 15,500$7,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,595 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…b215backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 12,099$6,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,447.46 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards | 49c | 11,959$5,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,862.15 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 11,948$5,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,974.01 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Wizards | 50c | 11,478$5,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,760 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Wizards | 49c | 9,832$4,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,814.68 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.92 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Trail Blazers | 69c | 9,474$6,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,915.77 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1961…c461backed Wizards | 49c | 9,000$4,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,410 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 7,984$4,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,912.16 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Wizards | 48c | 7,500$3,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,594.67 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Wizards | 50c | 7,439$3,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,719.5 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 6,091$3,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,977.27 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 5,804$3,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,785.77 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Wizards | 49c | 4,970$2,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,435.12 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 4,509$2,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.39 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Wizards | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Wizards | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Wizards | 49c | 3,750$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.54 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 3,600$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e34…20dabacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 3,075$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Wizards | 49c | 3,011$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.7 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wizards | 47c | 2,873$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.67 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e70…f06fbacked Wizards | 50c | 2,800$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Wizards | 50c | 2,581$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.57 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards | 48c | 2,199$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.11 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…9c6fbacked Wizards | 46c | 2,009$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.03 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Wizards | 49c | 1,774$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.49 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 1,645$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.05 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 1,547$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 1,451$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 1,295$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.03 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Wizards | 15c | 1,220$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.46 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 1,211$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.63 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Wizards | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 1,196$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.98 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 1,192$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.01 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wizards | 47c | 1,128$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.22 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Wizards | 35c | 1,127$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.34 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…f542backed Wizards | 51c | 1,110$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.93 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 1,086$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.59 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 1,072$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.44 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d4…b79fbacked Trail Blazers | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.15 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 1,050$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.45 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…f955backed Wizards | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 997.4$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.6 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 980.32$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.32 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…debbbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 969$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.81 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Wizards | 49c | 912.67$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.21 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 899.99$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.86 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Wizards | 49c | 805$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.45 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Wizards | 50c | 800$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.61 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…a8f9backed Wizards | 49c | 798.31$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wizards | 46c | 764.69$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.76 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Trail Blazers | 65c | 750$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 175 | 40.6%71 W · 104 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…83b5backed Wizards | 50c | 724.32$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.03 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Wizards | 50c | 706.34$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.17 | 186 | 48.9%91 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 660.29$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.49 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Wizards | 43c | 632.16$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.83 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Trail Blazers | 65c | 622.88$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.08 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…1968backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 598.03$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.03 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 597.34$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.29 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 592.59$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.5 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf498…3d66backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 584.75$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.75 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 571.28$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.28 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 557.21$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.23 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 551.37$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.71 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Wizards | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…3b71backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 499.88$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.94 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Wizards | 49c | 487.36$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.48 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 470.85$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.17 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Wizards | 49c | 456.33$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.07 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 431.37$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.37 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Wizards | 49c | 417.7$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.27 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 417.49$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.57 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Wizards | 49c | 416$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.84 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Wizards | 49c | 408.99$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.38 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Wizards | 50c | 403.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.99 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards | 51c | 395.18$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.54 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d8…c0f2backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 390$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.1 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Wizards | 25c | 389.83$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.82 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -8.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x20ea…1b1abacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-16.5)this page
- Bilal Coulibaly: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-15.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-19.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-20.5)Trail Blazers won
- Wizards vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 213.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 238.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.