TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe934…640b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst MLB at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT3860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$46,292Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$48,181.13
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$41,652Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$41,652.21
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$89,999.94
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$113,382Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$104,660.77
Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$66,463Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$66,462.89
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$107,571Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$228,587.33
Spread: Magic (-15.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$252,597Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$233,166.61
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$104,399Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$104,398.81
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$174,494Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$174,493.96
Spread: Nuggets (-22.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$52,662Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$52,661.83
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$177,417Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$163,769.68
Bucks vs. Nets: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$90,548Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$90,548.31
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36,268Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$36,268.06
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,049.67
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$171,730Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+93.6%+$160,668.26
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$62,635Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$65,191.88
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$103,999.99
Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$67,936Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$57,871.15
Spread: Thunder (-24.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$232,412Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+100.1%+$232,565.93
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75,990Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$75,990.46
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$159,232Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$179,558.97
Spread: Magic (-7.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15,775Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,775.19
Spread: Raptors (-14.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$216,732Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$200,059.86
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$271,997Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$271,997.23
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34,267Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$34,266.79
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-4.4wins-0.31per pick53cpaid-58%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
MLB — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29,709Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29,709.48
Texas Rangers vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$69,950Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$69,950.15
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,537Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,537.24
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$8,769Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$7,776.41
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$8,586Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$10,079.29
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$53,942Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$53,942.39
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100,645Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100,644.54
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$5,147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,147.17
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$156,799Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$128,290.05
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35,214Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35,214.41
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,509Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,509.34
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$86,026Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$86,026.47
Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$230,038Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$230,038.17
Texas Rangers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13,577Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,577.24
All 14 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+141.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Jai Herbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13,705Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+150%+$20,557.96
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Joe Pyfer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11,150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$14,779.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+85.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14,076Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$15,872.63
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$542Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$318.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$258,528Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$258,528.11
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-6.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108,688Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$108,688.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50,197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+74.5%+$37,417.41
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.