MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7dde0ca452426a00e69a27e0e60d1bebe4931a8e93b922981a2096694f0b17dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $313,010
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $309,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $313,010 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2562…c15fbacked Over | 55c | 267,872$147,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120,542.53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe934…640bbacked Under | 45c | 191,170$86,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,026.47 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.4wins | -0.31per pick | 53cpaid | -58%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 45c | 50,000$22,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,500 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 46c | 28,662$13,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,211.43 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 14,392$6,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,606.95 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 53c | 5,500$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,585 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 45c | 3,500$1,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.85 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 53c | 1,944$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.49 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 54c | 1,843$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.67 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 45c | 1,544$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.17 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Under | 46c | 1,345$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.63 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 52c | 1,234$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.19 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 1,000$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 916.94$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.98 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 813.51$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.48 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 57c | 770.62$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.26 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Over | 52c | 747.08$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.6 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 53c | 695.94$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.09 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Under | 2c | 681.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 3cpaid | +339.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 55c | 655.85$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.51 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Over | 53c | 618.21$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.58 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Over | 53c | 616.08$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.56 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 56c | 609.38$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.64 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 46c | 603.72$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.71 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed Over | 52c | 545.12$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.66 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 53c | 529.07$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.31 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 52c | 504.39$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.21 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 50c | 485.33$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.71 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 16c | 484.34$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.21 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 53c | 460.53$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.46 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 53c | 460.53$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.46 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 53c | 460.53$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.46 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 53c | 460.53$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.46 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 53c | 460.53$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.46 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…c0debacked Over | 55c | 440.86$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.39 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 52c | 414.06$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.32 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Over | 57c | 410.19$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.38 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.36 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 53c | 316.44$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.55 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 47c | 308.86$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.16 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 50c | 305.03$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.52 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 51c | 284.77$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.54 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e6…a613backed Under | 12c | 225.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Over | 55c | 215.2$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.25 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 45c | 198.58$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.38 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 50c | 192.53$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.26 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 55c | 188.58$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.41 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 47c | 165.34$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.16 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 55c | 158.88$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.71 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 53c | 157.69$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.57 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 53c | 155.56$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.45 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 53c | 155.56$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.45 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3921…db37backed Over | 55c | 130.44$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 50c | 117.98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.32 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Under | 51c | 112.09$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.17 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4147…902abacked Under | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9d…1299backed Under | 46c | 105.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.37 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 28c | 98.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 53c | 92.17$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 383 | 52.2%200 W · 183 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Over | 53c | 85.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.26 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under | 45c | 82.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 283 | 50.2%142 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 50c | 79.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd86…b634backed Under | 46c | 63.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 48c | 62.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Under | 48c | 60.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -5.8wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed Over | 53c | 60.32$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 31c | 58.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 45c | 58.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x015d…7bc7backed Over | 51c | 56.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x141d…7ea0backed Over | 54c | 54.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e6…744ebacked Under | 35c | 54.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 53c | 49.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Under | 49c | 48.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 50c | 46.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 294 | 50.7%149 W · 145 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…c6b6backed Over | 51c | 44.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 46c | 44.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…b921backed Over | 55c | 44.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ee…0ad8backed Over | 53c | 43.74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bc…ea6abacked Over | 53c | 43.74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2837…e9fabacked Over | 53c | 43.74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a27…2fdcbacked Over | 55c | 43.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…bad3backed Under | 27c | 41.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…22cbbacked Over | 53c | 38.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Over | 53c | 36.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Under | 48c | 36.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4c…5c55backed Under | 45c | 33.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed Under | 45c | 31.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Over | 72c | 30.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4de2…60acbacked Over | 53c | 29.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under | 46c | 28.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Over | 53c | 27.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Over | 53c | 25.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 203 | 62.6%127 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5870…276ebacked Under | 46c | 25.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa002…24eebacked Over | 55c | 25.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…31e7backed Over | 53c | 25.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…0619backed Under | 46c | 25.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5this page
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-4.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota TwinsTampa Bay Rays won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.