TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4147…902a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
345
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: La Liga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT17342.8%74 W · 99 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 173 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.64
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.84
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$69.8
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$32
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.15
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.97
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+203%+$68.2
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.47
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+468.3%+$231.58
Hornets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.08
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Spread: Suns (-2.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$31.89
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$43.09
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.2
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$48.5
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.77
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.47
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.96
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.47
Magic vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.08
Hornets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.06
Showing 25 of 173 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT6225.8%16 W · 46 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.9
Chelsea FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.3
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.78
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.9
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.74
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.38
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$101.92
Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.35
Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.71
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.92
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.6
Exact Score: Manchester City FC 3 - 2 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.32
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+111.8%+$173.21
Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.81
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.99
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.14
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$38.25
Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$325.31
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$351.6
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.22
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.21
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+261.2%+$249.93
Leeds United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.04
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT4122%9 W · 32 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick16cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$345
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$354.55
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 2 - 3 Real Madrid CF?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.32
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.96
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 1 - 2 Real Madrid CF?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.31
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.37
Sporting CP leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.47
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.58
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.16
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.12
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$162.24
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.13
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.61
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.9
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.82
Will Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$244.07
Will Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.61
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT2030%6 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick20cpaid+71%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.23
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$41.42
Athletic Club vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.47
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.17
RCD Mallorca vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$44.82
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.42
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+1,109.1%+$289.8
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.74
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.21
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.33
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.42
Federico Valverde: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+300%+$75
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Athletic Club vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Sevilla FC vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$142.31
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+949.4%+$170.88
All 20 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-4.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
MLB — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.14
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.25
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$29.55
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padresbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.08
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.33
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.59
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.29
Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$48.5
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)backed Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.68
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.32
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.49
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.37
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$64.63
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.38
Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+88.9%+$86.36
All 16 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+107.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+146.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+31.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will San Marino vs. Faroe Islands end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.51
Will San Marino win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Senatorsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Bruins vs. Hurricanesbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.