NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd930c58f528afb16eb833126c95a6cd75f684ed6785b10808000b8c3dfb018f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,695
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,695 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 49c | 30,540$15,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,513.24 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 51c | 29,931$15,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,160.74 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 15,755$7,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,881.48 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 50c | 10,200$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100.21 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 51c | 9,516$4,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,853 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 50c | 9,428$4,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,714 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 49c | 8,891$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,319.55 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 50c | 7,238$3,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,604.09 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Under | 53c | 6,063$3,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,821.64 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Under | 50c | 3,880$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 3,812$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.63 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 50c | 3,104$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Over | 49c | 2,999$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.55 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 51c | 2,927$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.31 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 50c | 2,088$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.21 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Over | 52c | 1,946$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.89 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 1,921$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.56 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Over | 51c | 1,576$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.89 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…307dbacked Under | 57c | 1,527$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.85 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Under | 50c | 1,440$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.01 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 50c | 1,272$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.94 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Under | 49c | 1,115$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.69 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Under | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -9.5wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Over | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.89 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Over | 48c | 999.49$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.75 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fa20backed Over | 49c | 854.59$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.75 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Under | 50c | 776$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 40c | 769.04$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.04 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 751$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.7 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 50c | 739.69$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.67 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Over | 33c | 662.08$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.54 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b45…d196backed Over | 51c | 650.3$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.65 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 51c | 603.6$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.91 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over | 51c | 590.7$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.35 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 51c | 582.36$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 518.05$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.3 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…3afdbacked Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Over | 50c | 497.09$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.04 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 50c | 436.5$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.25 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 43c | 430.38$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.53 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Over | 50c | 396.17$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.09 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 50c | 391.88$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.94 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7d…3f24backed Under | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.3 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 56cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 51c | 367.63$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.11 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 51c | 342.74$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.84 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4f…628ebacked Under | 51c | 332.1$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.73 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 49c | 299.49$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.74 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 51c | 293.21$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.55 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Over | 48c | 282.97$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.83 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Under | 50c | 279.06$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.53 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 47c | 234.98$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.91 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d1…aa33backed Under | 45c | 233.05$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.18 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 51c | 200.62$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.31 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4a…3647backed Over | 51c | 194.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Under | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Over | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c773backed Under | 53c | 183.75$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.57 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Over | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…0270backed Over | 58c | 168.88$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.46 | 277 | 45.8%127 W · 150 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Over | 53c | 157.49$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.47 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 50c | 146.38$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.19 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 51c | 145.59$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 51c | 145.53$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.22 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 140.18$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 51c | 135.88$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 51c | 134.4$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.91 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 51c | 132.94$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.8 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e13…c506backed Under | 54c | 132.64$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.01 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 75c | 122.98$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Over | 51c | 114.19$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfd…f319backed Over | 52c | 112.2$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.02 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Over | 53c | 110.02$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Under | 55c | 106.15$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.77 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed Over | 51c | 104.82$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.46 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over | 51c | 102.92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…2a41backed Over | 51c | 102.77$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.41 | 229 | 53.3%122 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d6…aedbbacked Under | 57c | 102.37$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.21 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 255 | 59.2%151 W · 104 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 188 | 50.5%95 W · 93 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 367 | 49.6%182 W · 185 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 50c | 98.94$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b36…0d4bbacked Under | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Under | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 405 | 41%166 W · 239 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4147…902abacked Under | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 49c | 96.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Over | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 385 | 45.7%176 W · 209 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under | 50c | 95.04$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.82 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Over | 51c | 94.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 50c | 90.58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.29 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 50c | 79.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.58 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 50c | 79.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Over | 50c | 77.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 148 | 45.3%67 W · 81 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…58c9backed Under | 51c | 77.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.05 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 50c | 75.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 55c | 69.26$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b5…5b6abacked Over | 49c | 61.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2e…7f4ebacked Under | 50c | 59.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Under | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a2…27a0backed Over | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 229.5this page
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Luke Kornet: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Scoot Henderson: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Trail Blazers vs. SpursSpurs won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 230.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 235.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.