TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,718
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,475

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,718 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93ab…9723backed Over43c20,000$8,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,599.9960351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under57c19,415$11,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,348.6566248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over43c9,853$4,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,223.9943542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Under52c4,885$2,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,344.8132653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under57c2,472$1,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.689,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe49d…ff91backed Under57c2,021$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.975655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over46c1,678$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.761,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Under56c1,431$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.712450.8%63 W · 61 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under58c1,395$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.086,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over41c1,286$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.474,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39eb…0e4cbacked Under53c1,197$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.962152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+83.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Over43c994.93$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.8213563%85 W · 50 L+15.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Over43c988.7$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.1427455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under59c823.17$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.81,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under57c776.57$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.922,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b62…728abacked Under59c677.99$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.9711556.5%65 W · 50 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under59c541.54$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.033,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24033150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under57c449.88$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.351,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over42c409.96$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.031,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under57c324.98$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.7681349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under60c296.69$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.681,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under61c279.46$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.9976054.6%415 W · 345 L+56.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over45c221.38$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6793543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over42c211.28$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7165045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Over43c198.97$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.5614845.3%67 W · 81 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b4a…3647backed Over44c193.28$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.041136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bfd…f319backed Under57c192.51$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.6811143.2%48 W · 63 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under57c190.52$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.931,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Over44c187.94$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6930453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over48c174.21$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6219550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Under57c150.56$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5220146.8%94 W · 107 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over44c149.75$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.8957650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb002…103dbacked Over45c145.05$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.276845.6%31 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over44c137.34$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4389048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Over43c129.34$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6222552.4%118 W · 107 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under58c113.51$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.671,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under57c106.94$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.368838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over48c102.47$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1834953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under57c100.84$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.361,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6163…d4d7backed Over53c97.18$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.517243.1%31 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa15f…ad19backed Over42c94.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.579854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7cb…4789backed Under57c92.5$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.772045%9 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over44c91.78$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3835546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ecd…ea91backed Under53c90.6$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.582360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+31.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x33fc…dc88backed Under53c90.3$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4413950.4%70 W · 69 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Over40c86.01$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.444252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5559…2bd2backed Under58c84.03$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2913956.1%78 W · 61 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Over42c82.86$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7238947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over47c80.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.072,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Over42c79.28$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.331354.6%171 W · 142 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Over44c70.28$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9248751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Under58c65.29$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4239448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Over44c64.75$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4910256.9%58 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c60.42$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over51c59.96$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.581,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f98…ec35backed Over44c57.96$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3510046%46 W · 54 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa028…0031backed Over42c55.57$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2630654.6%167 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under58c55.49$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.281,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3c2…5509backed Under57c51.8$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2818444.6%82 W · 102 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Under57c51.8$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2833159.2%196 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bdc…0c38backed Under57c49.81$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.427057.1%40 W · 30 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under57c46.39$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9532450.3%163 W · 161 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over45c45.94$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6755444.4%246 W · 308 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba7…5853backed Over46c44.82$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.52633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Over43c43.75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8138853.4%207 W · 181 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64d6…aedbbacked Over36c41.07$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7810657.5%61 W · 45 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cfa…9a0fbacked Over47c38.35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.87425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-50.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under59c38.22$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6778648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9896…c430backed Over44c38.15$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7917852.2%93 W · 85 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc2e1…4925backed Over42c36.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2717057.1%97 W · 73 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x409b…21e8backed Over42c34.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5925855.8%144 W · 114 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x130b…3ae8backed Under58c34.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.39540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd499…7d5bbacked Under57c34.18$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.76747.8%32 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under59c31.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1437753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbee…30b9backed Over44c30.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5313140.5%53 W · 78 L-10.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd24b…3cb7backed Over47c30.68$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.51968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+37.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x792a…7364backed Under49c29.68$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1321649.1%106 W · 110 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Over43c29.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7327246.7%127 W · 145 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Over43c29.16$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5427450%137 W · 137 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Over41c28.23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.589844.9%44 W · 54 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Under58c25.21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5923549.4%116 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c86…456bbacked Over48c24.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6318548.1%89 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under54c21.05$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.711,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2b2…2e80backed Under57c21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0315855.7%88 W · 70 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c36…d272backed Under57c20.51$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.826959.4%41 W · 28 L+7.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd5a8…95b7backed Under63c19.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.42441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Under53c19.44$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1332957.4%189 W · 140 L+18.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.