TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Spursof Trail Blazers, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,257
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,686

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,257 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1c83…6f40backed Trail Blazers48c1,009$484 inLost-$484.457444.1%253 W · 321 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Spurs52c785.52$408 inWon+$377.032,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Trail Blazers11c558.23$59 inLost-$58.695,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Trail Blazers43c330$142 inLost-$141.93246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Spurs57c321.49$183 inWon+$138.2419650.5%99 W · 97 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e59…1520backed Spurs61c169.13$102 inWon+$66.677045.7%32 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Trail Blazers25c62.63$16 inLost-$15.7337753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Spurs57c51.96$30 inWon+$22.2917553.7%94 W · 81 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9409…5b36backed Trail Blazers46c49.38$23 inLost-$22.7411233.9%38 W · 74 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7987…884abacked Trail Blazers43c44.49$19 inLost-$19.3225850%129 W · 129 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Trail Blazers42c38.79$16 inLost-$16.291,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Spurs58c37.81$22 inWon+$15.8823549.4%116 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Trail Blazers42c37.05$16 inLost-$15.5640750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8de…a2b8backed Spurs58c30.32$18 inWon+$12.733933.3%13 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-35.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x130b…3ae8backed Spurs57c19.29$11 inWon+$8.29540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2b2…2e80backed Spurs58c18.52$11 inWon+$7.7815855.7%88 W · 70 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Spurs71c14.97$11 inWon+$4.3232654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.