NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0e02cc8d439766632f25d283074d4170080ca61e3c09607b0c5091c3419e46f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $854,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $873,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $854,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 422 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Spurs | 49c | 440,362$213,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226,485.4 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe934…640bbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 204,914$104,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104,398.81 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 158,973$82,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,665.79 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 39,113$20,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,727.29 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 29,168$14,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,292.3 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Trail Blazers | 13c | 27,580$3,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,567.84 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Spurs | 51c | 26,419$13,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,038.29 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Spurs | 51c | 24,265$12,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,889.85 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 19,910$9,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,955.09 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 17,294$8,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,438.94 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9a…b270backed Spurs | 50c | 16,278$8,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,139.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +79%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Spurs | 50c | 15,555$7,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,777.5 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Spurs | 48c | 14,615$6,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,644.51 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…173bbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 11,376$5,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,574.24 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 9,516$4,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,853 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 9,516$4,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,853 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 9,428$4,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,714 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 8,876$4,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,349.34 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 8,735$4,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,455.05 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ea…e79cbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 8,293$4,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,146.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc31e…82cdbacked Spurs | 51c | 7,613$3,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,730.15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb015…eea7backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 7,371$3,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,685.35 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Spurs | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Spurs | 49c | 5,968$2,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,059.83 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 5,900$3,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,008.86 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Trail Blazers | 13c | 5,706$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.3 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Spurs | 65c | 5,569$3,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.27 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…3096backed Spurs | 50c | 5,048$2,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,523.78 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Spurs | 48c | 4,200$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,184.19 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 4,152$2,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075.99 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Spurs | 52c | 3,991$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,915.82 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 3,880$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Spurs | 49c | 3,799$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.98 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…0162backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 3,667$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.6 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -5.6wins | -0.29per pick | 50cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Spurs | 50c | 3,273$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.39 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 3,168$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.25 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 3,088$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605.56 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Spurs | 68c | 3,005$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.55 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 2,997$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.61 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Spurs | 50c | 2,910$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Spurs | 60c | 2,909$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.2 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 2,882$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.11 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Spurs | 50c | 2,796$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.16 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Trail Blazers | 56c | 2,608$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.4 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Spurs | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 2,414$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 2,409$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.77 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf972…853fbacked Spurs | 53c | 2,021$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…b4cebacked Spurs | 48c | 2,018$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.53 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Spurs | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f0…1e62backed Spurs | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Spurs | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 1,955$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.81 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Spurs | 51c | 1,903$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.54 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Trail Blazers | 10c | 1,770$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Trail Blazers | 37c | 1,559$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.18 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Spurs | 50c | 1,498$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -9.5wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs | 50c | 1,471$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.49 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 1,446$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.87 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…ee05backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 1,360$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.99 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Spurs | 50c | 1,302$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.03 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b2…f6e2backed Spurs | 65c | 1,286$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.98 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 1,284$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.26 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 1,237$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.47 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Spurs | 50c | 1,164$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Spurs | 47c | 1,152$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.82 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 1,105$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.69 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Spurs | 51c | 1,056$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.45 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd7…33d9backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 1,053$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.16 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.39per pick | 50cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Spurs | 51c | 1,047$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.9 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 1,022$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.37 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Spurs | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.19 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7c…51b6backed Spurs | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Spurs | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 323 | 47.1%152 W · 171 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Spurs | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…db9dbacked Spurs | 50c | 989.4$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.7 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Spurs | 50c | 982.61$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.31 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbef6…f2f9backed Spurs | 51c | 970.6$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.59 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb50d…81debacked Spurs | 50c | 970$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…ed10backed Trail Blazers | 13c | 954.96$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.7 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 953.46$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.34 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Spurs | 50c | 892.4$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.2 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked Spurs | 50c | 872.35$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.18 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Spurs | 47c | 860.77$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.21 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Trail Blazers | 41c | 845.85$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.5 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Spurs | 51c | 811.26$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.78 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…f8fdbacked Spurs | 48c | 808.47$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.96 | 203 | 46.3%94 W · 109 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Spurs | 50c | 776$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Trail Blazers | 15c | 725.93$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.7 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Trail Blazers | 15c | 721.62$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.24 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Trail Blazers | 15c | 712.64$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.9 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Trail Blazers | 15c | 712.64$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.9 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Trail Blazers | 15c | 698.96$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.84 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…fce6backed Trail Blazers | 42c | 689.43$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.56 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 663.55$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.13 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Trail Blazers | 15c | 644.72$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.71 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Trail Blazers | 39c | 636.21$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.25 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)this page
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Luke Kornet: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Scoot Henderson: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Trail Blazers vs. SpursSpurs won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 229.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 230.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 235.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.