TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe0d2…ad14

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
322
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: La Liga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT14450.7%73 W · 71 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 144 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 21.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$195.99
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$244.83
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$300
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$204
Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$320.29
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$293.23
Spread: Pacers (-3.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.36
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$446Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$446.2
Spread: Rockets (-17.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$388.24
Spread: Celtics (-16.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$248.5
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$485.3
Spread: Raptors (-12.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$388
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$268.95
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$388.24
Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.58
Spread: Lakers (-16.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Spread: Warriors (-11.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$352.17
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$333.33
Spread: Hawks (-7.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$511.11
Hawks vs. Mavericks: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$289.1
Spread: Knicks (-13.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$338.3
Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Showing 25 of 144 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT8257.3%47 W · 35 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Baylor Bears (-3.5)backed Baylor Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$344.71
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-8.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$243.33
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-12.5)backed Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$446Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$446.07
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-25.5)backed Penn Quakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.38
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhorns: O/U 158.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$892Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$892.14
Spread: Howard Bison (-14.5)backed Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$446Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$364.99
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-15.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$446Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$364.99
Spread: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (-5.5)backed UC Davis Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$892Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+88.8%+$791.99
Spread: Portland State Vikings (-3.5)backed Montana Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$446Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+96.2%+$429.15
Spread: Hofstra Pride (-4.5)backed Monmouth Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.38
Spread: Hofstra Pride (-3.5)backed Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.39
Bryant Bulldogs vs. Vermont Catamounts: O/U 133.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$798Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$797.5
Spread: George Washington Revolutionaries (-10.5)backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+87.3%+$259.63
Spread: Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks (-2.5)backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$351.62
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Jackson State Tigers: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$297.38
Spread: Florida Gators (-21.5)backed Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$605Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+81.8%+$494.89
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 147.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+112.8%+$223.57
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-7.5)backed Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$396.51
Spread: Northern Iowa Panthers (-3.5)backed Northern Iowa Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+82.1%+$325.71
Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-5.5)backed Yale Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+77.5%+$384.05
Spread: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (-8.5)backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+82.6%+$327.71
Spread: SIUE Cougars (-5.5)backed Eastern Illinois Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$495.64
Spread: Kennesaw State Owls (-11.5)backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+93.2%+$461.92
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-9.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$253.52
Spread: Lehigh Mountain Hawks (-5.5)backed Bucknell Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$396.56
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT4151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shane Baz: Strikeouts O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$135
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$216
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.99
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.7
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$131.6
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$222.6
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$208
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$204
Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$377.3
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$345
Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$318
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.5
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$227.9
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$192
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$340.4
Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$162
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.8
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.4
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.42
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.56
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Brentford FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+85.5%+$170.97
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$138.35
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$76
Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$63.48
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+156.4%+$51.24
Will Preston North End FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$210.43
Will Watford FC win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+58.7%+$141.24
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+85.2%+$29.13
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+128%+$357.04
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+170.3%+$115.27
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.2
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+62.9%+$283.21
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+49.3%+$13.49
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$72.21
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+88.7%+$24.17
Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+33.3%+$10.8
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,827Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,827.39
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,323Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,322.58
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$529Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+28.2%+$149.12
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick58cpaid-58.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Kingsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+43.1%+$39.81
Oilers vs. Flamesbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$42.42
Sharks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$589Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+40.1%+$236.2
Bruins vs. Panthersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$52.03
Maple Leafs vs. Flamesbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+33.3%+$24.63
Bruins vs. Lightningbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$89.08
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$97.87
Blue Jackets vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$113.97
Sharks vs. Flamesbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$49.31
Jets vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$79.78
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+39.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$49.59
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$54.76
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$939Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+45.4%+$426.07
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,980Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+99.4%+$1,968.24
All 4 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-47.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+48.9%+$149.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Cremonese vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$263.72
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Volkanovski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+64.1%+$230.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$313.55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.