Premier League · resolved market
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-02-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76a8c5ebdd8080cce043bd2331aa64151f311e71028b7a43d9a0b7367bf4af79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,384
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $139,399
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,384 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 58c | 87,656$51,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,047.55 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 40c | 34,446$13,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,821.61 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 41c | 21,339$8,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,610.84 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 42c | 16,096$6,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,338.33 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 37c | 9,235$3,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,842.54 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.99 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 59c | 4,549$2,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.09 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed No | 59c | 3,408$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.72 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Yes | 24c | 2,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.42 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes | 42c | 882$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.56 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 44c | 547.72$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.72 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 39c | 538$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.77 | 149 | 75.8%113 W · 36 L | +26.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked No | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed No | 56c | 428.57$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 40c | 357.95$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.58 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 53c | 353.33$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.73 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ba…51ebbacked No | 76c | 263.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed No | 59c | 234.49$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 56c | 225$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked No | 6c | 215$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed Yes | 45c | 198.01$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.91 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 58c | 196.31$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.76 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked No | 71c | 183.1$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 162 | 33.3%54 W · 108 L | -14.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 8c | 159.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 42c | 146.26$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.92 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 19c | 142.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 44c | 134.76$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.91 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 43c | 133$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.7 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 44c | 128.23$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.1 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 12c | 108.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.33 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed No | 59c | 101.12$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.66 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 34c | 89.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.38 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fad…374cbacked No | 61c | 81.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 66c | 81$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 43c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfef6…d13bbacked No | 63c | 78.41$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 42c | 78$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cc…c029backed No | 59c | 74.41$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 296 | 44.6%132 W · 164 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked No | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed No | 59c | 55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 25c | 50.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.88 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4622…3fbbbacked No | 59c | 50.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…9f62backed No | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed No | 59c | 49.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ec…1363backed Yes | 40c | 49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 56c | 48.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaef8…4310backed No | 59c | 45.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed No | 57c | 42.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…8eb0backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…5d6fbacked No | 59c | 39.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d38…c1f2backed No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2464…d054backed No | 59c | 30.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 70 | 82.9%58 W · 12 L | +14.5wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…106cbacked No | 56c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed No | 59c | 20.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 56c | 19.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-02-14?this page
- Will Portsmouth FC vs. Sheffield United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-02-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.