Premier League · resolved market
Will Portsmouth FC vs. Sheffield United FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6d125efca6fb130718e326c41df31ab49fe0d42d0d1e1730144a102d59c0b73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,528
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,528 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 2,640$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.86 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1353…c7fdbacked No | 62c | 2,101$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 40c | 1,550$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.92 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 38c | 709.06$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.46 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 56c | 671.77$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.27 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked No | 46c | 536$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.44 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 522.97$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.43 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 44c | 429.07$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.41 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 71c | 335.29$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.82 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…dacebacked Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 25c | 138$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.95 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef2b…d262backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6310…0d90backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9425…f025backed Yes | 46c | 115.46$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.11 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 20c | 101.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.43 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 40c | 101$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 30c | 90$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 72c | 71$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 72c | 60.59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 54c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 49.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 62c | 41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8817…6b9ebacked Yes | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a7…d69dbacked Yes | 69c | 28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff2…b6ecbacked Yes | 74c | 26.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 55c | 20.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 70 | 82.9%58 W · 12 L | +14.5wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portsmouth FC vs. Sheffield United FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-02-14?No won
- Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-02-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.