TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa3cc…c029

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
226
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NFL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 55 out of 100; worst Champions League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST16250%81 W · 81 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 162 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50.75
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$55.01
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.78
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49.32
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+127%+$86.44
Trail Blazers vs. Hornetsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$27.45
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$11.8
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$31.14
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$37.4
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30.27
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+185.7%+$190.71
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+96.1%+$65.65
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+112.8%+$42.14
Spread: Pelicans (-6.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+104.1%+$43.2
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$55.56
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$44.49
Heat vs. 76ersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30.54
Hornets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$33.34
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30.93
Rockets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$118.31
Spread: Hornets (-12.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$93.16
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$76.38
Spurs vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30.49
Spurs vs. Nets: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+96.1%+$35.17
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$32.86
Showing 25 of 162 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$92.89
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+26.6%+$7.29
Will Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$50.64
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$49.54
Will Everton FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$66.92
Will Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+26.6%+$18.55
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$32.78
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$43.9
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$40.57
Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$37.87
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+156.4%+$52.3
Will Preston North End FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$65.73
Will Watford FC win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+60.1%+$38.15
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+132.6%+$49.26
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+129.8%+$78.02
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+49.3%+$29.77
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$52.97
Devils vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$43.78
Penguins vs. Rangersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$69.02
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+156.4%+$44.61
Utah vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$33.18
Blackhawks vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+63.9%+$51.47
Utah vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$66.28
Predators vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+85.2%+$62.62
Islanders vs. Rangersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+78.6%+$37.9
Jets vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+58.7%+$24.46
Rangers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$59.09
Utah vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+112.8%+$30.79
Jets vs. Devils: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+104.1%+$21.25
Islanders vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-56%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-35.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+83.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+108.3%+$130.89
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$102.49
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$288.24
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+22%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+112.8%+$66.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$50.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BYU Cougars vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$30.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$91.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.